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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 21, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.97 |
+135 
|
o6.0 -115 
|
+1.5 -185 
|
|
3.78 |
-134 
|
u6.5 -120
|
-1.5 +175
|
Atlanta
- Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Sales last 4 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Sales last 4 starts as an underdog.
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 overall.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 home games.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Dominic Smith o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+275)
o1.5+275
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.55 |
+198 
|
o4.0 -1205
|
+1.5 -110
|
|
5.15 |
-200
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +110
|
St. Louis
- Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Phillies are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
- Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a win.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+158)
o0.5+158
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.72 |
+230
|
o7.0 -115
|
+1.5 -110
|
|
4.86 |
-205
|
u7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +108
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Blue Jays last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.13 |
+136
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
4.06 |
-142
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +150
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Lords last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Nationals are 5-0 in Lords last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Miami
- Under is 5-0 in Gustos last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 7-1 in Marlins last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 home games.
- Under is 7-2 in Marlins last 9 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Brady House o0.5 Total RBIs (+263)
o0.5+263
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.08 |
+164
|
o7.0 -122 
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
4.61 |
-168
|
u7.5 -115
|
-1.5 +126
|
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Webbs last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1-3 in Giants last 8 games as a road underdog.
Boston
- Under is 5-0 in Grays last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 8-0 in Grays last 8 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Grays last 5 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+235)
o0.5+235
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.23 |
+116
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
4.73 |
-124
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +175
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 9-0 in their last 9 games on grass.
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Rays are 12-1 in their last 13 road games.
Baltimore
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 7-0 in Rogers' last 7 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.40 |
+135
|
o7.0 -190
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
4.60 |
-140
|
u8.0 -113
|
-1.5 +155
|
NY Mets
- Mets are 7-0 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 7-0 in Burkes last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
- White Sox are 5-0 in Burkes last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- White Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
- White Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Top Projection
Brett Baty o0.5 Total RBIs (+340)
o0.5+340
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.63 |
+170
|
o7.0 -200
|
+3.5 -315
|
|
4.52 |
-177
|
u8.5 -120
|
-3.5 +245
|
Athletics
- Over is 5-0-1 in last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 8-2 in last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
Houston
- Over is 3-0-1 in Wesneskis last 4 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Wesneskis last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Wesneskis last 4 starts as a favorite.
Top Projection
Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+238)
o0.5+238
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.59 |
-108
|
o8.0 -118
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
4.96 |
+105
|
u8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -160
|
Detroit
- Tigers are 5-0 in Meltons last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Tigers are 5-0 in Meltons last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Tigers are 5-0 in Meltons last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games a home underdog.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Top Projection
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.78 |
+130
|
o7.5 +105
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.11 |
-137
|
u7.5 -115
|
-1.5 +160 
|
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0 in Detmers' last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Angels last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-1 in Detmers' last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
Texas
- Rangers are 6-0 in Gores last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rangers are 5-0 in Gores last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rangers are 5-0 in Gores last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Oswald Peraza o0.5 Total RBIs (+340)
o0.5+340
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.97 |
-146
|
o10.5 -110
|
-1.5 +105
|
|
5.04 |
+143
|
u10.5 +100
|
+1.5 -115
|
Cleveland
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 6-1 in Guardians last 7 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Cantillos last 4 starts as a road underdog.
Colorado
- Over is 4-0 in Gordons last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.65 |
+135
|
o8.0 -120 
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
4.66 |
-140
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +145
|
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 on grass.
- Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Reds last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 8-0 in Rodriguezs last 8 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Diamondbacks are 6-0 in Rodriguezs last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Rodriguezs last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Rodriguezs last 4 starts as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Dane Myers o0.5 Total RBIs (+270)
o0.5+270
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.50 |
+133
|
o8.0 -115 
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
4.38 |
-116
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +165
|
Minnesota
- Over is 7-0-2 in Prielipps last 9 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Twins last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Prielipps last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Padres last 5 games as a favorite.
- Padres are 7-0 in their last 7 games following a loss.
Top Projection
Ryan Jeffers o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.35 |
+210
|
o8.0 -114
|
+1.5 -105
|
|
5.17 |
-215
|
u11.0 -500
|
-1.5 -105
|
Pittsburgh
- Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 overall.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 on grass.
- Over is 6-2 in Pirates last 8 vs. National League West.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Yamamotos last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Yamamotos last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Yamamotos last 4 starts on grass.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Brandon Lowe u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
u1.5-190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.84 |
+100
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -220
|
|
4.34 |
-105
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +180
|
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Cubs are 5-0 in Boyds last 5 interleague starts.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Boyds last 4 starts as a road favorite.
Seattle
- Under is 5-0-1 in Mariners last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Top Projection
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+206)
o0.5+206
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in Ceases last 5 starts as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Ceases last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as a favorite.
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 5-0 in Weathers' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 during game 2 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Atlanta
- Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 9-1 in Braves last 10 games as a road favorite.
- Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 6-0 in Hendersons last 6 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 5-0 in Hendersons last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Brewers are 7-0 in Hendersons last 7 home starts.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 games as an underdog.
