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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 17, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.06 |
+105 
|
o10.5 +115 
|
-1.5 +165 
|
|
5.03 |
-120 
|
u10.5 -125
|
-- |
St. Louis
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Liberatores last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Singers last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Singers last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
o1.5+111
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.24 |
+143 
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -155 
|
|
4.50 |
-145
|
u8.0 -114 
|
-1.5 +146
|
Baltimore
- Orioles are 5-0 in Youngs last 5 starts vs. American League East.
- Orioles are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road favorite.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 4-1 in Rays last 5 vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-1 in Rays last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Rays are 9-1 in McClanahans last 10 starts on fieldturf.
- Under is 6-1-1 in McClanahans last 8 starts during game 4 of a series.
Top Projection
Shane McClanahan u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+101)
u4.5+105
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.20 |
-120
|
o8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +135
|
|
|
4.68 |
+100
|
u8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -165
|
St. Louis
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Lowders last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Lowders last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Lowders last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.27 |
+220
|
o8.0 -113
|
+1.5 +105
|
|
5.22 |
-225
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 -113
|
Miami
- Over is 7-0 in Marlins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Junks last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Philadelphia
- Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 home games.
- Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
o0.5+140
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.64 |
-115
|
o8.0 -106
|
-1.5 +145
|
|
3.94 |
+110 
|
u8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -155
|
Detroit
- Over is 8-0-1 in Valdezs last 9 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Valdezs last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Valdezs last 5 starts overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Pittsburgh
- Over is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Pirates are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
Top Projection
Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
o0.5+202
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.48 |
+135
|
o8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
4.69 |
-135
|
u9.0 -116
|
-1.5 +150
|
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Bratts last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Red Sox are 9-1 in their last 10 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Red Sox last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+177
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.21 |
+107
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
4.80 |
-115
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +170
|
San Diego
- Padres are 6-0 in Buehlers last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Padres are 6-0 in Buehlers last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 road games.
- Padres are 5-0 in Buehlers last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
NY Mets
- Under is 4-0-1 in McLeans last 5 starts vs. National League West.
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Mets last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Francisco Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
o0.5+250
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.37 |
+175
|
o8.5 -125
|
+1.5 -115
|
|
5.08 |
-180
|
u9.5 -124
|
-1.5 +112
|
Athletics
- Over is 4-0-1 in last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 road games.
- Over is 4-0-1 in last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs. American League Central.
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 7-0 in Wachas last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+197)
o0.5+197
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.73 |
-115
|
o9.0 -114
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
5.09 |
+115
|
u9.5 -120
|
+1.5 -150
|
Atlanta
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Braves last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Braves last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Minnesota
- Twins are 5-0 in Obers last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Twins last 5 games following a loss.
- Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Top Projection
Byron Buxton o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+170
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.21 |
+150
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
5.01 |
-160
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +138
|
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 7-1 in White Sox last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Cubs are 4-0 in Imanagas last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Top Projection
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+170
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8.00 |
-230
|
o10.5 -115
|
-2.0 -125
|
|
4.48 |
+225
|
u11.0 -115
|
+2.0 +102
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Snells last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Colorado
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. National League West.
- Rockies are 8-0 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 5-0 in Suganos last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Suganos last 4 starts vs. National League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Over is 6-2 in Yankees last 8 games as a road underdog.
Baltimore
- Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Orioles are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a home favorite.
- Orioles are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 4-1-3 in Giants last 8 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Cleveland
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 interleague games.
Pittsburgh
- Over is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Pirates are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 on fieldturf.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 vs. American League East.
Tampa Bay
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rays last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 7-1 in Rays last 8 home games.
- Under is 7-1 in Rays last 8 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 8-1 in Cardinals last 9 road games.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Reds last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Miami
- Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
- Under is 8-1 in Marlins last 9 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Philadelphia
- Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 home games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Arizona
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games.
- Red Sox are 9-1 in their last 10 games as an underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Red Sox last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
San Diego
- Padres are 7-0 in their last 7 games as an underdog.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Padres are 7-0 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
NY Mets
- Under is 6-0 in Mets last 6 home games.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Athletics
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 games as an underdog.
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Royals last 7 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Atlanta
- Under is 6-1 in Braves last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Braves last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Braves last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Minnesota
- Under is 8-0-1 in Twins last 9 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 vs. National League East.
- Over is 7-1 in Twins last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Seattle
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Mariners last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 overall.
Milwaukee
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 vs. American League West.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 road games.
- Over is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 games as a favorite.
Texas
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 7-2-1 in White Sox last 10 interleague games as a favorite.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 on grass.
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
LA Angels
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Houston
- Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League West.
- Over is 6-1 in Astros last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
LA Dodgers
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Dodgers are 9-1 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Colorado
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 6-2-1 in Rockies last 9 games a home underdog.
STL
@
CIN
Mon, Aug 17 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.03
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.
Total RBIs
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+153)
Projection 0.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Because of Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Nolan Gorman will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.
