MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 23, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Sat, May 23 • 1:10 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.01
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Jordan Walker ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #1 field in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Great American Ball Park.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humid conditions on the slate today at 92%.
Total RBIs
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+125)
Projection 0.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Jordan Walker ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #1 field in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Great American Ball Park.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humid conditions on the slate today at 92%.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, May 23 • 1:35 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Tampa Bay Rays logo New York Yankees logo u7.0 (+102)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

I'm on the market here and wouldn't play this below 7, but at a plus-money price with how the Yankees are swinging lately, I'm inclined to lean towards the Under. The Yankees' offense, one of the best in the sport for long stretches over the past three years, has really struggled lately. It's been held to three runs or fewer in nine of its past 14 games. It should be ugly conditions in Yankee Stadium today, add in Ryan Weathers' strikeout rate, which ranks in the 97th percentile of baseball, and both offenses should stay fairly quiet.

Moneyline
Tampa Bay Rays logo TB (+122)
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

Rasmussen has been a New York Yankees nightmare, posting a 1.03 ERA across eight career outings against the Bronx Bombers. This type of stat is meaningless without context, and we have it here. He's been able to do this because the Yankees are constantly reliant on their power, and Rasmussen is one of the best barrel suppression arms in baseball, sitting in the 96th percentile in such rates this season. Playbale to +100. 

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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Sat, May 23 • 2:20 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Houston Astros logo Chicago Cubs logo u7.5 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

Houston's Under record is 8-0-1 in its last nine games. 

Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (-142)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

Colin Rea has allowed just four earned runs in his last three home starts, going 2-0 with a 2.37 ERA.

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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Sat, May 23 • 3:07 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Paul Skenes logo Paul Skenes o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-132)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Paul Skenes has cashed the Over in strikeouts in five straight outings and continues to pile up Ks despite a slight dip in form this season. Toronto is struggling offensively right now, averaging 12 strikeouts over its last three games, while Skenes already has eight punchouts in 18 career at-bats against this lineup.

Total Bases
Marcell Ozuna logo
Marcell Ozuna o1.5 Total Bases (+156)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. The #3 park in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. The 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre.. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sat, May 23 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. Munetaka Murakami will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.. Over the past 7 days, Munetaka Murakami's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 21.4% down to 12.5%.. Munetaka Murakami's average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 94.4-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 92.3-mph in the past two weeks.. Munetaka Murakami's launch angle in recent games (9.5° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is significantly lower than his 14.5° seasonal figure.
Total Bases
Derek Hill logo
Derek Hill o1.5 Total Bases (+217)
Projection 1.32
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Derek Hill's BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Derek Hill has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .284 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .350 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Since the start of last season, Derek Hill's 12.3% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 83rd percentile among his peers.. Derek Hill is in the 94th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (53.5% rate since the start of last season).
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sat, May 23 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Jeremiah Jackson logo
Jeremiah Jackson u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jeremiah Jackson is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-coldest weather of all games today at 56°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. Jeremiah Jackson's launch angle this year (6.1°) is a significant dropoff from his 11.7° mark last season.. Posting a 9.56 K/BB rate this year, Jeremiah Jackson has shown bad plate discipline, grading out in the 1st percentile.
Total Hits
Weston Wilson logo
Weston Wilson u0.5 Total Hits (+120)
Projection 0.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Weston Wilson's batting average talent is projected to be in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Weston Wilson is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-coldest weather of all games today at 56°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. Weston Wilson's quickness has declined this year. His 28.15 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.71 ft/sec now.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Sat, May 23 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Brandon Marsh logo
Brandon Marsh u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 42 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #7 park in MLB for suppressing base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 2nd-lowest level on the schedule today at 54°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Among all the teams today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians.. Brandon Marsh's average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 89.4-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 86-mph over the last week.
Total Hits
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber u0.5 Total Hits (+130)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 38 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #7 park in MLB for suppressing base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 2nd-lowest level on the schedule today at 54°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Among all the teams today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians.. Kyle Schwarber's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, falling from 21.3% on the season to 0% in the last week.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Sat, May 23 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 2.27
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best hitter in the league when estimating his batting average talent.. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. The #6 ballpark in the majors for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today.
Total Bases
Vinnie Pasquantino logo
Vinnie Pasquantino o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The #6 ballpark in the majors for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today.. Batting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have an advantage in today's game.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Sat, May 23 • 4:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Juan Soto logo Juan Soto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+308)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Juan Soto is red-hot at the plate, batting .423 over the last week with four home runs, including homers in three of his last four games. While Max Meyer has limited long balls this season, Soto’s current form and recent power surge make him a strong value play.

