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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 25, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.31 |
+115 
|
o6.5 -114 
|
+1.5 -190 
|
|
4.01 |
-130 
|
u6.5 +102 
|
-1.5 +180 
|
Baltimore
NY Yankees
Top Projection
Coby Mayo o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+255
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.72 |
-115
|
o6.5 -102 
|
-1.5 +165
|
|
4.33 |
+102
|
u6.5 -108
|
+1.5 -182
|
Chi. Cubs
Boston
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.99 |
+145
|
o6.5 -115
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
4.64 |
-155
|
u6.5 +100 
|
-1.5 +145 
|
Tampa Bay
Philadelphia
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+208)
o0.5+220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.32 |
-108
|
o7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +164
|
|
4.25 |
-106
|
u8.0 -118
|
+1.5 -182
|
Pittsburgh
Detroit
Top Projection
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
o0.5+205
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.34 |
-132
|
o7.5 -125
|
-1.5 +130
|
|
4.72 |
+115
|
u8.5 -128
|
+1.5 -143
|
NY Mets
Washington
Top Projection
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
o0.5+265
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.59 |
+120
|
o7.5 -112
|
+1.5 -162
|
|
4.26 |
-130
|
u7.5 -102
|
-1.5 +165
|
Cincinnati
Toronto
Top Projection
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5+215
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.35 |
-122
|
o8.0 -113
|
-1.5 +145
|
|
4.34 |
+106
|
u8.5 -125
|
+1.5 -162
|
Atlanta
Miami
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.19 |
-130
|
o7.0 -115
|
-1.5 +130
|
|
4.07 |
+120
|
u7.5 -109
|
+1.5 -144
|
Cleveland
Kansas City
Top Projection
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5+220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.79 |
+200
|
o7.5 -125
|
+1.5 -103
|
|
5.05 |
-210
|
u8.0 -110
|
-1.5 -102
|
Colorado
Chi. White Sox
Top Projection
Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total RBIs (+157)
o0.5+157
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.89 |
+155
|
o7.5 -125
|
+1.5 -134
|
|
4.49 |
-175
|
u8.0 -112
|
-1.5 +125
|
St. Louis
Milwaukee
Top Projection
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5+190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.21 |
-105
|
o7.0 -120
|
-1.5 +160
|
|
3.59 |
-102
|
u7.5 -113
|
+1.5 -180
|
Texas
Minnesota
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.63 |
-170
|
o8.5 -124
|
-1.5 +102
|
|
4.91 |
+150
|
u9.0 -113
|
+1.5 -115
|
Houston
Athletics
Top Projection
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
o1.5+145
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.36 |
+116
|
o7.5 +100
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.18 |
-134
|
u7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +168
|
Arizona
San Diego
Top Projection
Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+145)
o1.5+145
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.63 |
+115
|
o6.5 -115
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
3.77 |
-130
|
u7.0 -124
|
-1.5 +180
|
LA Angels
Seattle
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+235)
o0.5+235
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.90 |
-360
|
o7.5 +105
|
-2.5 -105
|
|
2.47 |
+305
|
u7.5 -120
|
+2.5 +100
|
LA Dodgers
San Francisco
Top Projection
Osleivis Basabe o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+265)
o1.5+265
CHC
@
BOS
Fri, Sep 25 • 1:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.82
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. Fenway Park profiles as the #3 venue in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls many of his flyballs (42.8% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.. Pete Crow-Armstrong has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 13.9% seasonal rate to 19.4% in the last 14 days.
Total Bases
Trevor Story o1.5 Total Bases (+238)
Projection 1.25
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Trevor Story's BABIP ability is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fenway Park profiles as the #3 venue in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball.. Trevor Story will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.. Over the past week, Trevor Story's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.6% up to 18.2%.
BAL
@
NYY
Fri, Sep 25 • 4:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+154)
Projection 1.93
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 15th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Pete Alonso has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.. Pete Alonso has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 14.7% seasonal rate to 36.4% in the last week.
Total Bases
Christian Encarnacion-Strand o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run talent.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has averaged 29.0 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 90th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has put up a .343 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 85th percentile.. Grading out in the 91st percentile, Christian Encarnacion-Strand has posted a .337 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.
