Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 16, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
LAD
@
LAA
Sat, May 16 • 9:38 PM ET
The Dodgers have the best roster in baseball and are short favorites against an Angels team that has dropped 19 of its last 24. This line shows respect for Angels starter Jose Soriano, but his .248 BABIP and 94% left-on-base percentage will both regress.
The Dodgers are in a bind after Blake Snell was scratched yesterday, forcing Dave Roberts to use eight bullpen arms. Both Justin Wrobleski (4.08 xERA, 2.42 actual ERA) and Jose Soriano (3.75 xERA, 1.66 actual ERA) are due for regression with the wind blowing out at 8-9 mph.
SF
@
ATH
Sat, May 16 • 9:40 PM ET
PHI
@
PIT
Sun, May 17 • 1:35 PM ET
PHI (+110)
Zack Wheeler against Paul Skenes is the best pitching duel on the entire slate. Pittsburgh is the home favorite at -127, but Wheeler is one of the premier arms in the National League, and the Phillies carry more offensive firepower. Getting plus money on a Wheeler start against any opponent is worth taking seriously.
TOR
@
DET
Sun, May 17 • 1:40 PM ET
DET (+115)
Jack Flaherty at home against Kevin Gausman is a quality pitching matchup, but Detroit gets the nod. Both clubs are sitting right around .500, and neither has been dominant recently, but the Tigers' bullpen has been sharper over the last two weeks. Home field at better than even money is a good value.
MIL
@
STL
Tue, Jul 7 • 2:15 PM ET
u8.0 (-120)
If Brandon Sproat can hold his own early, the Brewers will turn to an excellent bullpen that ranks fifth in xFIP and tied for third in homers allowed per nine innings.
Colder weather and Andre Pallante’s high ground-ball rate (50%) should allow the Cardinals to limit the long ball. That’ll make it difficult to score runs in bulk, helping keep this game Under the total.
MIL (-110)
Brandon Sproat’s xFIP and SIERA are two full runs less than his ERA, suggesting he hasn’t pitched as poorly as it appears on the surface.
Andre Pallante has posted some concerning numbers against lefties (47.2% hard-hit rate, 13.2% barrel rate), and the Brewers have plenty of good ones in their lineup. This mismatch favors the visitors, and we'll take the Brewers on the ML.
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