MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 22, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Wed, Apr 22 • 12:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Victor Scott II logo
Victor Scott II u0.5 Total Hits (+135)
Projection 0.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Scott II in the 8th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Victor Scott II is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today's game.. 28% of the time that Victor Scott II has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. In today's matchup, Victor Scott II is at a disadvantage facing the league's 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.7% rate (90th percentile).
Total Hits
Jakob Marsee logo
Jakob Marsee u0.5 Total Hits (+187)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The 4th-deepest RF dimensions among all stadiums are found in LoanDepot Park.. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest out of every team today.. This season, Jakob Marsee's Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 8.1% last year to just 1.6% this year.. Jakob Marsee has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.1-mph dropping to 83.7-mph in the past week's worth of games.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Wed, Apr 22 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.07
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in the league.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. The #3 field in baseball for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Yordan Alvarez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Bibee in today's game.
Total Bases
Christian Walker logo
Christian Walker u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In Major League Baseball, the 4th-tallest fences are at Progressive Field.. Tanner Bibee will have the handedness advantage against Christian Walker today.. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest out of every team on the slate today.. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Christian Walker in today's game.. Christian Walker has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph dropping to 85.9-mph over the last 14 days.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Wed, Apr 22 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Ryan Vilade logo
Ryan Vilade u0.5 Total Hits (+120)
Projection 0.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Vilade in the 12th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 4th-worst venue in the game for righty BABIP.. Ryan Vilade hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 89th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 9th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.. Ryan Vilade's footspeed has fallen off this season. His 27.54 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.69 ft/sec now.
Total Bases
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.93
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 96th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Junior Caminero is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Junior Caminero will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Williamson in today's matchup.. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (38.8% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Wed, Apr 22 • 2:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Kansas City Royals logo KC (-124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

Chris Bassitt has been hit hard in four starts, giving up 23 hits in 16 innings, while giving up 11 runs. The Royals are in desperate need of a win to snap their nine-game losing streak, and I say as home favorites, this line is telling you all you need to know. 

Total Hits
Michael Massey logo
Michael Massey u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Michael Massey's BABIP talent is projected in the 8th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Michael Massey is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today's game.. 59% of the time that Michael Massey has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been pinch hit for.. Today, Michael Massey is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38.1% rate (94th percentile).. Michael Massey has had some very good luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .236 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .201 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Wed, Apr 22 • 3:07 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Nathan Lukes logo
Nathan Lukes u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Nathan Lukes has been pinch hit for 35% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.. Nathan Lukes has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball batters like Nathan Lukes tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jose Soriano.. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nathan Lukes today.. Nathan Lukes has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 5% rate last year has fallen off to 0% this season.
Total Hits
Bryce Teodosio logo
Bryce Teodosio u0.5 Total Hits (-108)
Projection 0.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryce Teodosio in the 0th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Bryce Teodosio is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today's game.. When starting against a left-handed pitcher since the start of last season, Bryce Teodosio has been pinch hit for 42% of the time.. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense projects as the 4th-best among every team playing today.. Bryce Teodosio has put up a .221 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 9th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Wed, Apr 22 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Josh Naylor logo
Josh Naylor u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 40 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 11th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the worst venue in the league for lefty batting average.. T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature on the slate today at 53°.. Josh Naylor has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 6.2% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past week's worth of games.
Total Hits
Carlos Cortes logo
Carlos Cortes u0.5 Total Hits (+135)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Cortes in the 11th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Carlos Cortes has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 47% of the time.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the worst venue in the league for lefty batting average.. T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature on the slate today at 53°.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Wed, Apr 22 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Gary Sanchez logo
Gary Sanchez o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Gary Sanchez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Comerica Park as the 10th-best ballpark in the game for run-scoring.. Among all stadiums, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to better offense.. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.
