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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
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Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 9, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.19 |
+115 
|
o7.5 +100 
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
4.29 |
-123 
|
u8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +170 
|
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 8-0 in Rangers last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 games following a win.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League West.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 overall.
- Over is 9-2 in Mariners last 11 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
o0.5+205
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.10 |
+166
|
o7.5 -128 
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
4.49 |
-189
|
u8.5 -114
|
-1.5 +120 
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 overall.
- Over is 6-2-2 in Nationals last 10 games as an underdog.
San Diego
- Under is 6-0-1 in Padres last 7 home games.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 vs. National League East.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+214)
o0.5+214
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.43 |
-178
|
o9.0 -115
|
-1.5 -110
|
|
3.85 |
+158
|
u9.5 -121
|
+1.5 +100
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Sorianos last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in Sorianos last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Athletics
- Over is 3-0-2 in Perkins' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.19 |
-105
|
o7.0 -180
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
3.78 |
-105
|
u7.5 +100
|
-1.5 +188
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+270)
o0.5+270
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.44 |
+266
|
o7.0 -182
|
+4.5 -345
|
|
5.19 |
-312
|
u8.5 -130
|
-4.5 +265
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 5-0 in Reds last 5 road games.
- Over is 5-0 in Reds last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Dodgers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Dodgers last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Tyler Stephenson o1.5 Total Bases (+240)
o1.5+240
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.92 |
+112
|
o8.5 -105 
|
+1.5 -182
|
|
5.09 |
-130
|
u8.5 -112
|
-1.5 +160
|
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Matthews' last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Twins are 4-0 in Matthews' last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Twins last 9 during game 3 of a series.
Detroit
- Tigers are 5-0 in Monteros last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 9-1 in Monteros last 10 starts as a home underdog.
- Tigers are 8-1 in Monteros last 9 starts as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
6.58 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.37 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
- Over is 6-2 in Blue Jays last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Athletics
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 overall.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 games as an underdog.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.89 |
-120
|
o8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
|
3.93 |
+106
|
u8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -160
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 vs. National League West.
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Giants are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.77 |
+165
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
|
4.90 |
-190 
|
u8.5 -114
|
-1.5 +125
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Kents last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 overall.
San Diego
- Under is 6-0-1 in Padres last 7 home games.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 vs. National League East.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.82 |
+136
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
|
4.20 |
-155
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +145
|
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League West.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Seattle
- Over is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 overall.
- Over is 9-2 in Mariners last 11 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-2 in Mariners last 8 during game 2 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.50 |
-104
|
o8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +149
|
|
4.28 |
-110
|
u9.0 -120
|
+1.5 -170
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Guardians are 6-1 in their last 7 road games.
Baltimore
- Under is 6-0 in Bazs last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Bazs last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Bazs last 5 home starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Bazs last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.45 |
+102
|
o8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.97 |
-118
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +160
|
NY Mets
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Miami
- Over is 4-0-1 in Marlins last 5 games as a favorite.
- Marlins are 4-0 in Junks last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.74 |
+140
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
4.90 |
-155
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +135
|
Houston
- Under is 6-0 in Browns last 6 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 vs. National League East.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 2-0-3 in Astros last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
Philadelphia
- Over is 5-0-1 in Sanchezs last 6 starts as a home favorite.
- Phillies are 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Sanchezs last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.23 |
+177
|
o9.0 -125
|
+1.5 -120
|
|
5.50 |
-200
|
u9.5 -110
|
-1.5 +105
|
LA Angels
- Under is 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-0 in Johnsons last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts overall.
Boston
- Red Sox are 8-0 in Bennetts last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Bennetts last 4 starts as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.23 |
+205
|
o8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -108
|
|
5.98 |
-235
|
u9.0 -110
|
-1.5 -110
|
Colorado
- Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Rockies are 8-0 in Suganos last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Suganos last 4 interleague starts.
