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MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 22, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

TB logo
TB
TB

3.35 @ 4.44

NYY
NYY logo
NYY

Rays vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TB logo
TB
TB

3.35

+110

o6.5 -150

+1.5 -200

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

4.44

-125

u7.5 -138

-1.5 +176

Toronto @ Baltimore
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.13 @ 4.35

BAL
BAL logo
BAL

Blue Jays vs Orioles · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.13

+105

o7.5 -113

+1.5 -200

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

4.35

-120

u8.5 -151

-1.5 +176

Washington @ Detroit
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

3.76 @ 4.31

DET
DET logo
DET

Nationals vs Tigers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

3.76

+136

o7.5 -135

+1.5 -159

DET logo
DET
DET

4.31

-155

u8.5 -115

-1.5 +140

Top Projection Abimelec Ortiz u0.5 Total Hits (+110)
u0.5+112
Milwaukee @ Philadelphia
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

3.82 @ 4.21

PHI
PHI logo
PHI

Brewers vs Phillies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

3.82

+120

o7.0 -120

+1.5 -182

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

4.21

-130

u7.5 -120

-1.5 +160

Top Projection Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+217)
o0.5+217
St. Louis @ Pittsburgh
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

STL logo
STL
STL

3.94 @ 4.20

PIT
PIT logo
PIT

Cardinals vs Pirates · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

3.94

+130

o7.0 -120

+1.5 -175

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.20

-145

u7.5 -124

-1.5 +155

Top Projection Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+200
Cleveland @ Boston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

3.62 @ 3.88

BOS
BOS logo
BOS

Guardians vs Red Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

3.62

+110

o6.5 -125

+1.5 -200

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

3.88

-125

u7.0 -125

-1.5 +175

Top Projection Jahmai Jones o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
o0.5+300
Tampa Bay @ NY Yankees
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TB logo
TB
TB

3.18 @ 3.66

NYY
NYY logo
NYY

Rays vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TB logo
TB
TB

3.18

+115

o6.5 -120

+1.5 -200

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

3.66

-132

u7.0 -125

-1.5 +176

Cincinnati @ Atlanta
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.70 @ 5.13

ATL
ATL logo
ATL

Reds vs Braves · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.70

+160

o8.5 -159

+1.5 -130

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

5.13

-150

u9.5 -120

-1.5 +116

Top Projection JJ Bleday o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
o1.5+190
Chi. White Sox @ Kansas City
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.40 @ 4.31

KC
KC logo
KC

White Sox vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.40

-117

o7.5 -135

-1.5 +149

KC logo
KC
KC

4.31

+100

u10.0 -240

+1.5 -170

Top Projection Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total RBIs (+245)
o0.5+245
Miami @ Chi. Cubs
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

3.09 @ 3.64

CHC
CHC logo
CHC

Marlins vs Cubs · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

3.09

+181

o6.5 -118

+2.5 -220

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

3.64

-205

u6.5 +100

-2.5 +175

Top Projection Xavier Edwards o0.5 Total Home Runs (+2200)
o0.5+2200
NY Mets @ Texas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.28 @ 4.40

TEX
TEX logo
TEX

Mets vs Rangers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.28

+125

o7.5 -117

+1.5 -173

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.40

-137

u9.0 -210

-1.5 +155

Top Projection MacKenzie Gore o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+121)
o3.5-160
Arizona @ Colorado
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

6.07 @ 4.86

COL
COL logo
COL

Diamondbacks vs Rockies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

6.07

-150

o10.0 -152

-1.5 -120

COL logo
COL
COL

4.86

+162

u11.0 -115

+1.5 +105

Top Projection Kyle Freeland o2.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-105)
o2.5+120
Houston @ Seattle
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

3.96 @ 4.33

SEA
SEA logo
SEA

Astros vs Mariners · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

3.96

+125

o7.5 -110

+2.0 -248

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.33

-143

u8.0 -136

-2.0 +184

Top Projection Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
o1.5+130
LA Angels @ Athletics
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

5.37 @ 5.00

ATH
ATH logo
ATH

Angels vs Athletics · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

5.37

-108

o7.5 -225

+1.5 -256

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

5.00

-110

u10.5 -169

-1.5 +165

Top Projection Jonah Heim o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5+191
Minnesota @ San Francisco
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.41 @ 3.30

SF
SF logo
SF

Twins vs Giants · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.41

-130

o7.5 -110

-1.5 +135

SF logo
SF
SF

3.30

+115

u7.5 -105

+1.5 -152

Top Projection Brooks Lee o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
o0.5+210
San Diego @ LA Dodgers
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SD logo
SD
SD

4.51 @ 4.88

LAD
LAD logo
LAD

Padres vs Dodgers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SD logo
SD
SD

