MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 17, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

New York Mets logo NYM @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Wed, Jun 17 • 12:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
JJ Bleday logo
JJ Bleday o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Bleday in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. JJ Bleday is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The #1 park in the majors for boosting home runs to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. This contest is projected to have the 10th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hitting from the opposite that Nolan McLean throws from, JJ Bleday will have an edge in today's game.
Total Bases
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.17
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The #1 park in the majors for boosting home runs to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The 6th-shallowest right field fences in the league are found in Great American Ball Park.. This contest is projected to have the 10th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Wed, Jun 17 • 1:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #10 park in the league for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB.. Kyle Stowers will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Painter in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.19
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 2nd-best home run batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #10 park in the league for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB.. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara today.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Wed, Jun 17 • 1:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Michael Massey logo
Michael Massey u0.5 Total Hits (+195)
Projection 0.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 7th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Michael Massey is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst field in the majors for lefty batting average.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.
Total Bases
Lane Thomas logo
Lane Thomas o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 32 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for homers.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.8-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Wed, Jun 17 • 2:00 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
FirstInning Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo FirstInning o0.5 (-126)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 hours ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

This is one of my favorite YRFI spots on the board. Giants starter Adrian Houser enters the day as the worst pitcher on Batters-Box and has struggled mightily in the first inning, posting a 9.00 ERA while allowing opponents to slash .302/.409/.698 through 13 starts. Braves right-hander Grant Holmes is not in much better shape, carrying the third-worst pitcher rating and a 4.83 first-inning ERA. With seven strongly rated Braves bats, five highly rated Giants bats, and a combined nine elite-rated hitters in this matchup, there is plenty of firepower to cash a first-inning run.

Total Bases
Michael Harris II logo
Michael Harris II o1.5 Total Bases (-103)
Projection 1.97
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Michael Harris II is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Michael Harris II will have an advantage in today's game.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Houston Astros logo HOU Wed, Jun 17 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kevin McGonigle logo
Kevin McGonigle o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Kevin McGonigle ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for dingers.. Kevin McGonigle will hold the platoon advantage against Peter Lambert in today's matchup.. The Houston Astros infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among all the teams today.
Total Bases
Jeremy Pena logo
Jeremy Pena o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his batting average ability, Jeremy Pena is projected as the 20th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jeremy Pena is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.. Jeremy Pena pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Jeremy Pena will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Wed, Jun 17 • 3:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Tommy Edman logo
Tommy Edman o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
Projection 0.44
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs.. In the league, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 7th-shallowest.. Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Tommy Edman will get to bat from his better side against Shane McClanahan in today's matchup.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense profiles as the weakest out of every team on the slate today.
Total Bases
Tommy Edman logo
Tommy Edman o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.44
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs.. In the league, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 7th-shallowest.. Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Tommy Edman will get to bat from his better side against Shane McClanahan in today's matchup.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense profiles as the weakest out of every team on the slate today.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Wed, Jun 17 • 3:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.94
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 7th-best hitter in the majors.. Mike Trout is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Chase Field ranks as the #3 stadium in MLB for overall RHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Mike Trout will have an edge today.
Total Bases
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. logo
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s batting average talent is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Chase Field ranks as the #3 stadium in MLB for overall RHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Samuel Aldegheri throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Angels.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Wed, Jun 17 • 6:45 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.01
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #4 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Fenway Park has the shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Batting from the opposite that Max Scherzer throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an edge today.
Strikeouts Thrown
Max Scherzer logo
Max Scherzer u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+120)
Projection 3.34
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
It is anticipated that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Scott Barry) calling pitches in today's game.. The #6 park in the game for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, Max Scherzer (43.9% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 FB hitters in Boston's projected batting order.. Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Max Scherzer today.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ New York Yankees logo NYY Wed, Jun 17 • 7:05 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+275)
Projection 0.42
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Braden Montgomery in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Braden Montgomery is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.
Total RBIs
Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.48
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (38% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Wed, Jun 17 • 7:15 PM ET
6 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 91st percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Truist Park grades out as the #5 ballpark in the league for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 82°.
Total Bases
Austin Riley logo
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Truist Park grades out as the #5 ballpark in the league for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 82°.. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Wed, Jun 17 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Travis Bazzana logo
Travis Bazzana u0.5 Total Hits (+160)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching of all games on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 15-mph in this game, the best of the day for pitchers.. Travis Bazzana will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.
Total Bases
Petey Halpin logo
Petey Halpin o1.5 Total Bases (+250)
Projection 1.2
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
American Family Field has the 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Sproat throws from, Petey Halpin will have an edge in today's game.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Wed, Jun 17 • 8:05 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Dansby Swanson logo
Dansby Swanson u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Dansby Swanson is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 6th-worst venue in the league for run-scoring.. The league's 7th-tallest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 11.8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for mound aces.
Total Hits
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Wrigley Field ranks as the #22 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 11.8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for mound aces.. Batting from the same side that Javier Assad throws from, Hunter Goodman will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup.. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs.. Hunter Goodman will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Wed, Jun 17 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Zack Gelof logo
Zack Gelof o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Zack Gelof ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Sutter Health Park profiles as the #2 field in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. On average, the fence height at Sutter Health Park is the 4th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather on the slate today at 102°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 14.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.
Total Bases
Jeff McNeil logo
Jeff McNeil o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.4
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Sutter Health Park profiles as the #2 field in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. On average, the fence height at Sutter Health Park is the 4th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather on the slate today at 102°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 14.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an advantage in today's matchup.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Wed, Jun 17 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Taylor Ward logo
Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Taylor Ward ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Taylor Ward is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. On average, the fence height at T-Mobile Park is the 10th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Taylor Ward has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among all the teams in action today.
Total RBIs
Julio Rodriguez logo
Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his batting average ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 10th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at T-Mobile Park is the 10th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage today.
View 10 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 5 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks

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