NY Yankees
- Under is 3-0-1 in Yankees last 4 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Under is 5-1 in Warrens last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
TEX
@
SEA
Tue, Sep 8 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Joc Pederson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+500)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
With Mariners starter Bryce Miller allowing a massive .279 ISO and 2.33 HR/9 to left-handed hitters over his past nine starts, Pederson jumps out as a home-run target tonight. Pederson has hit 24 bombs against righties with a .248 ISO, after all.
Total
o7.5 (-125)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Both offenses are set up for success tonight. Seattle righty Bryce Miller has been incredibly inconsistent and allowed three or more runs in seven of his past nine starts while posting an alarmingly high 4.70 xERA and 5.35 xFIP. Texas counters with Cody Bradford, and he's struggled to the tune of a 5.48 xERA and 5.16 xFIP across six starts since returning to the majors Aug. 5.
WAS
@
SD
Tue, Sep 8 • 9:40 PM ET
Moneyline
WAS (+162)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
The Nationals have dropped five straight games and have seen their market price fall, trading at just 37% today in a matchup where I think they can be competitive. James Wood is back and has gone 6-for-19 with three extra-base hits since returning, giving a boost to an offense that was the highest-scoring in baseball in the first half. San Diego starter Casey Mize is not a pitcher I want to back as a 67% favorite. He's struggled since coming over from Detroit, owning a 6.67 ERA with eight homers allowed over 27 innings. His strikeouts are way down, and he's allowed five homers with just five strikeouts over his last three starts. His 6.05 xFIP is the worst of any San Diego pitcher in the second half with at least 20 innings. The Nationals are going with a questionable opener, but every other arm is basically available. With the market giving them just a 37% chance to win, THE BAT's 42% fair price gives us enough value to take a shot on the Nats.
Total Bases
James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.84
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. In MLB, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Petco Park has the 5th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. The weather forecast expects the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
TOR
@
ATH
Tue, Sep 8 • 9:40 PM ET
Spread
TOR -1.5 (-110)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
This is the biggest start of Jose Soriano's career, to put it mildly. It couldn't have come at a better time, either, as he's had some tremendous success against the Athletics during his time with the Angels, holding this lineup to a .215 xBA across 76 plate appearances. The A's ground out the third-most in baseball, which plays perfectly into Soriano's elite (91st percentile) ground-ball rate. On the other side is Jack Perkins, whose 8.6% barrel rate is among the worst in baseball. If Toronto can stay disciplined tonight, they should have no problem knotting the series.
Total Home Runs
Nathan Lukes o0.5 Total Home Runs (+625)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
STL
@
SF
Tue, Sep 8 • 9:45 PM ET
Total Bases
Nolan Gorman o1.5 Total Bases (+255)
Projection 1.24
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Landen Roupp throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an edge today.. Nolan Gorman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.. Extreme groundball hitters like Nolan Gorman are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Landen Roupp.. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants.
Total RBIs
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+270)
Projection 0.47
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Landen Roupp throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an edge today.. Nolan Gorman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.. Extreme groundball hitters like Nolan Gorman are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Landen Roupp.. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants.
CIN
@
LAD
Tue, Sep 8 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+286)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Teoscar Hernández is in a strong spot to go deep against Reds left-hander Nick Lodolo. Hernández has been crushing the ball lately, posting a .649 SLG, .719 xSLG and .244 ISO over his last 10 games, while generating a 64%+ hard-hit rate and 18% barrel rate. He’ll face Lodolo, who has struggled against right-handed hitters recently. The last 60 righties he has faced own a .350 xBA, .640 xSLG and .400 xwOBA, while Lodolo is allowing a 53.5% hard-hit rate, 16.3% barrel rate and 27.9% ground-ball rate. Don’t let Hernández’s home run last night scare you away from this prop.
Total Home Runs
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+335)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Teoscar Hernandez historically hammers lefties, and that is starting to shine through more and more of late.
Hernandez has hit .294 with a .235 ISO and .929 OPS against left-handed pitching over his past 30 games.
His ISOs against Nick Lodolo’s three most-used pitches during that span: .353, .235 and .600.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
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Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
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