4.51

+105

o7.5 -143

+1.5 -205

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

4.88

-118

u8.5 -120

-1.5 +165

Top Projection Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+187)
o1.5+187
Washington @ Detroit
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

3.59 @ 3.76

DET
DET logo
DET

Nationals vs Tigers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

3.59

--

--

--

DET logo
DET
DET

3.76

--

--

--

Minnesota @ San Francisco
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.54 @ 3.29

SF
SF logo
SF

Twins vs Giants · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.54

--

--

--

SF logo
SF
SF

3.29

--

--

--

Toronto @ Baltimore
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.09 @ 3.40

BAL
BAL logo
BAL

Blue Jays vs Orioles · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.09

--

--

--

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

3.40

--

--

--

Milwaukee @ Philadelphia
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.09 @ 3.96

PHI
PHI logo
PHI

Brewers vs Phillies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.09

--

--

--

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

3.96

--

--

--

St. Louis @ Pittsburgh
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

STL logo
STL
STL

4.23 @ 4.11

PIT
PIT logo
PIT

Cardinals vs Pirates · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

4.23

--

--

--

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.11

--

--

--

Tampa Bay @ NY Yankees
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TB logo
TB
TB

3.72 @ 4.13

NYY
NYY logo
NYY

Rays vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TB logo
TB
TB

3.72

--

--

--

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

4.13

--

--

--

Cleveland @ Boston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

3.88 @ 3.87

BOS
BOS logo
BOS

Guardians vs Red Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

3.88

--

--

--

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

3.87

--

--

--

Cincinnati @ Atlanta
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

3.86 @ 4.86

ATL
ATL logo
ATL

Reds vs Braves · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

3.86

--

--

--

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

4.86

--

--

--

Chi. White Sox @ Kansas City
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.79 @ 4.88

