MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 19, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Tue, May 19 • 4:10 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Miami Marlins logo o8.5 (+102)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

The Over has been thriving in the recent matchups, going 6-0-1 over the last seven head-to-head meetings.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-133)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

Atlanta has won each of their last seven games against the Marlins following a loss.

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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Tue, May 19 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Coby Mayo logo
Coby Mayo o1.5 Total Bases (+255)
Projection 1.32
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Coby Mayo in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Coby Mayo pulls many of his flyballs (39.4% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Bats such as Coby Mayo with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Griffin Jax who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the worst among every team playing today.. Coby Mayo has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.7-mph average to last year's 87.5-mph average.
Total Bases
Tyler O'Neill logo
Tyler O'Neill o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Tyler O'Neill projects as the 15th-best home run hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Tyler O'Neill pulls many of his flyballs (37.9% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the worst among every team playing today.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.240) may lead us to conclude that Tyler O'Neill has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .193 actual batting average.. Tyler O'Neill has recorded a .352 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 91st percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Tue, May 19 • 6:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Cleveland Guardians logo CLE (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

The Tigers are in the middle of a brutal 2-10 stretch, and I don't think Keider Montero is the pitcher to pull them out of it. His fifth percentile chase rate mixes with the Guardians' fifth-best chase rate like oil and water. Meanwhile, Parker Messick can manage a Detroit offense that's 26th in batting average vs. lefties.

Total Bases
Kyle Manzardo logo
Kyle Manzardo o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Kyle Manzardo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which generally leads to better offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 81°.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Tue, May 19 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
JJ Bleday logo
JJ Bleday o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.41
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Bleday in the 90th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. JJ Bleday is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 10th-best stadium in MLB for lefty home runs.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for HRs.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 93°.
Total Bases
Adolis Garcia logo
Adolis Garcia o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #10 venue in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for HRs.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 93°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Tue, May 19 • 6:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Brett Baty logo
Brett Baty o1.5 Total Bases (+215)
Projection 1.45
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Nationals Park has the 7th-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of all games today at 95°.. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.
Total Bases
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.06
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Nationals Park has the 7th-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of all games today at 95°.. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ New York Yankees logo NYY Tue, May 19 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Trent Grisham logo
Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. Yankee Stadium grades out as the #5 ballpark in MLB for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences in MLB.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 90°.
Total Bases
Ben Rice logo
Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (+141)
Projection 1.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ben Rice projects as the 15th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Yankee Stadium grades out as the #5 ballpark in MLB for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences in MLB.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 90°.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Tue, May 19 • 7:40 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Starling Marte logo
Starling Marte u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Starling Marte is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today's game.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Starling Marte has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will be challenged by the game's deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Typically, batters like Starling Marte who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Ranger Suarez.
Total Hits
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.87
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 10th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Salvador Perez pulls many of his flyballs (36.2% — 87th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense grades out as the strongest out of every team playing today.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Tue, May 19 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Michael Conforto logo
Michael Conforto u0.5 Total Hits (+110)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 28 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Michael Conforto's BABIP ability is projected in the 19th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Michael Conforto is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best out of every team playing today.. Based on Statcast metrics, Michael Conforto is in the 17th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .223.
Total Hits
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong u0.5 Total Hits (+140)
Projection 0.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 28 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 8th in the lineup today.. The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.. Today, Pete Crow-Armstrong is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38.3% rate (94th percentile).. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best out of every team playing today.. From last season to this one, Pete Crow-Armstrong's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 17.4% to 11.2%.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Tue, May 19 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jeremy Pena logo
Jeremy Pena o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena as the 19th-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his batting average skill.. Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. The #9 venue in the league for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.
Total Bases
Brice Matthews logo
Brice Matthews o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
Projection 1.29
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #9 venue in the league for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Tue, May 19 • 7:45 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total
Pittsburgh Pirates logo St. Louis Cardinals logo o8.0 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

Matthew Liberatore is an auto-fade with a -7 pitching run value, ranking in the bottom seventh percentile. That goes double vs. a Pittsburgh lineup that's seventh in batting average. While Mitch Keller isn't nearly as bad as his opposite number, the Pirates' bullpen has been gasoline to a fire in May with a 4.76 xFIP, 26th in the majors.

Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the majors's 13th-best home run hitter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. In MLB, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest humidity of all games today at 81%.. Oneil Cruz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Tue, May 19 • 8:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Jake McCarthy logo
Jake McCarthy u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jake McCarthy is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to drop to the lowest level on the schedule today at 48°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Extreme flyball batters like Jake McCarthy are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kumar Rocker.. Jake McCarthy's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 90.9-mph EV last year has dropped to 85.4-mph.. Despite posting a .364 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake McCarthy has experienced some positive variance given the .067 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .297.
Total Bases
Joc Pederson logo
Joc Pederson o1.5 Total Bases (+205)
Projection 1.48
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Joc Pederson is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.. Coors Field ranks as the #1 park in the majors for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to higher offensive output.. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joc Pederson stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.. Joc Pederson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 13.5% to 17.6%.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Tue, May 19 • 9:38 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Henry Bolte logo
Henry Bolte u0.5 Total Hits (+155)
Projection 0.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 38 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #9 field in the league for suppressing batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-lowest humidity of all games on the slate today at 35%.. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Henry Bolte in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Jose Siri logo
Jose Siri o1.5 Total Bases (+280)
Projection 1.22
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Jose Siri ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Angel Stadium has the lowest fences in MLB.. Because of Jacob Lopez's large platoon split, Jose Siri will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.. Jose Siri will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Jose Siri has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 35.2° mark is among the highest in MLB since the start of last season (99th percentile).
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Tue, May 19 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Bryce Miller logo
Bryce Miller o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-130)
Projection 5.64
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Chicago White Sox have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jarred Kelenic, Munetaka Murakami, Colson Montgomery).. Ryan Blakney profiles as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be in charge of the strike zone today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects T-Mobile Park as the 3rd-best field in MLB for strikeouts.. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which generally leads to worse offense.. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Total RBIs
Miguel Vargas logo
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all major league stadiums, T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors.. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team playing today.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ San Diego Padres logo SD Tue, May 19 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Miguel Andujar logo
Miguel Andujar u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 2nd-worst stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-best for pitching of all games on the slate today.. Emmet Sheehan will hold the platoon advantage against Miguel Andujar in today's game.. Miguel Andujar's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 13.2% to 10.1%.
Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 4th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold that advantage today.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Tue, May 19 • 9:40 PM ET
6 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Corbin Carroll logo
Corbin Carroll u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Corbin Carroll pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 86th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 3rd-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Corbin Carroll's launch angle this season (13°) is a considerable dropoff from his 16.8° angle last season.. Corbin Carroll has been lucky this year, putting up a .395 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .358 — a .037 disparity.
Total Bases
Matt Chapman logo
Matt Chapman o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Matt Chapman ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The #3 venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.. Despite posting a .274 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Matt Chapman has experienced some negative variance given the .055 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329.
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