TB
@
PHI
Fri, Sep 25 • 6:40 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Freddy Peralta o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+124)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
Freddy Peralta has the best +EV Over strikeout prop, per the projections today, with 4.79 Ks on 88 pitches, which might even be a light pitch count. The Tampa starter went 97 pitches in his last turn and struck out six. He also has some motivation today, as the Phillies handed him his worst outing of the year when he gave up 10 runs back in June. It's pretty simple math: Peralta has been a 10.1 K/9 pitcher over the last four seasons and has gone 15-plus outs in six straight starts with a mid-90s pitch count. He can get to this plus-money Over on just five innings of work.
Total Bases
Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 20th-best batter in the league as it relates to his batting average skill.. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Trea Turner will hold that advantage today.
PIT
@
DET
Fri, Sep 25 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Comerica Park projects as the #21 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This matchup is expected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Oneil Cruz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 2nd-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Oneil Cruz in today's game.. Oneil Cruz's average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 95.9-mph EV last season has dropped to 93.7-mph.
Total Bases
Rafael Flores Jr. u1.5 Total Bases (-240)
Projection 0.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Rafael Flores is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #10 ballpark in baseball for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park.. This matchup is expected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the same side that Jackson Jobe throws from, Rafael Flores will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup.. Rafael Flores pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 83rd percentile) and will be challenged by the league's 5th-deepest LF fences in today's game.
NYM
@
WAS
Fri, Sep 25 • 6:45 PM ET
Total Bases
James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 2.05
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions in the league.. James Wood will have the handedness advantage over Jonathan Pintaro in today's game... and the cherry on top, Pintaro has a large platoon split.. James Wood has strong power (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (29% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Justin Hagenman is a pitch-to-contact type (15th percentile K%) — great news for Wood.
Total Bases
Keibert Ruiz o1.5 Total Bases (+240)
Projection 1.32
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Jonathan Pintaro... and even better, Pintaro has a large platoon split.. Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (42.3% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team in action today.. Keibert Ruiz will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.. Keibert Ruiz's launch angle in recent games (25.3° over the past 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 16.8° seasonal angle.
BAL
@
NYY
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Coby Mayo o0.5 Total Home Runs (+525)
Projection 0.2
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Coby Mayo ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Coby Mayo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. The #9 park in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate.
Total Bases
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.95
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 15th-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Pete Alonso has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
CIN
@
TOR
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:07 PM ET
Total RBIs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 4th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. The #5 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo today.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. George Springer is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The #5 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. George Springer will have the handedness advantage over Nick Lodolo in today's matchup.. George Springer hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
ATL
@
MIA
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:10 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Otto Lopez o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-120)
Projection 2.24
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average skill, Otto Lopez is projected as the 7th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Otto Lopez is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 114° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. Otto Lopez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Otto Lopez has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 6.3% seasonal rate to 20% over the past 7 days.
Total RBIs
Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Matt Olson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Eury Perez throws from, Matt Olson will have an advantage today.. Matt Olson's launch angle this season (17.6°) is quite a bit better than his 14.6° figure last year.
CLE
@
KC
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Moneyline
CLE (-137)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
I’m backing Cleveland behind Gavin Williams, who enters with a 3.63 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, and 244 strikeouts in 181 innings. Kansas City counters with Noah Cameron, but the bigger edge comes once the starters leave. The Royals’ bullpen has been a problem all season, while Cleveland owns a 3.75 team ERA. With the Guardians still fighting for the AL Central, I’ll trust the better pitching staff in a meaningful game.
Total RBIs
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his batting average ability.. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #6 field in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-best for hitting on the schedule today.
COL
@
CHW
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Moneyline
CHW (-223)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Sean Burke gives Chicago a significant edge on the mound after posting a 0.82 ERA and 3.10 FIP across his last two appearances. Colorado counters with Tomoyuki Sugano, who owns a 5.10 FIP over his previous five starts and has continued to surrender plenty of hard contact. The White Sox are the stronger side.
Total RBIs
Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total RBIs (+157)
Projection 0.75
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Munetaka Murakami projects as the 2nd-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Munetaka Murakami is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #6 venue in the majors for overall left-handed offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for long-balls.. Munetaka Murakami will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano today.
