MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 31, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

TOR @

BAL Sun, May 31 • 12:15 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+116)

Projection 1.81

Best Odds

o1.5 +116

Pick made: 16 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +116

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +111

o1.5 +110

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best batter in MLB when it comes to his batting average ability.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams today.

+116 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Coby Mayo o1.5 Total Bases (+220)

Projection 1.34

Best Odds

o1.5 +220

Pick made: 18 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +191

o1.5 +220

o1.5 +175

o1.5 +190

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Coby Mayo in the 91st percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. Extreme flyball hitters like Coby Mayo tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Spencer Miles.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Coby Mayo will hold that advantage today.. Coby Mayo's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 91.6-mph now compared to just 87.5-mph then.

+220 at bet365

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SD @

WAS Sun, May 31 • 1:35 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Moneyline

WAS (+115)

Best Odds

+115

Pick made: 12 hours ago

+115

+114

+110

+115

+110

There's isn't much to like about Griffin Canning's form this year (7.54 ERA). Zack Littell counters, and his 2.19 ERA in May shines by comparison. The Nats' bats are also doing much better over the last two weeks, ranking fourth while San Diego is 24th.

Total Bases

Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+120)

Projection 1.87

Best Odds

o1.5 +120

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +120

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground in the majors — generally good for homers.. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today.. Manny Machado has been unlucky this year, putting up a .266 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .067 discrepancy.

+120 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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MIN @

PIT Sun, May 31 • 1:35 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)

Projection 0.67

Best Odds

o0.5 +190

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +187

o0.5 +190

o0.5 +150

o0.5 +152

o0.5 +150

As it relates to his home run talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, Brandon Lowe will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Brandon Lowe will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Brandon Lowe has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.6-mph average to last year's 94.9-mph mark.

+190 at bet365

Total Bases

Henry Davis o1.5 Total Bases (+225)

Projection 1.34

Best Odds

o1.5 +225

Pick made: 16 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +212

o1.5 +202

o1.5 +225

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Henry Davis will hold that advantage today.. This season, Henry Davis has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.9 mph compared to last year's 92.5 mph mark.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.221) suggests that Henry Davis has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .157 actual batting average.

+225 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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MIA @

NYM Sun, May 31 • 1:40 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Juan Soto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+273)

Best Odds

o0.5 +320

Pick made: 1 hours ago

o0.5 +278

o0.5 +320

o0.5 +280

Juan Soto has absolutely mashed the baseball this season, sitting in the 99th percentile in xSLG, 97th percentile in Barrel%, and 93rd percentile in average exit velocity.

He's also beaten up right-handed pitchers, with a .659 SLG and nine of his 12 homers coming vs. righties.

Total RBIs

Jakob Marsee o0.5 Total RBIs (+263)

Projection 0.41

Best Odds

o0.5 +263

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +263

o0.5 +230

o0.5 +240

o0.5 +230

o0.5 +220

Jakob Marsee is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Nolan McLean throws from, Jakob Marsee will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. There has been a significant improvement in Jakob Marsee's launch angle from last year's 10.9° to 18.8° this year.. Sporting a .354 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jakob Marsee is positioned in the 92nd percentile for offensive ability.

+263 at DraftKings

View 11 Picks

LAA @

TB Sun, May 31 • 1:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Logan O'Hoppe o1.5 Total Bases (+215)

Projection 1.31

Best Odds

o1.5 +215

Pick made: 52 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +213

o1.5 +215

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O'Hoppe in the 81st percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Tropicana Field profiles as the #3 field in the league for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest LF fences among all major league parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane McClanahan throws from, Logan O'Hoppe will have an edge in today's matchup.. Out of every team in action today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.

+215 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total RBIs

Vaughn Grissom o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)

Projection 0.43

Best Odds

o0.5 +260

Pick made: 52 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +255

o0.5 +205

o0.5 +260

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vaughn Grissom in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Vaughn Grissom is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. Tropicana Field profiles as the #3 field in the league for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Shane McClanahan throws from, Vaughn Grissom will have an advantage in today's game.. Out of every team in action today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.