KC
KC logo
KC

White Sox vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.79

--

--

--

KC logo
KC
KC

4.88

--

--

--

Miami @ Chi. Cubs
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

2.81 @ 3.79

CHC
CHC logo
CHC

Marlins vs Cubs · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

2.81

--

--

--

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

3.79

--

--

--

Tampa Bay Rays image thumbnail TB @ New York Yankees image thumbnail NYY Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Victor Mesa Jr. logo
Victor Mesa Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+215)
Projection 1.32
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Yankee Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.. In the past 7 days, Victor Mesa Jr.'s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.5%.. By putting up a .340 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Victor Mesa Jr. has performed in the 85th percentile for offensive ability.. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Victor Mesa Jr. ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 21.8° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in baseball.. Placing in the 86th percentile, Victor Mesa Jr. sits with a .347 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
Total RBIs
Cody Bellinger logo
Cody Bellinger o0.5 Total RBIs (+247)
Projection 0.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Cody Bellinger is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Yankee Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.. Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an edge today.. Cody Bellinger will probably have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays has just 1 same-handed RP.
View 10 Picks
Toronto Blue Jays image thumbnail TOR @ Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail BAL Tue, Sep 22 • 6:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best hitter in the game.. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humidity of the day (90%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Pete Alonso has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Pete Alonso will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best hitter in the game.. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humidity of the day (90%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Pete Alonso has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Pete Alonso will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
View 10 Picks
Washington Nationals image thumbnail WAS @ Detroit Tigers image thumbnail DET Tue, Sep 22 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
Projection 0.49
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Batting from the opposite that Jackson Kent throws from, Spencer Torkelson will have an edge in today's matchup.. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.
Total Bases
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson u1.5 Total Bases (-270)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today's game.. The #9 stadium in MLB for suppressing base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park.. The weather report calls for the 5th-most suitable pitching conditions on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.7% — 98th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB's 5th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Spencer Torkelson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 22.9% to 19.8%.
View 5 Picks
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail MIL @ Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail PHI Tue, Sep 22 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.4-mph in this game, the 7th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. The Milwaukee Brewers infield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams today.. Kyle Schwarber has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 16.1% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week.. Kyle Schwarber's average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 94.3-mph figure last season has decreased to 92.3-mph.
Total Bases
William Contreras logo
William Contreras u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.92
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.4-mph in this game, the 7th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Given Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, William Contreras will be at an enormous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish today.. William Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.. William Contreras has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 8.4% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past 7 days.
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St. Louis Cardinals image thumbnail STL @ Pittsburgh Pirates image thumbnail PIT Tue, Sep 22 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Alec Burleson logo
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.59
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Alec Burleson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 3rd-best park in baseball for LHB BABIP.. Hitting from the opposite that Jared Jones throws from, Alec Burleson will have the upper hand in today's game.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams today.
Total RBIs
Thomas Saggese logo
Thomas Saggese o0.5 Total RBIs (+307)
Projection 0.37
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thomas Saggese in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. PNC Park projects as the #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams today.. Thomas Saggese has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph to 93.1-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.. Thomas Saggese has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 92.5-mph average to last year's 89.8-mph mark.
View 10 Picks
Cleveland Guardians image thumbnail CLE @ Boston Red Sox image thumbnail BOS Tue, Sep 22 • 6:45 PM ET
Total Hits
Nick Sogard logo
Nick Sogard u0.5 Total Hits (+135)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Nick Sogard has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (57% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.. Nick Sogard has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 11% of the time when starting against a left-handed pitcher this year.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the best for pitching on the schedule today.. Nick Sogard has been lucky this year, putting up a .323 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .292 — a .031 disparity.
Total RBIs
Jose Ramirez logo
Jose Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+214)
Projection 0.45
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best park in MLB for run-scoring.. The switch-hitting Jose Ramirez will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Payton Tolle.. Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (43% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.
View 8 Picks
Tampa Bay Rays image thumbnail TB @ New York Yankees image thumbnail NYY Tue, Sep 22 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Victor Mesa Jr. logo
Victor Mesa Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1050)
Projection 0.12
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Victor Mesa Jr. ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest fences among all major league stadiums.. Over the past week, Victor Mesa Jr.'s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.5%.. Utilizing Statcast data, Victor Mesa Jr. ranks in the 85th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .340.. Victor Mesa Jr.'s 21.8° launch angle (a reliable standard to evaluate a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in MLB: 93rd percentile.
Strikeouts Thrown
Max Fried logo
Max Fried o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+132)
Projection 5.71
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Max Fried in the 79th percentile among all SPs in the majors.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Fried to throw 99 pitches in today's outing (most of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. Austin Wells, the Yankees's expected catcher today, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to less offense.. Max Fried has a reverse platoon split and should be aided by facing 6 opposite-handed bats in today's game.
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Cincinnati Reds image thumbnail CIN @ Atlanta Braves image thumbnail ATL Tue, Sep 22 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Eugenio Suarez logo
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as the league's 17th-best home run hitter.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 10th-best venue in the league for run-scoring.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. This game is projected to have the 4th-highest humidity on the slate (81%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Eugenio Suarez's launch angle in recent games (29.3° over the last 14 days) is considerably better than his 20.2° seasonal angle.
Total Bases
Sean Murphy logo
Sean Murphy u1.5 Total Bases (-245)
Projection 0.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Sean Murphy is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.. Today, Sean Murphy is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.5% rate (89th percentile).. Over the past 7 days, Sean Murphy's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.9% down to 0%.. Sean Murphy's launch angle this season (6.1°) is quite a bit worse than his 11.1° figure last year.. Sean Murphy's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, falling from 12.7% on the season to 0% in the last week's worth of games.
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Chicago White Sox image thumbnail CHW @ Kansas City Royals image thumbnail KC Tue, Sep 22 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Carter Jensen logo
Carter Jensen u1.5 Total Bases (-230)
Projection 0.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Dingers are generally less common at stadiums with deep fences, and Kauffman Stadium has the 2nd-deepest among all parks.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.9-mph in this game, the 6th-best of the day for mound aces.. Considering Anthony Kay's large platoon split, Carter Jensen will be at a tremendous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's game.. Carter Jensen has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 11.8% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past 7 days.. By putting up a .229 batting average this year, Carter Jensen grades out in the 23rd percentile.
