Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 2, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
TEX
@
DET
Sat, May 2 • 7:15 PM ET
o8.0 (-120)
This game sets up well for the offenses. The Tigers are in a favorable spot and the Rangers have quietly been productive away from home. Texas ranks third in wOBA and fourth in OPS on the road this season, keeping company with teams like the Los Angeles Dodgers and Atlanta Braves. While the Rangers have a higher strikeout tendency than those teams, they’re still dangerous.
DET (-135)
Texas Rangers starter Kumar Rocker relies heavily on the sinker-slider combination, one the Tigers have hit well. Gleyber Torres, Riley Greene, Spencer Torkelson, and Kevin McGonigle are all hitting .290+ with wOBAs of at least .370 against that mix. Expect the bats to do some damage against Rocker, whose results (3.38 ERA) are better than his process (4.11 xFIP, 4.17 SIERA).
LAD
@
STL
Sat, May 2 • 7:15 PM ET
There’s no way around it — the Los Angeles Dodgers are “going through it.” That leads to a deflated moneyline price tag, however, so I’ll back MLB’s super team at a reasonable number. That’s what the market does — overreact — when one club (the Dodgers) loses three straight while their opponent (St. Louis Cardinals) wins five in a row. Then we respond to said overreaction. Michael McGreevy’s 2.97 ERA is completely phony, and LA’s lineup should bring the regression that his 6.16 xERA is begging for.
LA’s lineup is poised to break out after averaging 1.7 runs over its last three games. This lineup leads the league in wRC+ (123), and players like Shohei Ohtani and Kyle Tucker should bounce back at a discounted price. McGreevy doesn’t miss bats (sixth percentile whiff rate, 16.5% K rate) and allows loud contact (13th percentile barrel rate). He’s a soft-tosser with sub-Big League stuff, and L.A. bats should punish him accordingly.
ATL
@
COL
Sat, May 2 • 8:10 PM ET
CHW
@
SD
Sat, May 2 • 8:40 PM ET
o8.0 (-104)
Sean Burke has done a better job of limiting hard contact but his home run to fly ball rate is only ~62% of his career average, a sign some regression could be coming. The Padres rank 10th in HR/FB vs. righties over the last month and eighth at home, making them a real test for Burke. Meanwhile, Padres starter Michael King ranks in the 32nd percentile in barrel suppression. The Chicago White Sox sit ninth in homers and fifth in ISO vs. righties on the road so they have the power to capitalize.
SD (-190)
The San Diego Padres have feasted on right-handed pitching at home over the past month, hitting .269 with a .814 OPS and .357 wOBA – all Top-7 marks. They should cause problems for Sean Burke, whose ERA is nearly a full run below his FIP thus far. That’s a red flag.
NYM
@
LAA
Sat, May 2 • 9:38 PM ET
The Angels haven’t been firing on offense lately, and McLean will keep them in check. The Mets have also played to totals of eight runs or fewer in each of Nolan McLean’s last four starts. Of course, a lot of that has to do with the floundering New York offense as well. The Mets are scoring 3.44 runs per game, and while Reid Detmers isn’t the most intimidating presence on the mound, he’s solid enough to help keep the Mets from breaking out.
Nolan McLean has been electric so far for the beleaguered New York Mets, posting a 2.55 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in his first six starts. Although that hasn’t translated into many wins — New York is just 1-5 in his starts — that can’t be pinned on the 24-year-old, who has yet to allow more than three runs in any appearance. McLean should deal against the reeling Los Angeles Angels, who have averaged only 3.86 runs per game during their seven-game losing streak and own a .698 OPS against right-handed starters this year. I like the Mets to come away with the win tonight.
KC
@
SEA
Sat, May 2 • 9:40 PM ET
o7.5 (-110)
Lugo’s underlying profile screams regression. He owns a 3.91 xFIP, 4.31 xERA, and has allowed homers on only 2.4% of his flyballs, not even a quarter of his career rate (11.7%). On the other side, Emerson Hancock has stranded 95.4% of opposing baserunners. That has made his ERA more flattering than it should be. For reference, his previous marks were 71.2% as a rookie and 72.2% last season. With some red flags on both sides, this matchup sets up well for the offenses.
SEA (-140)
Although the Seattle Mariners have been inconsistent this season, their offense has been a clear strength at home, specifically against right-handed pitchers. Seattle currently ranks second against righties in wRC+ at home, trailing only Detroit. Kansas City Royals starter Seth Lugo will struggle to slow Seattle’s offense. He is sitting in the 18th percentile in whiff rate and is struggling to miss bats, leading to a lot of contact. Lugo also ranks in the 26th percentile in expected batting average. The M's offense is set up for a productive outing tonight.
TOR
@
MIN
Sun, May 3 • 12:45 PM ET
MIN (-110)
KC
@
SEA
Sun, May 3 • 4:10 PM ET
SEA (-120)
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