Miami
- Under is 4-0 in Perezs last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Marlins last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Perezs last 4 starts on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Phillies are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Painters last 5 starts on grass.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Johnsons last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Johnsons last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Angels last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Texas
- Under is 7-0 in Rangers last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 9-2 in Rangers last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 9-0 in their last 9 games on grass.
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Rays are 12-1 in their last 13 road games.
- Rays are 8-1 in their last 9 during game 2 of a series.
Baltimore
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Youngs last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
- White Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Under is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Athletics
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- are 6-1 in Lopezs last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 5-1 in Lopezs last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Houston
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Jones' last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 overall.
- Pirates are 5-1 in Jones' last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-2-1 in Dodgers last 9 during game 2 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Over is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Tigers are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games a home underdog.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 5-0 in Petersons last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Cubs are 5-0 in Petersons last 5 starts on grass.
- Cubs are 5-0 in Petersons last 5 starts.
Seattle
- Under is 5-0-1 in Mariners last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Mariners are 4-0 in Woos last 4 starts as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as an underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Red Sox last 5 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 vs. National League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 on grass.
- Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Sorokas last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in Sorokas last 7 starts as a home favorite.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cleveland
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 6-1 in Guardians last 7 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Bibees last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in Bibees last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
Colorado
- Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 13-2-1 in Rockies last 16 interleague games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Under is 5-0 in Twins last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-1 in Twins last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Padres last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
ATL
@
MIL
Fri, Aug 21 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Gary Sanchez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+500)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Chris Sale attacks right-handed bats with a steady dose of fastballs, and that’s good news for lefty-masher Gary Sanchez.
He has gone nuclear against four-seamers thrown by southpaws, barreling up more than 22% of the time while posting a .684 ISO.
I'd bet this to +480
Total
o6.0 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Chris Sale is exceptional but he has averaged 5.5 innings of work over his last 10 starts, and Milwaukee’s patience at the plate should chase him in six innings or less.
That’d afford plenty of opportunity to scratch together runs against a bullpen sitting 25th in xFIP the last month.
Jacob Misiorowski is not immune to power, allowing multiple homers in three of the last seven starts.
I’d play the Over to -122.
STL
@
PHI
Fri, Aug 21 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as MLB's 3rd-best home run batter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Citizens Bank Park projects as the #9 field in the league for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Dobbins in today's game.
Total Bases
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+124)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 7th-best batter in the league.. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Citizens Bank Park projects as the #9 field in the league for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Bryce Harper has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
TOR
@
NYY
Fri, Aug 21 • 7:05 PM ET
Game Prop
o2.5 Team Total (-125)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
Offense has come from the entire lineup over the last month and change, but nobody has been hotter than Alejandro Kirk, who has 15 hits, three homers, and nine RBI across his nine-game hit streak. Look for this team to scrape and claw to get three or more runs on the board, especially at one of the most hitter-friendly ballparks in the big leagues.
Total Bases
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.. Yankee Stadium ranks as the #7 park in baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Arrighetti in today's game.
WAS
@
MIA
Fri, Aug 21 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Owen Caissie u1.5 Total Bases (-260)
Projection 0.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Owen Caissie is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.. The #4 venue in the league for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to worse offense.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game -6° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.. Hitting from the opposite that Brad Lord throws from, Owen Caissie will have an advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Daylen Lile o0.5 Total RBIs (+186)
Projection 0.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Daylen Lile is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Gusto throws from, Daylen Lile will have an edge today.
SF
@
BOS
Fri, Aug 21 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total Home Runs (+475)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 95th percentile or higher in xwOBA, xSLG, ISO, and hard hit rate against right-handed pitching over the last 30 days.
Logan Webb has predictably been more prone to conceding homers on the road, and Abreu went for extra bases in the only two head-to-head bats we’ve seen.
Bet to +450.
Moneyline
BOS (-180)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Boston Red Sox lead the majors in OPS and wOBA against right-handed pitching this month.
Logan Webb has started four games against teams that ranked Top-10 in batting average the 30 games prior to facing off. He allowed at least three runs in three of them, and posted a 5.74 ERA.
Back Boston to -185.
TB
@
BAL
Fri, Aug 21 • 7:15 PM ET
Earned Runs Allowed
Freddy Peralta o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+110)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
The Orioles are catching a great price against Freddy Peralta, who has struggled mightily since joining the Rays. Through his first three starts with Tampa Bay, Peralta owns a 7.53 ERA, 6.01 xERA and 1.47 WHIP while allowing a 49% hard-hit rate and 13.33% barrel rate. Baltimore has also been making plenty of hard contact, posting over a 45% hard-hit rate and nearly 10% barrel rate over its last 21 games. Despite a cold week, the Orioles still own a 116 wRC+, .339 wOBA and .773 OPS over their last 12 games. At +110, Baltimore is worth backing and fading Peralta.
