MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 12, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sun, Apr 12 • 1:35 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Jeremiah Jackson logo
Jeremiah Jackson u0.5 Total Hits (+182)
Projection 0.79
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jeremiah Jackson ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jeremiah Jackson is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.. When starting against a righty hurler this year, Jeremiah Jackson has been pinch hit for 12% of the time.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for pitching of all games on the slate.. Adrian Houser will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jeremiah Jackson in today's game.
Total RBIs
Heliot Ramos logo
Heliot Ramos o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 47 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Heliot Ramos ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Heliot Ramos is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Heliot Ramos will have the upper hand in today's game.. Heliot Ramos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Sun, Apr 12 • 1:35 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 1 Computer Pick
Moneyline
Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ (+125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

This is one of the clearest mismatches on the board when you look at the mound. Zac Gallen gives Arizona a real edge, and the Diamondbacks have been more consistent offensively than the Phillies have. 

Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber u1.5 Total Bases (-140)
Projection 0.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 7th-worst venue in the league for boosting offensive stats to LHB.. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day.. Kyle Schwarber's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 99.7-mph EV last year has dropped off to 96.9-mph.. As it relates to his home runs, Kyle Schwarber has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His 45.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 42.2.
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Sun, Apr 12 • 1:37 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 6 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Josh Bell logo Josh Bell o0.5 Total Home Runs (+520)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Josh Bell leads the Twins with 12 RBI and is tied for the team lead with three home runs.

He'll have plenty of good looks today vs. a banged-up Blue Jays pitching staff. Max Scherzer has given up one homer in each of his two starts, while the bullpen has allowed 10 dingers and 70 hits.

Total Bases
Matt Wallner logo
Matt Wallner u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The league's 8th-highest average fence height can be found at Rogers Centre.. Extreme groundball batters like Matt Wallner generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Max Scherzer.. Matt Wallner will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.. Matt Wallner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 16.3% to 3.8%.. Matt Wallner has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs in recent games, striking balls between 23° and 34° just 0% of the time over the past week.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Sun, Apr 12 • 1:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Will Benson logo
Will Benson u0.5 Total Hits (+115)
Projection 0.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 12th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Will Benson is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.. This year, Will Benson has been pinch hit for in 56% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Will Benson has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.. With a .213 batting average since the start of last season, Will Benson grades out in the 9th percentile.
Total Bases
Logan O'Hoppe logo
Logan O'Hoppe o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O'Hoppe in the 87th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. The #1 park in baseball for boosting home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 82°.. Logan O'Hoppe will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's game.. Logan O'Hoppe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Sun, Apr 12 • 1:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 2 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Miami Marlins logo MIA (+176)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

This line leans heavily on Tarik Skubal’s abilities, but Sandy Alcantara has been dealing seeds thus far. Miami has been competitive all season, and we’ll back the better bats in this one. 

Total Home Runs
Heriberto Hernandez logo
Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1900)
Projection 0.07
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Heriberto Hernandez ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Heriberto Hernandez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Among all major league parks, Comerica Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Heriberto Hernandez will have an edge in today's matchup.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sun, Apr 12 • 1:40 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Total RBIs
Yandy Diaz logo
Yandy Diaz o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his batting average skill, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams in action today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Yandy Diaz will hold that advantage today.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ New York Mets logo NYM Sun, Apr 12 • 1:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 1 Computer Pick
Moneyline
Athletics Athletics logo ATH (+150)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

The Athletics can hit, and that matters in this matchup. Even with Freddy Peralta on the mound, the A’s have enough offense to create problems, especially against a Mets lineup that has been inconsistent.

Total RBIs
Shea Langeliers logo
Shea Langeliers o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 32 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Shea Langeliers as baseball's 19th-best home run hitter.. Shea Langeliers is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. Shea Langeliers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Shea Langeliers has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.8-mph average to last year's 90.8-mph mark.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Sun, Apr 12 • 2:10 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Munetaka Murakami as the majors's 3rd-best home run batter.. Munetaka Murakami is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #7 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the most humid conditions of the day at 86%.
Total Home Runs
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total Home Runs (+700)
Projection 0.2
Best Odds
Pick made: 38 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Munetaka Murakami as the majors's 3rd-best home run batter.. Munetaka Murakami is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the most humid conditions of the day at 86%.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.
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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sun, Apr 12 • 2:10 PM ET
8 Computer Picks
Total Bases
James Wood logo
James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in the game when estimating his BABIP ability.. James Wood is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 9th-best park in the majors for lefty home runs.. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks.. Among all parks, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.
Total Bases
Luis Garcia Jr. logo
Luis Garcia Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Luis Garcia Jr.'s batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Luis Garcia Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 9th-best park in the majors for lefty home runs.. Among all parks, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Sun, Apr 12 • 2:15 PM ET
1 Expert Pick
Total Home Runs
Jordan Walker logo Jordan Walker o0.5 Total Home Runs (+710)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Jordan Walker has gone yard in four of his last five games, and he’ll enjoy a favorable matchup vs. the Red Sox starter.

Brayan Bello has a massive 9.00 ERA and 2.50 WHIP over two starts, with righties batting .333.

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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Sun, Apr 12 • 2:20 PM ET
8 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (-115)
Projection 2.6
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Oneil Cruz projects as the 11th-best home run batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. This contest is predicted to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 20.7-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon in today's game.
Total Bases
Carson Kelly logo
Carson Kelly o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In Major League Baseball, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 4th-shallowest.. This contest is predicted to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 20.7-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Out of every team on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Carson Kelly will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Sun, Apr 12 • 4:10 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Total RBIs
Jake Burger logo
Jake Burger o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Jake Burger is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best venue in the majors for right-handed home runs.. In Major League Baseball, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 9th-shallowest.. In Major League Baseball, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Sun, Apr 12 • 7:20 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 3 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Matt Olson logo Matt Olson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+320)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Matt Olson has gone yard in four of his last nine games, and I like his matchup against the Cleveland Guardians’ pitching staff tonight.

The Guardians have given up 19 home runs in just 15 games this season – the third-most in the majors – with 10 of those coming against the bullpen.

Total Bases
Ronald Acuna Jr. logo
Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks as the 6th-best hitter in the game.. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 9th-best stadium in the game for righty base hits.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°.
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