STL
@
MIL
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Moneyline
MIL (-179)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Neither starter enters in dominant form, but Robert Gasser has been much better at keeping opposing hitters from doing serious damage. He's held opponents below a 30% hard-hit rate over his last two starts and has surrendered just 0.91 HR/9 at home this season. That gives Milwaukee the edge over Michael McGreevy and St. Louis.
Total RBIs
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Jordan Walker is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #8 stadium in the game for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense.
TEX
@
MIN
Fri, Sep 25 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Hits
Kody Clemens u0.5 Total Hits (+140)
Projection 0.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kody Clemens's BABIP talent is projected in the 14th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Among all major league parks, Target Field's centerfield fences are the 10th-deepest.. In the last 14 days, Kody Clemens's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.4% down to 0%.. Kody Clemens has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.7-mph dropping to 80.6-mph over the past week.. Over the past 7 days, Kody Clemens's 16.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.9%.
Total Bases
Danny Jansen u1.5 Total Bases (-320)
Projection 0.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Danny Jansen in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Danny Jansen is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Target Field's centerfield fences are the 10th-deepest.. Target Field has the 5th-tallest average fence height in the league.. Given Joe Ryan's large platoon split, Danny Jansen will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's matchup.
HOU
@
ATH
Fri, Sep 25 • 9:40 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Jacob Lopez o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+105)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
The fair price on Jacob Lopez's Under 4.5 strikeouts today at home is -140. He's fading hard heading into his final start. He just gave up 10 runs over an eight-out performance most recently, and over his last three games, he's gone just 12.1 innings with five Ks and 19 earned runs. He threw only 63 pitches in his last start, and his 117 innings this season are already 25 more than his career high. He also has to deal with the Astros in Sacramento, which is the best Over park in baseball for a reason. The hitting conditions at Sutter Health Park aren't doing Lopez any favors either, with winds blowing out and decent temperatures for hitting.
Moneyline
HOU (-172)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Houston has one of the clearest pitching advantages on the board with Hunter Brown in outstanding form. Brown owns a microscopic 0.59 FIP over his last two appearances, while Jacob Lopez has gone in the opposite direction with a 9.41 FIP during the same span. Back the Astros to capitalize.
AZ
@
SD
Fri, Sep 25 • 9:40 PM ET
Moneyline
AZ (+116)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
The Arizona Diamondbacks are trading at 46% on Polymarket, and I'm hitting the button at that price, as I make them closer to 50% against the San Diego Padres. You can't have your back against the wall much more than the Diamondbacks do this weekend, as they basically need a sweep to have any hope of making the postseason. That should lead to their roster being managed like they're playing an elimination game, but I also really like the matchup for Brandon Pfaadt. The heart of the Padres' lineup is loaded with right-handed bats, and that's not a problem for Pfaadt, who has held right-handed hitters to a .599 OPS this season. His hard, sweeping slider runs away from the barrels of right-handed hitters, giving him a pitch that can neutralize the strength of San Diego's lineup. That's why the Diamondbacks have my attention at this price.
Total RBIs
Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate today (79%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an edge in today's matchup.. Corbin Carroll has hit one of the hardest balls in the game in the past week's worth of games — 110.7-mph — which is a strong indicator of recent form and raw power.
LAA
@
SEA
Fri, Sep 25 • 10:10 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Reid Detmers u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+106)
Projection 6.25
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Andy Fletcher) calling pitches today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.7-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Reid Detmers will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.. Among all starters, Reid Detmers's fastball spin rate of 2139 rpm ranks in the 8th percentile this year.
Total Bases
Julio Rodriguez u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.86
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
T-Mobile Park ranks as the #29 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 58°.. Julio Rodriguez has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 7 days.. Julio Rodriguez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, falling from 13.7% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.. Julio Rodriguez has displayed poor plate discipline this year, grading out in the 25th percentile with a 3.02 K/BB rate.
LAD
@
SF
Fri, Sep 25 • 10:15 PM ET
Spread
LAD -2.5 (-114)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
Total Bases
TH
Turner Hill o1.5 Total Bases (+260)
Projection 1.21
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Turner Hill is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Oracle Park has the shallowest right field fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 14-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Turner Hill will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Turner Hill's launch angle of late (21.5° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 11.2° seasonal mark.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
