MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 26, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sun, Jul 26 • 12:15 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Yandy Diaz logo
Yandy Diaz o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average skill, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 8th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. Tropicana Field grades out as the #3 park in MLB for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Parker Messick throws from, Yandy Diaz will have the upper hand in today's game.. Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Jonny DeLuca logo
Jonny DeLuca u1.5 Total Bases (-225)
Projection 0.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -12° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest among every team in action today.
View 7 Picks
Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sun, Jul 26 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total Home Runs (+575)
Projection 0.19
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.
Total Bases
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Ryan O'Hearn o1.5 Total Bases (+131)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ryan O'Hearn's batting average talent is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense.. Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage over Jameson Taillon today.. Ryan O'Hearn will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sun, Jul 26 • 1:35 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Kazuma Okamoto o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+100)
Projection 2.04
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kazuma Okamoto in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Kazuma Okamoto is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Kazuma Okamoto will have the upper hand today.. Kazuma Okamoto pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Alejandro Kirk logo
Alejandro Kirk o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+105)
Projection 1.97
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Alejandro Kirk's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Alejandro Kirk will have the upper hand today.. Alejandro Kirk has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sun, Jul 26 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Drake Baldwin logo
Drake Baldwin o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.06
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Drake Baldwin is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.. The #6 field in the league for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Drake Baldwin will have the handedness advantage against Shane Baz in today's game.
Total Bases
Michael Harris II logo
Michael Harris II o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.01
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Michael Harris II is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #6 field in the league for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The shallowest RF fences in the league are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Michael Harris II will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Baz in today's matchup.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sun, Jul 26 • 1:35 PM ET
8 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Andres Chaparro logo
Andres Chaparro u0.5 Total Hits (+130)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Andres Chaparro's BABIP talent is projected in the 19th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst park in baseball for RHB batting average.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 4th-best among all the teams today.
Total Hits
Max Kepler logo
Max Kepler u0.5 Total Hits (+174)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 7th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Max Kepler is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst stadium in baseball for left-handed batting average.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.. Max Kepler will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Sun, Jul 26 • 1:40 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers u0.5 Total Hits (+210)
Projection 0.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to less offense.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -12° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Kyle Stowers pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 80th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total Hits
Gavin Sheets logo
Gavin Sheets u0.5 Total Hits (+155)
Projection 0.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Sheets in the 17th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Gavin Sheets has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today's game.. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to less offense.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -12° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Gavin Sheets pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 88th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ New York Mets logo NYM Sun, Jul 26 • 1:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Freddie Freeman logo
Freddie Freeman o1.5 Total Bases (+119)
Projection 2
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 14th-best batter in the game when assessing his batting average ability.. Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Freddie Freeman will have the handedness advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.. Freddie Freeman has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total Home Runs
Mookie Betts logo
Mookie Betts o0.5 Total Home Runs (+573)
Projection 0.18
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Mookie Betts ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Mookie Betts is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Mookie Betts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
View 10 Picks
Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Sun, Jul 26 • 1:40 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Framber Valdez logo
Framber Valdez o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-135)
Projection 5.21
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Framber Valdez has experienced some negative variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, notching a 7.31 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.05 — a 0.74 K/9 discrepancy.
Total Hits
Colt Keith logo
Colt Keith u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Colt Keith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and will be challenged by the game's 2nd-deepest CF fences in today's game.
View 5 Picks
Houston Astros logo HOU @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Sun, Jul 26 • 2:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Houston Astros logo HOU (-103)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

This matchup sits at flat pick 'em odds on the board. Houston’s bullpen leads the entire slate with an elite 23.4 percent K-BB rate over the last two weeks. Backing Ronel Blanco and the Astros at nearly even money against a struggling White Sox lineup (85 wRC+) offers strong value. 

Total Bases
Miguel Vargas logo
Miguel Vargas o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.09
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The #8 field in the majors for boosting offensive stats to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Miguel Vargas pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.3% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
View 11 Picks
Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sun, Jul 26 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jackson Chourio logo
Jackson Chourio o1.5 Total Bases (-112)
Projection 2.29
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jackson Chourio's batting average ability is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Chourio is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. American Family Field grades out as the #9 venue in the game for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 4th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense.
Total Bases
William Contreras logo
William Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (+103)
Projection 1.99
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. William Contreras is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. American Family Field grades out as the #9 venue in the game for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 4th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense.
View 10 Picks
Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sun, Jul 26 • 2:10 PM ET
8 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ryan Kreidler logo
Ryan Kreidler u1.5 Total Bases (-230)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Kreidler in the 5th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Ryan Kreidler is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.. The #8 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. The league's 5th-highest fences can be found at Target Field.. Ryan Kreidler hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 81st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 10th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Shea Langeliers logo
Shea Langeliers o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.82
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Shea Langeliers as MLB's 16th-best home run hitter.. Shea Langeliers is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 93°.. Batting from the opposite that Connor Prielipp throws from, Shea Langeliers will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
View 8 Picks
Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Sun, Jul 26 • 2:15 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Sal Stewart logo
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Sal Stewart ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Sal Stewart is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Among all major league stadiums, Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games today at 93°.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Elly De La Cruz logo
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-137)
Projection 2.42
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Among all major league stadiums, Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games today at 93°.. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Kyle Leahy.
View 4 Picks
Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Sun, Jul 26 • 2:35 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 6 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Seattle Mariners logo SEA (-107)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Betting against Jacob deGrom requires caution, but Texas’s overall bullpen metrics have cratered recently, sitting at a 166 ERA- and 5.15 xFIP. Seattle’s pitching group remains far more reliable with Logan Gilbert taking the ball. Getting Seattle near pick 'em odds (-104) offers strong value.

Total Bases
Cal Raleigh logo
Cal Raleigh u1.5 Total Bases (-239)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cal Raleigh is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 93% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Globe Life Field as the worst stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats to lefties.. The 6th-deepest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -14° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching.. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers.
View 7 Picks
Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sun, Jul 26 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Zach Neto logo
Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 90th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Zach Neto is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 19.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters.. Zach Neto will have the handedness advantage over Carson Whisenhunt today.
Total Bases
Jo Adell logo
Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+134)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 19.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters.
View 10 Picks
New York Yankees logo NYY @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Sun, Jul 26 • 7:20 PM ET
9 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+134)
Projection 1.94
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 11th-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Given Will Warren's large platoon split, Bryce Harper will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. Bryce Harper has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-116)
Projection 2.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the game's 2nd-best home run batter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers.. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage over Will Warren in today's game... and the cherry on top, Warren has a large platoon split.
View 9 Picks
Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

View 14 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 1 Computer Pick
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

View 3 Picks

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