BAL
@
TB
Mon, Aug 17 • 6:05 PM ET
Total Hits
Coby Mayo u0.5 Total Hits (+110)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the 6th-worst venue in the game for right-handed BABIP.. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Coby Mayo in today's game.
Total Bases
Leody Taveras o1.5 Total Bases (+250)
Projection 1.26
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Tropicana Field ranks as the #3 ballpark in the league for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Leody Taveras has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Tampa Bay Rays.
MIA
@
PHI
Mon, Aug 17 • 6:40 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Cristopher Sanchez o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-125)
Aisha Quiñones
Senior Publishing Editor
Cristopher Sánchez has taken a massive leap forward this season with a pristine 15-4 record with a 2.54 ERA and 181 strikeouts across 25 starts. His combination of a high-70s wipeout changeup and a heavy sinker is generating soft ground-ball contact and elite swinging-strike rates. That has made it that much easier for him to own the divisional-rival Miami Marlins throughout his career (3-0, 1.06 ERA in 7 appearances). Miami’s current lineup continues to struggle with swing-and-miss against left-handed off-speed pitches, making this a prime spot for Sánchez to work deep while racking up whiffs.
Total RBIs
Brandon Marsh o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #9 field in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the opposite that Janson Junk throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand in today's game.. Brandon Marsh has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
DET
@
PIT
Mon, Aug 17 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Hits
Jared Triolo u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jared Triolo is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today.. PNC Park has the 7th-largest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally bad for homers.. This game is predicted to have the 9th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Total Bases
Spencer Torkelson o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Spencer Torkelson has big-time power (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (27.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Carmen Mlodzinski has a pitch-to-contact profile (20th percentile K%) — great news for Torkelson.. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.
AZ
@
BOS
Mon, Aug 17 • 7:10 PM ET
Moneyline
BOS (-161)
Aisha Quiñones
Senior Publishing Editor
The Boston Red Sox core thrive at home against left-handed starters, leveraging Fenway's unique dimensions (notably the Green Monster) to convert pull-side fly balls into extra bases. Against a younger southpaw like Mitch Bratt, Boston’s lineup is positioned to create early run support before the middle frames.
Total RBIs
Willson Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+146)
Projection 0.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Willson Contreras ranks as the 16th-best hitter in baseball.. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 3rd-best venue in baseball for run-scoring.. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Bratt throws from, Willson Contreras will have an edge in today's game.. Willson Contreras pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.7% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
SD
@
NYM
Mon, Aug 17 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Francisco Lindor o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Citi Field.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Francisco Lindor will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Marcus Semien o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.45
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Marcus Semien pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.1% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Marcus Semien will hold that advantage today.
ATH
@
KC
Mon, Aug 17 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Hits
Michael Massey u0.5 Total Hits (+182)
Projection 0.86
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 14th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Michael Massey pulls many of his flyballs (37.4% — 93rd percentile) and will be challenged by the league's deepest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 2.15
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB when assessing his batting average ability.. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #7 field in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 4th-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 83°.
ATL
@
MIN
Mon, Aug 17 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.84
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to more offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.. Austin Riley has a ton of pop (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (27.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Bailey Ober doesn't generate many whiffs (20th percentile K%) — great news for Riley.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.
Total Bases
Byron Buxton o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.19
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Byron Buxton projects as the 4th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Byron Buxton is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Byron Buxton will have the upper hand in today's game.. Byron Buxton will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
CHW
@
CHC
Mon, Aug 17 • 8:05 PM ET
Moneyline
CHW (+140)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
In baseball, I'm a fan of betting on streaks rather than against them, and the White Sox are carrying plenty of momentum into this series against the Cubs after sweeping the Tigers on the road to maintain their division lead. Shota Imanaga gets the start for the Cubs, and he relies heavily on locating a fastball at the top of the zone with high induced vertical break, causing hitters to whiff or pop the ball up. The White Sox have a strong counter, as they'll likely stack seven right-handed bats, several of whom feature flatter swing paths designed to stay on the same plane as Imanaga's fastball. For visual evidence, watch the fastball Miguel Vargas launched into the seats against Jacob Waguespack despite the pitch being well above the zone. The White Sox are trading at 41 cents on Polymarket, but I price them closer to 44 cents, which is why I'm hitting the button.
FirstFiveInnings Moneyline
CHC FirstFiveInnings (-175)
Aisha Quiñones
Senior Publishing Editor
Shota Imanaga continues to anchor the Chicago Cubs’ rotation with strong run suppression (3.80 ERA). His high-spin four-seamer paired with a late-fading splitter creates serious chase outside the zone—a dynamic that heavily favors him against a Chicago White Sox lineup prone to high strikeout rates against left-handed pitching.
LAD
@
COL
Mon, Aug 17 • 8:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.26
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures of all games today at 86°.
Total RBIs
Andy Pages o0.5 Total RBIs (+125)
Projection 0.96
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Andy Pages is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures of all games today at 86°.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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