Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 14, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
KC
@
CHW
Thu, May 14 • 7:40 PM ET
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+451)
It’s tough to go wrong with Bobby "bags" Witt Jr. on the home run card. The guy can do it the conventional way or the Little League way, and +450 is a great price on a tough board against lefty Anthony Kay, whom Witt has already seen this season. He’s also hitting lefties at the best rate of his career in 2026. Witt owns a 191 wRC+ over the last two weeks, along with the seventh-best slugging percentage in baseball. He’s gone deep five times during that stretch, including entering today on a two-game home run streak. He’s one of the hottest hitters in baseball right now and continues to climb the AL MVP odds board. I’d play Witt down to +400 in this matchup.
SF
@
LAD
Thu, May 14 • 10:10 PM ET
AZ
@
COL
Fri, May 15 • 8:40 PM ET
o12.5 (+100)
Kyle Freeland has surrendered a 1.032 OPS against Diamondbacks hitters, while Arizona right-hander Merrill Kelly has been a disaster in 2026, carrying a 9.92 xERA and a .346 xBA. Playing at the hitter-friendly confines of Coors Field, expect these two offenses to have a field day in the thin air.
MIL
@
STL
Tue, Jul 7 • 2:15 PM ET
u8.0 (-120)
If Brandon Sproat can hold his own early, the Brewers will turn to an excellent bullpen that ranks fifth in xFIP and tied for third in homers allowed per nine innings.
Colder weather and Andre Pallante’s high ground-ball rate (50%) should allow the Cardinals to limit the long ball. That’ll make it difficult to score runs in bulk, helping keep this game Under the total.
MIL (-110)
Brandon Sproat’s xFIP and SIERA are two full runs less than his ERA, suggesting he hasn’t pitched as poorly as it appears on the surface.
Andre Pallante has posted some concerning numbers against lefties (47.2% hard-hit rate, 13.2% barrel rate), and the Brewers have plenty of good ones in their lineup. This mismatch favors the visitors, and we'll take the Brewers on the ML.
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