Total Bases
Brenton Doyle logo
Brenton Doyle u1.5 Total Bases (-235)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Brenton Doyle is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. When starting against a southpaw this year, Brenton Doyle has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 39% of the time.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.9-mph in this game, the 6th-best of the day for mound aces.. Brenton Doyle hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 4th-deepest CF fences today.. Out of every team playing today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals.
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Miami Marlins image thumbnail MIA @ Chicago Cubs image thumbnail CHC Tue, Sep 22 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Dansby Swanson logo
Dansby Swanson u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Dansby Swanson is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game.. In the majors, the 7th-highest fence height (on average) are at Wrigley Field.. The weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-best pitching conditions on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 12.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for pitchers.. Janson Junk will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dansby Swanson in today's game.
Total Bases
Michael Conforto logo
Michael Conforto u1.5 Total Bases (-290)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Michael Conforto is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.. Michael Conforto has been pulled from the game early 29% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.. In the majors, the 7th-highest fence height (on average) are at Wrigley Field.. The weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-best pitching conditions on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 12.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for pitchers.
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New York Mets image thumbnail NYM @ Texas Rangers image thumbnail TEX Tue, Sep 22 • 8:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Mark Vientos logo
Mark Vientos u1.5 Total Bases (-230)
Projection 0.79
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
19% of the time that Mark Vientos has started against a left-handed starter this year, he has been pinch hit for.. The #1 venue in MLB for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.. The Texas Rangers outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best out of every team in action today.. Mark Vientos will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.
Total Hits
Corey Seager logo
Corey Seager u0.5 Total Hits (+200)
Projection 0.94
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Considering Sean Manaea's large platoon split, Corey Seager will be at a massive disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today's game.. Corey Seager hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's game.. Corey Seager has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 14.4% seasonal rate has fallen to 7.1% in the past 7 days.. In the past week's worth of games, Corey Seager's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 94.7 mph to 84.3 mph.. Corey Seager has compiled a .269 BABIP this year, checking in at the 22nd percentile.
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Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail AZ @ Colorado Rockies image thumbnail COL Tue, Sep 22 • 8:40 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Michael Soroka logo
Michael Soroka o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+102)
Projection 5.28
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Michael Soroka in the 76th percentile among all SPs in MLB.. The Colorado Rockies have 4 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Connor Norby, Zac Veen, Hunter Goodman, Mickey Moniak).. In his previous GS, Michael Soroka turned in a great performance and posted 10 strikeouts.. Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Michael Soroka has relied on his non-fastballs 12.2% more often this year (57.2%) than he did last season (45%).. Michael Soroka's 2526-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 95th percentile among all starters.
Total Bases
Mickey Moniak logo
Mickey Moniak o1.5 Total Bases (+136)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 31 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #1 stadium in the majors for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense.. Batting from the opposite that Michael Soroka throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an advantage in today's game.. Mickey Moniak is likely to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.
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Houston Astros image thumbnail HOU @ Seattle Mariners image thumbnail SEA Tue, Sep 22 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Cal Raleigh logo
Cal Raleigh u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
T-Mobile Park profiles as the #29 park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. T-Mobile Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Typically, hitters like Cal Raleigh who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Cristian Javier.. Cal Raleigh's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 39% to 31.6%.. Over the last 14 days, Cal Raleigh's 22.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 31.6%.
Total RBIs
Daulton Varsho logo
Daulton Varsho o0.5 Total RBIs (+263)
Projection 0.4
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Gilbert in today's matchup.. Daulton Varsho pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the worst among every team today.. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.2°, Daulton Varsho has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 23.6° mark in the last two weeks' worth of games.
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Los Angeles Angels image thumbnail LAA @ Athletics Athletics image thumbnail ATH Tue, Sep 22 • 9:40 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Yusei Kikuchi logo
Yusei Kikuchi o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+130)
Projection 5.83
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The Athletics have 5 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Henry Bolte, Zack Gelof, Lawrence Butler, Denzel Clarke, Max Muncy).. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.4-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for mound aces.
Total Bases
Travis d'Arnaud logo
Travis d'Arnaud u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Travis d'Arnaud in the 21st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Travis d'Arnaud is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.. Travis d'Arnaud has been pulled from the game early 52% of the time when starting against a lefty hurler this year.. Sutter Health Park has the 9th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for long-balls.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.4-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for mound aces.
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Minnesota Twins image thumbnail MIN @ San Francisco Giants image thumbnail SF Tue, Sep 22 • 9:45 PM ET
Total Bases
Walker Jenkins logo
Walker Jenkins o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Walker Jenkins has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (94% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate today at 91%.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.5-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Anthony Molina throws from, Walker Jenkins will have an edge in today's game.. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Walker Jenkins can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
Total Bases
Emmanuel Rodriguez logo
Emmanuel Rodriguez u1.5 Total Bases (-230)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Emmanuel Rodriguez in the 13th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Emmanuel Rodriguez is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 9th-worst field in MLB for run-scoring.. Among all stadiums, the tallest average fence height are at Oracle Park.. Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense.
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San Diego Padres image thumbnail SD @ Los Angeles Dodgers image thumbnail LAD Tue, Sep 22 • 10:10 PM ET
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers image thumbnail LAD (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Jon Metler logo
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

The Los Angeles Dodgers are trading as a 54% favorite, but I price them closer to 57%, so I'm hitting the button at this price. Justin Wrobleski will open the game, but the Dodgers also plan to use Roki Sasaki in a relief role as he returns from the injured list with a blister and prepares for a potential bullpen role in the postseason. Sasaki in relief is an intriguing weapon because he can empty the tank for a couple of innings, attack hitters with his high-octane four-seamer at the top of the zone and work his splitter off it down in the zone, rather than conserving his arm for 90-plus pitches. That usage is flying under the radar in this matchup, and I think it's a big reason we're seeing an edge at the current market price. Sasaki gives the Dodgers a legitimate weapon in middle relief who can help bridge the game to the back end of their bullpen.

Total RBIs
Max Muncy logo
Max Muncy o0.5 Total RBIs (+179)
Projection 0.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Max Muncy ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Max Muncy is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Dodger Stadium has the shortest average fence height in the majors.. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-most humid conditions on the slate today at 80%.. Max Muncy will hold the platoon advantage over Michael King in today's game.
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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.