MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 4, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

New York Mets logo NYM @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Mon, May 4 • 5:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 2.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano in today's game.. Juan Soto will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.
Total Bases
Brett Baty logo
Brett Baty o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Brett Baty is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Brett Baty will have the upper hand in today's game.. Brett Baty has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Mon, May 4 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Jahmai Jones logo
Jahmai Jones u0.5 Total Hits (+115)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 29 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jahmai Jones hits many of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 76th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 2nd-deepest CF fences today.. Out of all the teams in action today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox.
Total Bases
Willson Contreras logo
Willson Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. This matchup is expected to have the 8th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Willson Contreras will hold the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's game.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Mon, May 4 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Kazuma Okamoto u0.5 Total Hits (+195)
Projection 0.93
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Batting from the same side that Nick Martinez throws from, Kazuma Okamoto will be in a tough position in today's matchup.. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Kazuma Okamoto in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.2
Best Odds
Pick made: 31 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Junior Caminero is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Junior Caminero will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eric Lauer in today's game.. Junior Caminero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.5% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage today.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Mon, May 4 • 6:40 PM ET
9 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The weather forecast predicts the 5th-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Kyle Stowers pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 78th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's 4th-deepest RF fences today.
Total Bases
Alec Bohm logo
Alec Bohm o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.49
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Alec Bohm hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ New York Yankees logo NYY Mon, May 4 • 7:05 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 8 Computer Picks
Total
Baltimore Orioles logo New York Yankees logo u8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

The question here is, will the Yankees do enough damage against Shane Baz to clear this total on their own? Cam Schlittler will neutralize the Orioles' bats, and Baz should be better than he's looked. He throws hard, throws strikes, and unless it's an unmitigated disaster, I like the Under.

Total Hits
Ryan McMahon logo
Ryan McMahon u0.5 Total Hits (+115)
Projection 0.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 15th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today's game.. This game is projected to have the 3rd-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Ryan McMahon hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Mon, May 4 • 7:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total
Cincinnati Reds logo Chicago Cubs logo u11.0 (+100)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

This number is too high. Yes, Chase Petty is making his season debut for the Reds, and his first taste of MLB opposition went extremely poorly last season. But he has at least some pedigree, and Cincinnati won't hang him out to dry. And Cubs SP Edward Cabrera has looked mostly sharp to start his season (3.06 ERA, 1.19 WHIP). 

Total Hits
JJ Bleday logo
JJ Bleday u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
Projection 0.73
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
JJ Bleday's BABIP skill is projected in the 7th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. JJ Bleday pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 85th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 5th-deepest RF fences today.. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest among every team in action today.. Chicago's #2-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate poses a formidable challenge for JJ Bleday, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for JJ Bleday in today's game.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Mon, May 4 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.21
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his batting average skill, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 3rd-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the best for hitting of all games on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.. Bobby Witt Jr. will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Total Bases
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Salvador Perez ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the best for hitting of all games on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.. Salvador Perez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Mon, May 4 • 7:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Pedro Pages logo
Pedro Pages o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.36
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Pedro Pages has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. The weather report predicts the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt logo
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Wetherholt in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. JJ Wetherholt is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The weather report predicts the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Hitting from the opposite that Chad Patrick throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have the upper hand in today's game.. JJ Wetherholt will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Houston Astros logo HOU Mon, May 4 • 8:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Andy Pages logo
Andy Pages u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Andy Pages is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.. Steven Okert will have the handedness advantage against Andy Pages in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball bats like Andy Pages tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Steven Okert.. Andy Pages will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani logo
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (-117)
Projection 2.35
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best batter in the league.. Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. Shohei Ohtani will have the handedness advantage against Steven Okert today.. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the Houston Astros.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Mon, May 4 • 9:38 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami u0.5 Total Hits (+121)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most suitable for pitching of all games today.. Munetaka Murakami will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.
Total Hits
Nolan Schanuel logo
Nolan Schanuel u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most suitable for pitching of all games today.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Mon, May 4 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Cal Raleigh logo
Cal Raleigh u0.5 Total Hits (+140)
Projection 0.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Cal Raleigh is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
Total Bases
Mike Yastrzemski logo
Mike Yastrzemski o1.5 Total Bases (+280)
Projection 1.24
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Mike Yastrzemski pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams today.. Seattle's 3rd-worst outfield defense on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Mike Yastrzemski, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Mon, May 4 • 9:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 11th-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.7-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. Fernando Tatis Jr. has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst among every team today.
Total RBIs
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+234)
Projection 0.51
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.7-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. Willy Adames has big-time power (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (26.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Randy Vasquez struggles to strike batters out (24th percentile K%) — great news for Adames.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Willy Adames will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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