MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 18, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Kansas City Royals logo KC @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Apr 18 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Paul Goldschmidt logo
Paul Goldschmidt u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Yankee Stadium ranks as the #27 field in MLB for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for hurlers.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals.. This season, there has been a decline in Paul Goldschmidt's quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.12 ft/sec last year to 25.22 ft/sec currently.
Total Bases
Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.49
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In Major League Baseball, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (37.9% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.8-mph average over the past week to his seasonal figure of 90.6-mph.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sat, Apr 18 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Austin Martin logo
Austin Martin u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Since the start of last season, Austin Martin has been pulled from the game early in 10% of his appearances when starting against southpaw.. The league's 5th-highest average fence height can be found at Target Field.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level of all games today at 41°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Austin Martin hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 9th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.. Out of every team today, the best infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.
Total Bases
TJ Friedl logo
TJ Friedl u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
TJ Friedl's BABIP talent is projected in the 6th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In the majors, Target Field's CF fences are the 9th-deepest.. The league's 5th-highest average fence height can be found at Target Field.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level of all games today at 41°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. TJ Friedl will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Sat, Apr 18 • 2:20 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Bo Bichette logo Bo Bichette o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-165)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Bo Bichette struggled out of the gate but he is starting to turn things around, even as the Mets continue to lose games.

Bichette has hit .274 since the beginning of April while leading the team with a 45.8% hard hit rate. He is finding more gaps and hitting the ball harder, which is a good sign.

His improved play should lead to healthy production on Saturday afternoon. Jameson Taillon (4.86 ERA, 6.27 FIP) has been very hittable this season, and Bichette has hit .375 over 24 at-bats against Taillon in his career.

Total Hits
MB
Moises Ballesteros u0.5 Total Hits (+120)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Moises Ballesteros is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.. When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Moises Ballesteros has been pulled from the game early 49% of the time.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Wrigley Field as the 7th-worst stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this game predicts the 3rd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 50°.. Among every team in action today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sat, Apr 18 • 4:05 PM ET
9 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Luis Garcia Jr. logo
Luis Garcia Jr. u0.5 Total Hits (+202)
Projection 0.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
59% of the time that Luis Garcia Jr. has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. Nationals Park profiles as the #27 venue in the majors for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Extreme flyball hitters like Luis Garcia Jr. generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Adrian Houser.. Luis Garcia Jr. has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 8.5% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past week.. Compared to his seasonal figure of 9.6°, Luis Garcia Jr. has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-6.3°) over the last 14 days.
Total Bases
Jorbit Vivas logo
Jorbit Vivas u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Jorbit Vivas ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jorbit Vivas is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.. This year, Jorbit Vivas has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 27% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the 2nd-worst park in the league for boosting offensive stats to left-handed batters.. Jorbit Vivas has been cold of late, putting up a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) in the past two weeks' worth of games.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sat, Apr 18 • 4:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Tampa Bay Rays logo Pittsburgh Pirates logo u7.5 (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Skenes shoves on home turf, and he’s had success against Tampa in the past. Rasmussen is also dealing this year. He has a 1.13 ERA across three outings, with opponents hitting just .138. Both pitchers consistently pound the strike zone, and there’s not a ton of hard contact coming off either of them. The Under has cashed in four straight meetings as well. 

Moneyline
Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT (-165)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Skenes has been dominant at home in 2026, posting a 1.46 ERA across two starts in 12.1 innings of work. He also receives a ton of run support from the Pirates' lineup when he takes the hill, and Tampa is batting just .161 against him in 31 at-bats. 

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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Sat, Apr 18 • 4:05 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Tyler Soderstrom logo Tyler Soderstrom o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-180)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Erick Fedde was crushed by left-handed hitters a season ago, allowing a .320 average, .397 wOBA, and 1.85 homers per nine innings.

He throws the sweeper, cutter, and changeup at almost identical rates against lefties and Soderstrom owns fantastic numbers against that mix. He is hitting .333 average with a .286 ISO and .423 wOBA.

Soderstrom should have the edge in this matchup and will get to face the 26th ranked bullpen by ERA when Fedde departs. 

Factor in Soderstrom also plays in one of the league’s most hitter-friendly ballparks – and weather approaching 80 fahrenheit is expected – and all signs point to a productive outing.