+260 at FanDuel

View 10 Picks

BOS @

CLE Sun, May 31 • 1:40 PM ET

8 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Willson Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (+151)

Projection 1.57

Best Odds

o1.5 +160

Pick made: 18 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +151

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +145

o1.5 +160

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Willson Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The #2 field in baseball for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Willson Contreras pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

+160 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total RBIs

Ceddanne Rafaela o0.5 Total RBIs (+235)

Projection 0.45

Best Odds

o0.5 +235

Pick made: 22 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +235

o0.5 +210

o0.5 +200

o0.5 +210

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Ceddanne Rafaela has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (59% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. The #2 field in baseball for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Ceddanne Rafaela's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 17.5% to 20.6%.

+235 at DraftKings

View 8 Picks

ATL @

CIN Sun, May 31 • 1:40 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Matt Olson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+325)

Best Odds

o0.5 +345

Pick made: 1 hours ago

o0.5 +345

o0.5 +300

o0.5 +310

o0.5 +320

o0.5 +310

Nick Lodolo's sinker has an xBA of .421 and an xSLG of .764, yet he’s still throwing it 23% of the time.

Matt Olson has gone yard four times against the sinker this year, while batting .310 with a .643 SLG vs. that pitch.

Total Bases

Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+150)

Projection 1.87

Best Odds

o1.5 +150

Pick made: 6 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +144

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +150

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #1 field in MLB for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his good side against Spencer Strider in today's game.

+150 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 11 Picks

MIL @

HOU Sun, May 31 • 2:10 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Moneyline

MIL (-182)

Best Odds

-185

Pick made: 12 hours ago

-193

-185

-190

I refuse to believe Tatsuya Imai has suddenly "figured it out" for the Astros after tossing six scoreless innings as part of a no-hitter last Tuesday. His ERA is still a sky-high 6.17. He can't hang with Jacob Misiorowski (1.83 ERA), so back the Brewers to -200.

Strikeouts Thrown

Jacob Misiorowski u8.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-106)

Projection 7.16

Best Odds

u8.5 -106

Pick made: 14 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u8.5 -107

u8.5 -120

u8.5 -106

u8.5 -114

u8.5 -120

Malachi Moore profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be calling pitches today.. Jacob Misiorowski will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.. Jacob Misiorowski's four-seamer usage has jumped by 7.9% from last season to this one (54.4% to 62.3%) .. Jacob Misiorowski has had some very good luck with his strikeouts this year, compiling a 14.06 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 12.29 — a 1.77 K/9 gap.

-106 at FanDuel

View 11 Picks

DET @

CHW Sun, May 31 • 2:10 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o7.5 (-120)

Best Odds

o7.5 -118

Pick made: 2 hours ago

o7.5 -119

o8.0 -115

o8.0 -110

o7.5 -118

o7.5 -120

o8.0 +100

The White Sox have an Over record of 8-2-0 in their last 10 games.

Spread

CHW -1.5 (+166)

Best Odds

-1.5 +162

Pick made: 2 hours ago

-1.5 +158

-1.5 +160

-1.5 +162

-1.5 +155

-1.5 +158

-1.5 +155

The White Sox have won five of seven against the Tigets, with four of those wins coming by at least two runs.

View 12 Picks

KC @ $Texas Rangers logo$ TEX Sun, May 31 • 2:35 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+144)

Projection 1.64

Best Odds

o1.5 +144

Pick made: 22 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +144

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +135

When it comes to his home run skill, Jake Burger ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jake Burger is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest fence height (on average) in MLB.. Jake Burger will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Jake Burger has performed at a clip of 26.9 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 79th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

+144 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Isaac Collins o0.5 Total RBIs (+290)

Projection 0.36

Best Odds

o0.5 +290

Pick made: 22 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +256

o0.5 +290

o0.5 +260

o0.5 +245

o0.5 +250

Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest fence height (on average) in MLB.. Isaac Collins's launch angle this year (18.2°) is considerably higher than his 12.6° angle last year.. In notching a .315 BABIP since the start of last season, Isaac Collins grades out in the 80th percentile.

+290 at bet365

View 10 Picks

SF @

COL Sun, May 31 • 3:10 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Casey Schmitt o0.5 Total Home Runs (+370)

Best Odds

o0.5 +370

Pick made: 1 hours ago

o0.5 +370

o0.5 +300

o0.5 +320

o0.5 +340

Casey Schmitt has been on fire with six dingers in the last 13 games, and he'll be hitting out of the most batter-friendly park in the majors today.