Total Bases
Kerry Carpenter logo
Kerry Carpenter o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Comerica Park as the 10th-best ballpark in the game for run-scoring.. Among all stadiums, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to better offense.. Kerry Carpenter will hold the platoon advantage against Chad Patrick today.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Wed, Apr 22 • 6:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Ozzie Albies logo
Ozzie Albies u0.5 Total Hits (+202)
Projection 0.95
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 6th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Nationals Park grades out as the #28 park in the game for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will bat from his bad side (0) today against Zack Littell. Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Total Hits
Keibert Ruiz logo
Keibert Ruiz u0.5 Total Hits (+138)
Projection 0.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 1st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in today's game.. The #4 ballpark in the majors for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will bat from his bad side (0) today against Martin Perez
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Wed, Apr 22 • 6:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Randal Grichuk logo
Randal Grichuk u0.5 Total Hits (+145)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 16th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Randal Grichuk is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today's game.. Randal Grichuk has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 45% of the time when starting against a left-handed pitcher since the start of last season.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this game projects the lowest temperature on the slate at 46°.
Total Hits
Giancarlo Stanton logo
Giancarlo Stanton u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 14th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this game projects the lowest temperature on the slate at 46°.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Giancarlo Stanton in today's game.
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ New York Mets logo NYM Wed, Apr 22 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Josh Bell logo
Josh Bell u1.5 Total Bases (-197)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Citi Field profiles as the #30 field in the game for overall lefty offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 4th-coldest temperature on the slate today at 55°.. Typically, bats like Josh Bell who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Clay Holmes.. Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Josh Bell today.
Total Bases
Kody Clemens logo
Kody Clemens o1.5 Total Bases (+215)
Projection 1.32
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 91st percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Kody Clemens is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Kody Clemens will hold the platoon advantage over Clay Holmes in today's matchup.. Kody Clemens hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Kody Clemens has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 101.3-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal average of 97.2-mph.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Wed, Apr 22 • 7:40 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Edmundo Sosa logo
Edmundo Sosa u0.5 Total Hits (+120)
Projection 0.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Edmundo Sosa is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.. Since the start of last season, Edmundo Sosa has been pulled from the game early in 26% of his appearances when starting against lefty hurler.. The #8 ballpark in the league for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to drop to the 3rd-lowest level on the slate today at 53°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs.
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber u1.5 Total Bases (-270)
Projection 0.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 28 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Wrigley Field ranks as the #26 venue in baseball for overall lefty offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to drop to the 3rd-lowest level on the slate today at 53°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Batting from the same side that Matthew Boyd throws from, Kyle Schwarber faces a tough challenge in today's game.. Today, Kyle Schwarber is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 41.5% rate (99th percentile).
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Wed, Apr 22 • 8:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Oneil Cruz projects as the 11th-best home run batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.. Batting from the opposite that Jack Leiter throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an edge today.
Total Bases
Josh Jung logo
Josh Jung u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Josh Jung is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Globe Life Field as the worst field in the league for run-scoring.. Hitting from the same side that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Josh Jung meets a tough challenge in today's matchup.. Josh Jung hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences today.. Josh Jung has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 9% rate last year has fallen to 1.8% this season.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Wed, Apr 22 • 8:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best park in the league for run-scoring.. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. The weather forecast forecasts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-130)
Projection 2.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 11th-best batter in MLB.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best park in the league for run-scoring.. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. The weather forecast forecasts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Wed, Apr 22 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Everson Pereira logo
Everson Pereira u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The league's 10th-highest average fence height can be found at Chase Field.. Everson Pereira hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 3rd-deepest CF fences today.. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense profiles as the strongest out of all the teams today.. Everson Pereira will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. Everson Pereira's speed has fallen off this season. His 28.31 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.88 ft/sec now.
Total Bases
Corbin Carroll logo
Corbin Carroll o1.5 Total Bases (+139)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Wed, Apr 22 • 9:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Teoscar Hernandez logo
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Oracle Park ranks as the #4 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Teoscar Hernandez has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of every team today.
Total Bases
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers u1.5 Total Bases (-260)
Projection 0.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The league's tallest fence height (on average) can be found at Oracle Park.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 5th-lowest temperature of the day at 59°.. Rafael Devers has struggled with his Barrel%; his 15.8% rate last season has dropped off to 10% this season.. Rafael Devers's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 96.3-mph average last year has fallen to 89.7-mph.. In the past 7 days, Rafael Devers's 5.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.1%.
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