MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 4, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

San Diego Padres logo SD @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Thu, Jun 4 • 1:05 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
3 LEG PARLAY
Gavin Sheets profile picture
Gavin Sheets o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber profile picture
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
San Diego Padres logo Philadelphia Phillies logo
o8.0
Total
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Pick made: 7 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

Both Lucas Giolito and Zack Wheeler were victimized by the longball in their latest starts, and the ball could be zipping around the yard in hot-and-sunny Philly on Thursday afternoon. Look for Gavin Sheets and Kyle Schwarber to contribute to the Over in this getaway game.

Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.93
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the majors's 2nd-best home run batter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°.. Batting from the opposite that Lucas Giolito throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an advantage in today's matchup.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ New York Yankees logo NYY Thu, Jun 4 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ryan McMahon logo
Ryan McMahon o1.5 Total Bases (+176)
Projection 1.54
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 85th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Among all major league stadiums, Yankee Stadium has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Ryan McMahon will have an edge in today's game.. Ryan McMahon will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Anthony Volpe logo
Anthony Volpe o1.5 Total Bases (+191)
Projection 1.42
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Among all major league stadiums, Yankee Stadium has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage in today's game.. Anthony Volpe's launch angle this year (20.1°) is considerably higher than his 12.2° figure last season.. Compared to his seasonal average of 20.1°, Anthony Volpe has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 42.3° figure in the past week.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Thu, Jun 4 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Trevor Rogers logo
Trevor Rogers o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+108)
Projection 5
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Trevor Rogers has averaged 92.6 adjusted pitches per outing this year, placing in the 79th percentile.. Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 3rd-most strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Boston Red Sox with a 23.6% underlying K%.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which often leads to worse offense.. Out of all SPs, Trevor Rogers's fastball spin rate of 2441 rpm grades out in the 85th percentile this year.
Total Hits
Andruw Monasterio logo
Andruw Monasterio u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Andruw Monasterio is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which often leads to worse offense.. Andruw Monasterio's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 91.8-mph EV last season has dropped off to 86.1-mph.. This season, there has been a decline in Andruw Monasterio's speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.7 ft/sec last year to 26.68 ft/sec currently.. As it relates to his batting average, Andruw Monasterio has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His .257 BA has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .211.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Thu, Jun 4 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Matt Chapman logo
Matt Chapman o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. American Family Field grades out as the #6 venue in Major League Baseball for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. American Family Field has the lowest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Drew Gilbert logo
Drew Gilbert o1.5 Total Bases (+255)
Projection 1.18
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
American Family Field ranks as the #6 field in MLB for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.. American Family Field has the lowest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Coleman Crow throws from, Drew Gilbert will have an edge in today's matchup.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Thu, Jun 4 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Kazuma Okamoto o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Kazuma Okamoto ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kazuma Okamoto is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Truist Park profiles as the #5 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense.. Kazuma Okamoto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale today... and moreover, Sale has a huge platoon split.
Total Bases
Charles McAdoo logo
Charles McAdoo o1.5 Total Bases (+245)
Projection 1.24
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Truist Park profiles as the #5 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense.. Considering Chris Sale's huge platoon split, Charles McAdoo will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Thu, Jun 4 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.. Target Field projects as the #7 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Salvador Perez has been unlucky this year, notching a .267 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .319 — a .052 deviation.. Based on Statcast metrics, Salvador Perez ranks in the 96th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 36.000.
Total RBIs
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton o0.5 Total RBIs (+164)
Projection 0.82
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Byron Buxton projects as the 6th-best home run hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Byron Buxton is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Target Field projects as the #7 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Byron Buxton will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Jun 4 • 8:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Shea Langeliers logo
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (-106)
Projection 2.49
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Shea Langeliers as Major League Baseball's 15th-best home run batter.. Shea Langeliers is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. The weather report predicts the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Zack Gelof logo
Zack Gelof o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 82nd percentile when assessing his home run talent.. The 7th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Wrigley Field.. The weather report predicts the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Zack Gelof will have an advantage in today's matchup.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Houston Astros logo HOU Thu, Jun 4 • 8:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Oneil Cruz projects as the 13th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. Oneil Cruz will have the handedness advantage against Kai-Wei Teng in today's game.. Over the last 7 days, Oneil Cruz's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.9% up to 22.2%.. Oneil Cruz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 15.3% on the season to 55.6% over the past week.
Total Bases
Christian Walker logo
Christian Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Christian Walker is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. Christian Walker pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Christian Walker will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Thu, Jun 4 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Gabriel Moreno logo
Gabriel Moreno o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Gabriel Moreno has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (55% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Batting from the opposite that Justin Wrobleski throws from, Gabriel Moreno will have the upper hand in today's game.
Total RBIs
Mookie Betts logo
Mookie Betts o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Mookie Betts ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Mookie Betts is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. When it comes to plate discipline, Mookie Betts's talent is quite good, putting up a 1.16 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 97th percentile.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ New York Yankees logo NYY Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 7 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Drew Rasmussen logo Drew Rasmussen o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+122)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Drew Rasmussen has cleared this number in three of his last five starts and struck out seven Yankees hitters the last time he faced them. He’s also dominated New York historically, holding the lineup to a .181 average with 36 strikeouts across 89 at-bats.

Total RBIs
Austin Wells logo
Austin Wells o0.5 Total RBIs (+305)
Projection 0.41
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yankee Stadium ranks as the #7 ballpark in the majors for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball batters like Austin Wells generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today.
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