Rockies starter Tanner Gordon is also suscepitble to the long ball, ranking in the bottom five percentile in Barrel% and bottom 17 percentile in Hard-Hit%.

Total Bases

Bryce Eldridge o1.5 Total Bases (+115)

Projection 2.13

Best Odds

o1.5 +122

Pick made: 52 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +122

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +112

o1.5 +115

When it comes to his home run ability, Bryce Eldridge ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best park in the game for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 4th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.. Bryce Eldridge will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Gordon in today's matchup.

+122 at DraftKings

View 11 Picks

NYY @

ATH Sun, May 31 • 4:05 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Paul Goldschmidt o1.5 Total Bases (+115)

Projection 2.13

Best Odds

o1.5 +115

Pick made: 52 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +106

o1.5 +115

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The #2 venue in the league for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. In the league, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

+115 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (-120)

Projection 2.77

Best Odds

o1.5 -120

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -140

o1.5 -127

o1.5 -120

Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #2 venue in the league for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. In the league, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

-120 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

PHI @

LAD Sun, May 31 • 4:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+170)

Projection 1.83

Best Odds

o1.5 +170

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +138

o1.5 +132

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +170

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 2nd-best home run batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #2 park in the game for boosting home runs to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. In MLB, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

+170 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Andy Pages o1.5 Total Bases (+115)

Projection 1.98

Best Odds

o1.5 +115

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +109

o1.5 +105

o1.5 -130

o1.5 +115

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Andy Pages is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. The #2 park in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. Dodger Stadium has the 9th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums.. In MLB, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.

+115 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

AZ @

SEA Sun, May 31 • 4:10 PM ET

2 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)

Projection 0.53

Best Odds

o0.5 +190

Pick made: 16 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +190

o0.5 +160

o0.5 +156

o0.5 +150

When assessing his batting average skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 9th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. T-Mobile Park has the 10th-shortest average fence height among all major league parks.. T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs.. Julio Rodriguez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

+190 at bet365

Total RBIs

Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)

Projection 0.57

Best Odds

o0.5 +175

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +165

o0.5 +175

o0.5 +172

o0.5 +175

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. T-Mobile Park has the 10th-shortest average fence height among all major league parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Corbin Carroll pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

+175 at FanDuel

View 2 Picks

CHC @

STL Sun, May 31 • 7:20 PM ET

9 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)

Projection 0.53

Best Odds

o0.5 +220

Pick made: 14 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +189

o0.5 +220

o0.5 +185

o0.5 +178

o0.5 +180

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Among all major league stadiums, Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 83°.. In the past week, Michael Busch has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, putting up a 28.2° angle.. Michael Busch has recorded a .376 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 95th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

+220 at bet365

Strikeouts Thrown

Matthew Liberatore u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-105)

Projection 4.16

Best Odds

u4.5 -105

Pick made: 18 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u4.5 -112

u4.5 -110

u4.5 -105

u4.5 -114

u4.5 -120

Quinn Wolcott grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate in this game.. The #2 field in baseball for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 83°.. With 7 hitters who bat from the other side in the opposing team's projected lineup, Matthew Liberatore has a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.. Matthew Liberatore struggled when it came to striking batters out in his previous start and accumulated 2 Ks.

-105 at FanDuel

View 9 Picks

TB @

NYY Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET

3 Expert Picks 9 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Junior Caminero o0.5 Total Home Runs (+401)

Best Odds

o0.5 +410

Pick made: 7 days ago

o0.5 +385

o0.5 +410

o0.5 +333

Junior Caminero continues to crush the baseball, hitting .409 over the last week with 13 home runs on the season. Ryan Weathers has allowed all eight of his homers this year to right-handed batters, which sets up well for the powerful Tampa Bay slugger.

Moneyline

TB (+115)

Pick made: 7 days ago

Drew Rasmussen vs. the New York Yankees is a mismatch on paper — the righty is 4-1 with a 1.03 ERA and 51 punchouts in eight career games against New York. Coming off a thrilling comeback win on Friday, the division-leading Tampa Bay Rays are primed to keep the foot on the gas behind their dynamic arm to create more separation in the AL East.

View 12 Picks

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