Total Hits
Carlos Cortes logo
Carlos Cortes u0.5 Total Hits (+165)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Cortes in the 10th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Carlos Cortes is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.. Carlos Cortes has been pinch hit for 46% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-lowest humidity of the day at 8%.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sat, Apr 18 • 4:10 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Dillon Dingler logo
Dillon Dingler u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Dillon Dingler is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to drop to the 3rd-lowest level of all games on the slate today at 50°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. Brayan Bello will hold the platoon advantage against Dillon Dingler today.
Total Hits
Andruw Monasterio logo
Andruw Monasterio u0.5 Total Hits (+124)
Projection 0.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to drop to the 2nd-lowest level of all games on the slate today at 48°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. Andruw Monasterio's speed has decreased this year. His 27.7 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.72 ft/sec now.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.266) may lead us to conclude that Andruw Monasterio has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .328 actual wOBA.
View 7 Picks
Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Sat, Apr 18 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Gary Sanchez logo
Gary Sanchez o1.5 Total Bases (+205)
Projection 1.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Gary Sanchez projects as the 16th-best home run hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Gary Sanchez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Gary Sanchez has displayed some good exit velocity statistics of late, averaging 103.8-mph on his flyballs over the past two weeks.. Utilizing Statcast data, Gary Sanchez grades out in the 82nd percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 25.400.
Total Bases
Jake Bauers logo
Jake Bauers o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Jake Bauers ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jake Bauers is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Jake Bauers will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Jake Bauers has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 100.8-mph average to last season's 94.9-mph mark.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Sat, Apr 18 • 6:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Jeremiah Jackson logo
Jeremiah Jackson u0.5 Total Hits (+130)
Projection 0.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jeremiah Jackson is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the 4th-coldest weather on the slate today at 51°.. Gavin Williams will hold the platoon advantage against Jeremiah Jackson today.. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jeremiah Jackson in today's matchup.. Jeremiah Jackson's average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 90.8-mph mark last season has dropped to 87.5-mph.
Total Bases
Kyle Manzardo logo
Kyle Manzardo u1.5 Total Bases (-230)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
This year, Kyle Manzardo has been pinch hit for in 25% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.. Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the 4th-coldest weather on the slate today at 51°.. In today's matchup, Kyle Manzardo is at a disadvantage facing the league's 7th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.2% rate (84th percentile).. From last season to this one, Kyle Manzardo's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 18.7% to 9.7%.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Houston Astros logo HOU Sat, Apr 18 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ivan Herrera logo
Ivan Herrera o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #6 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Ivan Herrera has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 93.9-mph in the past 7 days.
Total Bases
Alec Burleson logo
Alec Burleson o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Alec Burleson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the 6th-best ballpark in MLB for LHB home runs.. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Alec Burleson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lance McCullers Jr. in today's matchup.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Sat, Apr 18 • 7:15 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 4 Computer Picks
Total Singles
Alec Bohm logo Alec Bohm o0.5 Total Singles (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Alec Bohm has struggled to generate hits but he owns a .151 average on balls put in play, which is unsustainably low and light years away from where it should be.

For perspective, eight other Phillies have had at least 50 plate appearances. None of them have hit less than .250 on balls put in play.

Bohm is due for some regression, and this isn’t a bad spot for it to kick in. Bohm is 4-13 against Chris Sale in his career and all four hits went for singles.

He also managed a .295 average against lefties last year. He’s clearly capable of hitting them.

Total Bases
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper u1.5 Total Bases (-182)
Projection 0.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #23 ballpark in the game for overall lefty offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.. Given Chris Sale's huge platoon split, Bryce Harper will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today's matchup.
View 5 Picks
Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Sat, Apr 18 • 7:15 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Seattle Mariners logo SEA (-138)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

Most of the edge in the batter's box goes to Texas, but the Mariners pitching is top-notch, and I like Kirby a little bit more than Eovaldi in this spot. 

Total Hits
Josh Naylor logo
Josh Naylor u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 9th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks T-Mobile Park as the worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average.. T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to worse offense.. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Sat, Apr 18 • 8:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Mickey Moniak logo
Mickey Moniak u0.5 Total Hits (+155)
Projection 0.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Mickey Moniak has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 25% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for pitching of the day.. Typically, hitters like Mickey Moniak who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Emmet Sheehan.. By putting up a 5.69 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Mickey Moniak has shown poor plate discipline, ranking in the 4th percentile.
Total Hits
TJ Rumfield logo
TJ Rumfield u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects T.J. Rumfield in the 23rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for pitching of the day.. Over the last 7 days, T.J. Rumfield's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.3% down to 0%.. T.J. Rumfield's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, decreasing from 18.8% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.. T.J. Rumfield has shown some bad exit velocity statistics of late, averaging just 89.2-mph on his flyballs in the past 14 days.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Sat, Apr 18 • 8:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Nathan Lukes logo
Nathan Lukes u0.5 Total Hits (+200)
Projection 0.95
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
This year, Nathan Lukes has been pinch hit for in 40% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.. In the majors, Chase Field's centerfield fences are the 3rd-deepest.. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nathan Lukes in today's game.. Nathan Lukes has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 5% rate last season has dropped to 0% this year.. Nathan Lukes's average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 87.9-mph EV last year has decreased to 85.6-mph.
Total Hits
Jesus Sanchez logo
Jesus Sanchez u0.5 Total Hits (+200)
Projection 0.95
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
This year, Jesus Sanchez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 20% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.. In the majors, Chase Field's centerfield fences are the 3rd-deepest.. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jesus Sanchez today.. In the past week's worth of games, Jesus Sanchez's swing has not been well optimized for base hits, hitting a mere 23.5% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Sat, Apr 18 • 9:38 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Los Angeles Angels logo LAA (-104)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

The Angels have plenty of power in their lineup, and they are playing at home. German Marquez boasts a 5.54 ERA and 1.69 WHIP. That should be all they need to pick up the win. 

Total Bases
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.44
Best Odds
Pick made: 41 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 8th-best hitter in baseball.. Mike Trout is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. Angel Stadium projects as the #7 ballpark in the game for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.3-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.
View 11 Picks

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