MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 22, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

HOU @

CHC Fri, May 22 • 2:20 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Jake Meyers u0.5 Total Hits (+170)

Projection 0.8

Best Odds

u0.5 +170

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +143

u0.5 +170

u0.5 +150

u0.5 +155

The #5 field in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this game predicts the lowest temperature of the day at 57°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 11.3-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. Jameson Taillon will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Meyers in today's matchup.. Jake Meyers has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 5th-deepest RF fences today.

+170 at bet365

Total Hits

Yordan Alvarez u0.5 Total Hits (+170)

Projection 0.84

Best Odds

u0.5 +170

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +161

u0.5 +170

u0.5 +157

u0.5 +165

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 5th-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this game predicts the lowest temperature of the day at 57°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 11.3-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. In today's matchup, Yordan Alvarez is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.8% rate (75th percentile).. Typically, bats like Yordan Alvarez who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Jameson Taillon.

+170 at bet365

View 10 Picks

STL @

CIN Fri, May 22 • 6:40 PM ET

6 Computer Picks

Total Bases

JJ Bleday o1.5 Total Bases (+140)

Projection 1.71

Best Odds

o1.5 +140

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +126

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +122

o1.5 +120

As it relates to his home run ability, JJ Bleday ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. JJ Bleday is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. This contest is expected to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. JJ Bleday will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Leahy in today's game.. JJ Bleday pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.8% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

+140 at bet365

Total Bases

Ivan Herrera o1.5 Total Bases (+105)

Projection 1.93

Best Odds

o1.5 +105

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -101

o1.5 -110

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +103

o1.5 +105

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. This contest is expected to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Ivan Herrera has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

+105 at FanDuel

View 6 Picks

TB @

NYY Fri, May 22 • 7:05 PM ET

2 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Trent Grisham u0.5 Total Hits (+150)

Projection 0.74

Best Odds

u0.5 +150

Pick made: 53 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +141

u0.5 +140

u0.5 +150

Trent Grisham is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. Yankee Stadium grades out as the #25 field in baseball for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which often leads to less offense.. The weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.3-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hurlers.

+150 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total RBIs

Anthony Volpe o0.5 Total RBIs (+275)

Projection 0.39

Best Odds

o0.5 +275

Pick made: 53 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +275

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the 6th-best venue in the game for right-handed home runs.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage today.. In the past 14 days, Anthony Volpe has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .370.

+275 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 2 Picks

PIT @

TOR Fri, May 22 • 7:07 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 8 Computer Picks

Spread

TOR -1.5 (+134)

Best Odds

-1.5 +135

Pick made: 7 hours ago

-1.5 +130

-1.5 +134

-1.5 +125

-1.5 +130

-1.5 +135

While Bubba Chandler is struggling with control (36:30 K/BB ratio), Kevin Gausman remains in elite form, pacing the Blue Jays with a pitching run value that ranks in the 93rd percentile at Baseball Savant. Take Toronto to cover and land the first punch in this series.

Total Bases

Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+150)

Projection 1.84

Best Odds

o1.5 +150

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +147

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +150

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as baseball's 13th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage over Kevin Gausman in today's matchup.. Oneil Cruz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

+150 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 9 Picks

MIN @

BOS Fri, May 22 • 7:10 PM ET

4 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Willson Contreras u0.5 Total Hits (+170)

Projection 0.83

Best Odds

u0.5 +170

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +169

u0.5 +160

u0.5 +162

u0.5 +170

+170 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Hits

Jarren Duran u0.5 Total Hits (+202)

Projection 0.91

Best Odds

u0.5 +202

Pick made: 6 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +188

u0.5 +202

u0.5 +183

u0.5 +185

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This contest is predicted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hitting from the same side that Connor Prielipp throws from, Jarren Duran faces a tough challenge in today's matchup.. With a .275 wOBA in the last 14 days, Jarren Duran has been struggling at the plate.. Jarren Duran has done a poor job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 5.4° mark is among the lowest in the league since the start of last season (7th percentile).

+202 at bet365

View 4 Picks

NYM @

MIA Fri, May 22 • 7:10 PM ET

5 Computer Picks

Total Hits

MJ Melendez u0.5 Total Hits (-104)

Projection 0.45

Best Odds

u0.5 -104

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 -104

u0.5 -135

MJ Melendez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. MJ Melendez has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (85% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today's game.. In today's game, MJ Melendez is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38.3% rate (94th percentile).. Extreme flyball batters like MJ Melendez tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Eury Perez.. MJ Melendez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

-104 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Owen Caissie o1.5 Total Bases (+275)

Projection 1.11

Best Odds

o1.5 +275

Pick made: 24 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +186

o1.5 +275

o1.5 +145

o1.5 +175

When estimating his BABIP talent, Owen Caissie is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.. Owen Caissie will have the handedness advantage over Freddy Peralta today.. Owen Caissie hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Owen Caissie will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

+275 at bet365

View 5 Picks

DET @

BAL Fri, May 22 • 7:15 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+185)

Projection 1.54

Best Odds

o1.5 +185

Pick made: 14 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +160

o1.5 +185

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +160

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Taylor Ward is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Taylor Ward has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Taylor Ward will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

+185 at bet365

Total Bases

Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+135)

Projection 1.79

Best Odds

o1.5 +135

Pick made: 14 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +129

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +122

o1.5 +130

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 13th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP talent.. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Among all parks, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's right field dimensions are the shallowest.. Riley Greene will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt today... and even better, Bassitt has a large platoon split.