Total Home Runs
Gunnar Henderson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+405)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
Fifteen of the 20 homers Perlta has allowed have came against left-handed hitters across 83 innings, who have posted a .270/.332/.477 line, and he has surrendered a 19.2% pull-air rate. Gunnar Henderson is Baltimore's primary left-handed power bat, and Camden Yards is where Peralta's fastball problem gets punished, a that Gunnar has led the O's in hard-hit rate against. Play to +330.
NYM
@
CHW
Fri, Aug 21 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Brett Baty o0.5 Total RBIs (+340)
Projection 0.39
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
This game is predicted to have the highest humidity on the slate (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Burke today.. Brett Baty has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst among all the teams playing today.
Total Hits
Randal Grichuk u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
Projection 0.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
ATH
@
HOU
Fri, Aug 21 • 8:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.75
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in the league — generally good for dingers.. Because of J.T. Ginn's large platoon split, Yordan Alvarez will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball bats like Yordan Alvarez tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like J.T. Ginn.
Total RBIs
Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+238)
Projection 0.5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Zack Gelof ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Zack Gelof is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions in the majors.
DET
@
KC
Fri, Aug 21 • 8:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-103)
Kyle LaRusic
Publishing Editor
Our computer projections predict 9.54 runs in this matchup, a full run Over this total. Kansas City is also batting over .300 in its last five, and I think the Royals' bats can stay hot vs. Troy Melton despite his recent form.
Total Bases
Jac Caglianone o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.84
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jac Caglianone in the 87th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Jac Caglianone is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 6th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 88°.
LAA
@
TEX
Fri, Aug 21 • 8:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Corey Seager projects as the 14th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Among every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Angels.. Corey Seager will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Oswald Peraza o0.5 Total RBIs (+340)
Projection 0.39
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
CLE
@
COL
Fri, Aug 21 • 8:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Willi Castro o1.5 Total Bases (+128)
Projection 1.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Willi Castro is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #1 stadium in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Willi Castro will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Mickey Moniak o1.5 Total Bases (+117)
Projection 1.91
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mickey Moniak is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The #1 stadium in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
CIN
@
AZ
Fri, Aug 21 • 9:40 PM ET
Spread
AZ -1.5 (+146)
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst
The numbers strongly favor Arizona to win comfortably tonight. Over the past month, the Diamondbacks rank first in home OPS and second against left-handed pitching, while Cincinnati ranks 27th on the road and 28th versus lefties. Eduardo Rodriguez also owns an ERA nearly two runs lower than Nick Lodolo, who has led the Reds to a 4-10 record in his starts. Throw in a struggling Reds bullpen, and we have the recipe for a lopsided Dbacks W.
Total RBIs
Michael Toglia o0.5 Total RBIs (+241)
Projection 0.44
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Chase Field projects as the #3 stadium in the game for overall right-handed offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
MIN
@
SD
Fri, Aug 21 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Kody Clemens o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Kody Clemens ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kody Clemens is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the shallowest.. Petco Park has the 5th-shortest fences among all major league stadiums.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-most humidity on the slate at 79%.
Total Bases
Byron Buxton o1.5 Total Bases (+101)
Projection 2.14
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as MLB's 4th-best home run batter.. Byron Buxton is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the shallowest.. Petco Park has the 5th-shortest fences among all major league stadiums.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-most humidity on the slate at 79%.
PIT
@
LAD
Fri, Aug 21 • 10:10 PM ET
Total
u8.5 (-131)
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst
The Dodgers have cashed the Under in four consecutive Yoshinobu Yamamoto starts, and his splitter should work optimally in his matchup (Pittsburgh is 23rd in runs above average per 100 splitters seen). Bubba Chandler, meanwhile, has even better numbers than Yamamoto in their last six respective outings. Both bullpens rank in the top 10 in FIP over the last 14 days (L.A. 3.37, Pittsburgh 3.53) and are refreshed after Thursday's off day, so run suppression is a likely outcome of tonight's ballgame.
Bubba Chandler has allowed no more than three earned runs in any of his last six starts while turning in a 2.56 ERA, 2.39 FIP, and 2.3% barrel rate. The market is underpricing him against a slumping L.A. lineup (91 wRC+ in the last 14 days; Pittsburgh 104).
CHC
@
SEA
Fri, Aug 21 • 10:10 PM ET
Moneyline
CHC (-107)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
Matthew Boyd has been struggling of late, serving up four home runs and seven earned runs in his last outing. But that poor performance may be exactly why we're catching an edge in the market for his next start, and I think the ballpark sets up well for him to bounce back. Boyd is known as a fly-ball pitcher, which makes him more vulnerable depending on the ballpark and weather conditions. A start at T-Mobile Park, where the marine layer can limit the carry on fly balls, is ideal for his pitching profile. Boyd's numbers haven't been great this season, but many of his poor outings have come at Wrigley Field. On the road, he's sporting a 2.57 ERA with just two home runs allowed, compared to 11 home runs allowed at Wrigley. The Cubs are trading at 51 cents on Polymarket, but I make them closer to a 54-cent favorite.
Total Bases
Michael Busch o1.5 Total Bases (+156)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Michael Busch is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. In the league, T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for HRs.. This contest is predicted to have the 13th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
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If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
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MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
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