Total Hits
Hayden Senger logo
Hayden Senger u0.5 Total Hits (-106)
Projection 0.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Hayden Senger ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Hayden Senger is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.. 42% of the time that Hayden Senger has started against a northpaw since the start of last season, he has been pinch hit for.. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. Max Meyer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hayden Senger in today's matchup.
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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Sat, May 23 • 4:10 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
CJ Abrams logo CJ Abrams o0.5 Total Home Runs (+560)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

CJ Abrams has been one of baseball’s best hitters this season, already launching 11 homers while batting .299 with 45 RBIs. He’s also homered twice in his last three games, and Grant Holmes has shown vulnerability against left-handed hitters.

Runs
Ronald Acuna Jr. logo Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Runs (-149)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored in five of his last six games and continues to make an immediate impact since returning from injury. He also has strong numbers against Jake Irvin, while Atlanta’s elite offense and Washington’s shaky bullpen create another favorable spot for Acuna to cross the plate.

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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sat, May 23 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu u0.5 Total Hits (+160)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to less offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. Wilyer Abreu has notched a .230 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total Hits
Willson Contreras logo
Willson Contreras u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to less offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 12-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. Hitting from the same side that Taj Bradley throws from, Willson Contreras will be in a tough position in today's matchup.. In the past week, Willson Contreras's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 15.5% down to 10%.
View 10 Picks
St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Sat, May 23 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Spencer Steer logo
Spencer Steer u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 29 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Hitting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Spencer Steer has a tough challenge today.. Spencer Steer has been lucky this year, compiling a .342 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .024 deviation.. Spencer Steer has recorded a .218 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total Home Runs
Matt McLain logo
Matt McLain o0.5 Total Home Runs (+650)
Projection 0.16
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Matt McLain is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 venue in MLB for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Matt McLain has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Matt McLain will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Compared to last season, Matt McLain has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16% to 22.1% this season.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sat, May 23 • 7:15 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD (-117)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Aisha Quiñones image
Aisha Quiñones
Senior Publishing Editor

Roki Sasaki is on the bump for the Los Angeles Dodgers as they look to rebound from a Game 1 loss to the Milwaukee Brewers in this series. His 5.09 ERA is a bit inflated, but his electric strikeout stuff means he can dominate any lineup when he's on. Expect a strong response from L.A. behind their young right-hander.

Total
Los Angeles Dodgers logo Milwaukee Brewers logo u9.0 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

The Dodgers (2.98; 2nd) and Brewers (3.22; 6th) both have elite bullpens, while the pitchers will benefit from a field with the fifth-lowest Park factor (97) in the majors.

LA will also likely be without top slugger Max Muncy, who left Friday's game after taking a heater to the wrist.

View 13 Picks
Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ San Diego Padres logo SD Sat, May 23 • 9:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Athletics Athletics logo ATH (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Aisha Quiñones image
Aisha Quiñones
Senior Publishing Editor

The San Diego Padres are tough at home, but J.T. Ginn gives the Athletics a serious edge to pull off Saturday's upset. The AL West-leading A's have a great weapon on the bump today, as Ginn brings a stellar 2.98 ERA and 44 strikeouts into this matchup. Grab the visitors to steal a big road win.

Total Bases
Shea Langeliers logo
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (+128)
Projection 2.01
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Shea Langeliers projects as the 15th-best home run hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shea Langeliers is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. In MLB, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Shea Langeliers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Shea Langeliers is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of San Diego (#3-worst on the slate today).
View 11 Picks
Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Sat, May 23 • 10:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Brandon Nimmo logo
Brandon Nimmo u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.89
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 6th-worst ballpark in MLB for left-handed batting average.. Brandon Nimmo has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.
Total Hits
Evan Carter logo
Evan Carter u0.5 Total Hits (+125)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Evan Carter is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.. 14% of the time that Evan Carter has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pulled from the game early.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 6th-worst ballpark in MLB for left-handed batting average.. Evan Carter will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.. Over the last week, Evan Carter's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 91.2 mph to 88.4 mph.
View 10 Picks
Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Sat, May 23 • 10:10 PM ET
8 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ezequiel Tovar logo
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 7th-best park in the league for run-scoring.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°.. Ezequiel Tovar has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.1-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 91.7-mph.. Despite posting a .247 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ezequiel Tovar has suffered from bad luck given the .048 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .295.
Total Bases
Corbin Carroll logo
Corbin Carroll o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.05
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Corbin Carroll projects as the 20th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 3rd-best field in baseball for left-handed batting average.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°.
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