+135 at bet365

View 10 Picks

LAD @

MIL Fri, May 22 • 7:40 PM ET

8 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (+110)

Projection 2.37

Best Odds

o1.5 +110

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +100

o1.5 -105

o1.5 -115

o1.5 -104

o1.5 +110

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 4th-best field in MLB for left-handed home runs.. The 7th-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums are found in American Family Field.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.

+110 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total RBIs

Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total RBIs (+172)

Projection 0.64

Best Odds

o0.5 +185

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +170

o0.5 +185

o0.5 +175

o0.5 +172

o0.5 +165

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Kyle Tucker ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.. Kyle Tucker will have the handedness advantage against Logan Henderson today.

+185 at bet365

View 8 Picks

SEA @

KC Fri, May 22 • 7:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-101)

Projection 2.15

Best Odds

o1.5 -101

Pick made: 32 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -101

o1.5 -110

o1.5 -125

o1.5 -107

o1.5 -105

As it relates to his batting average talent, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Bobby Witt Jr. will hold that advantage in today's game.

-101 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Rob Refsnyder o1.5 Total Bases (+225)

Projection 1.29

Best Odds

o1.5 +240

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +216

o1.5 +240

o1.5 +225

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Rob Refsnyder ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 6th-best field in baseball for run-scoring.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.

+240 at bet365

View 10 Picks

$Texas Rangers logo$ TEX @

LAA Fri, May 22 • 9:38 PM ET

6 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Evan Carter u0.5 Total Hits (+127)

Projection 0.68

Best Odds

u0.5 +127

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +127

u0.5 +110

u0.5 +119

u0.5 +125

Evan Carter is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Angel Stadium ranks as the #21 venue in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Evan Carter will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.. Evan Carter's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 41.4% to 35.2%.. Evan Carter has been cold recently, struggling to the tune of a .268 wOBA in the past two weeks.

+127 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+150)

Projection 1.7

Best Odds

o1.5 +150

Pick made: 53 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +128

o1.5 +132

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +127

o1.5 +150

Mike Trout projects as the 6th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Among all parks, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Mike Trout will hold that advantage today.. Mike Trout has made significant strides with his Barrel%, upping his 15.5% rate last year to 22.4% this year.

+150 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 6 Picks

COL @

AZ Fri, May 22 • 9:40 PM ET

6 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Adrian Del Castillo u0.5 Total Hits (+158)

Projection 0.8

Best Odds

u0.5 +158

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +158

u0.5 +110

u0.5 +150

u0.5 +140

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adrian Del Castillo in the 11th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Adrian Del Castillo has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (89% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.. In MLB, Chase Field's CF fences are the 3rd-deepest.. Adrian Del Castillo has been cold recently, putting up a .242 wOBA in the past two weeks' worth of games.. In terms of plate discipline, Adrian Del Castillo's skill is quite weak, sporting a 5.89 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 13th percentile.

+158 at DraftKings

Total Hits

Jake McCarthy u0.5 Total Hits (+185)

Projection 0.92

Best Odds

u0.5 +202

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +179

u0.5 +202

u0.5 +176

u0.5 +185

Jake McCarthy hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.. Jake McCarthy will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.. Jake McCarthy's 5.6% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) ranks in the 24th percentile since the start of last season.. Jake McCarthy's 84.3-mph average exit velocity ranks among the worst in MLB since the start of last season: 7th percentile.. Jake McCarthy has notched a .285 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 17th percentile.

+202 at bet365

View 6 Picks

ATH @

SD Fri, May 22 • 9:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Brent Rooker o1.5 Total Bases (+145)

Projection 1.75

Best Odds

o1.5 +155

Pick made: 34 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +155

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +145

Brent Rooker projects as the 16th-best home run hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brent Rooker is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. In the league, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Brent Rooker hits many of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Brent Rooker's launch angle this season (20.3°) is quite a bit better than his 16.4° mark last season.

+155 at bet365

Total Bases

Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (+125)

Projection 1.93

Best Odds

o1.5 +125

Pick made: 12 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +125

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Shea Langeliers as MLB's 17th-best home run batter.. Shea Langeliers is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. In the league, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Shea Langeliers hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. San Diego's 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate creates a favorable matchup for Shea Langeliers, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

+125 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

CHW @

SF Fri, May 22 • 10:15 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Munetaka Murakami u0.5 Total Hits (+140)

Projection 0.78

Best Odds

u0.5 +155

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +148

u0.5 +155

u0.5 +148

u0.5 +140

Oracle Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to less offense.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the 2nd-lowest level of all games on the slate at 58°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Munetaka Murakami in today's matchup.. Munetaka Murakami ranks in the 7th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (35% rate this year).

+155 at bet365

Total Bases

Casey Schmitt o1.5 Total Bases (+150)

Projection 1.56

Best Odds

o1.5 +152

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +152

o1.5 +150

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +150

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Casey Schmitt in the 79th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Casey Schmitt is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.9-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Casey Schmitt will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Casey Schmitt has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 9.1% rate last season to 14.3% this year.

+152 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

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