MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 23, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Sat, May 23 • 1:10 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.01
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Jordan Walker ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #1 field in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Great American Ball Park.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humid conditions on the slate today at 92%.
Total RBIs
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+125)
Projection 0.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Jordan Walker ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #1 field in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Great American Ball Park.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humid conditions on the slate today at 92%.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, May 23 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Ryan Vilade logo
Ryan Vilade u0.5 Total Hits (+123)
Projection 0.64
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 4th-worst ballpark in the league for righty BABIP.. Yankee Stadium's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for mound aces.. Ryan Vilade hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 96th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 5th-deepest CF fences in today's game.
Total Hits
Nick Fortes logo
Nick Fortes u0.5 Total Hits (+124)
Projection 0.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Nick Fortes's BABIP skill is projected in the 3rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nick Fortes is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 4th-worst ballpark in the league for righty BABIP.. Yankee Stadium's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Sat, May 23 • 2:20 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Houston Astros logo Chicago Cubs logo u7.5 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

Houston's Under record is 8-0-1 in its last nine games. 

Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (-142)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

Colin Rea has allowed just four earned runs in his last three home starts, going 2-0 with a 2.37 ERA.

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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Sat, May 23 • 3:07 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In MLB, the 8th-tallest average fence height are at Rogers Centre.. Patrick Corbin will have the handedness advantage over Oneil Cruz in today's game.. Oneil Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. In the last week's worth of games, Oneil Cruz's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 17.4% down to 0%.. Over the past 7 days, Oneil Cruz's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.3%.
Total Bases
Brandon Lowe logo
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.48
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best park in MLB for left-handed home runs.. The 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre.. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Brandon Lowe has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 13.6% seasonal rate to 26.7% in the last 7 days.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sat, May 23 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Will Brennan logo
Will Brennan u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
Projection 0.84
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Since the start of last season, Will Brennan has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 54% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.. Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. Will Brennan and his -1.3° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 3rd percentile, among the lowest in the league since the start of last season.
Total Hits
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.81
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. Munetaka Murakami will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.. Over the past 7 days, Munetaka Murakami's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 21.4% down to 12.5%.. Munetaka Murakami's average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 94.4-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 92.3-mph in the past two weeks.. Munetaka Murakami's launch angle in recent games (9.5° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is significantly lower than his 14.5° seasonal figure.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sat, May 23 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Jeremiah Jackson logo
Jeremiah Jackson u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.78
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jeremiah Jackson is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-coldest weather of all games today at 56°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. Jeremiah Jackson's launch angle this year (6.1°) is a significant dropoff from his 11.7° mark last season.. Posting a 9.56 K/BB rate this year, Jeremiah Jackson has shown bad plate discipline, grading out in the 1st percentile.
Total Hits
Adley Rutschman logo
Adley Rutschman u0.5 Total Hits (+205)
Projection 0.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-coldest weather of all games today at 56°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. In the last week, Adley Rutschman's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 93.1 mph to 82.5 mph.. Adley Rutschman has recorded a .252 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 9th percentile.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Sat, May 23 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Brandon Marsh logo
Brandon Marsh u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.87
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #7 park in MLB for suppressing base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level on the schedule today at 54°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Brandon Marsh's average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 89.4-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 86-mph over the last week.. Brandon Marsh's launch angle in recent games (5.3° over the last two weeks) is considerably lower than his 10.8° seasonal mark.
Total Bases
Chase DeLauter logo
Chase DeLauter o1.5 Total Bases (+163)
Projection 1.44
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Chase DeLauter is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB home runs.. Because of Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Chase DeLauter will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.. Chase DeLauter has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Sat, May 23 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-111)
Projection 2.25
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best hitter in the league when estimating his batting average talent.. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. The #6 ballpark in the majors for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today.
Total Bases
Cole Young logo
Cole Young o1.5 Total Bases (+141)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cole Young is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. The #6 ballpark in the majors for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today.. Cole Young will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Stephen Kolek in today's game.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Sat, May 23 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Juan Soto today.. Juan Soto's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 42.2% to 34.6%.. Juan Soto's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined recently, going from 34.6% on the season to 25% in the last 14 days.
Total Bases
Connor Norby logo
Connor Norby o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.4
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Connor Norby's BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Connor Norby has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (63% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. LoanDepot Park has the 5th-shallowest CF fences in MLB.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Connor Norby will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Sat, May 23 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Dominic Smith logo
Dominic Smith u0.5 Total Hits (+182)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Dominic Smith is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.. 12% of the time that Dominic Smith has started against a northpaw this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.. When it comes to his batting average, Dominic Smith has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His .304 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .252.
Total Hits
Matt Olson logo
Matt Olson u0.5 Total Hits (+195)
Projection 0.94
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.. Matt Olson has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 16.3% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week's worth of games.. Matt Olson's launch angle recently (2.2° over the past week) is quite a bit worse than his 17.5° seasonal figure.. Matt Olson has been lucky this year, notching a .386 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .350 — a .036 deviation.
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sat, May 23 • 4:10 PM ET
6 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Willson Contreras logo
Willson Contreras u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to less offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 12-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. Hitting from the same side that Taj Bradley throws from, Willson Contreras will be in a tough position in today's matchup.. In the past week, Willson Contreras's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 15.5% down to 10%.
Total Hits
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to less offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 12-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. Wilyer Abreu has notched a .230 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Sat, May 23 • 7:15 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Spencer Steer logo
Spencer Steer u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Hitting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Spencer Steer has a tough challenge today.. Spencer Steer has been lucky this year, compiling a .342 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .024 deviation.. Spencer Steer has recorded a .218 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total RBIs
Alec Burleson logo
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+125)
Projection 0.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Alec Burleson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 park in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Chase Petty throws from, Alec Burleson will have an edge in today's matchup.. Alec Burleson has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sat, May 23 • 7:15 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Los Angeles Dodgers logo Milwaukee Brewers logo u9.0 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

The Dodgers (2.98; 2nd) and Brewers (3.22; 6th) both have elite bullpens, while the pitchers will benefit from a field with the fifth-lowest Park factor (97) in the majors.

LA will also likely be without top slugger Max Muncy, who left Friday's game after taking a heater to the wrist.

Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Roki Sasaki throws his four-seamer 43% of the time, and that's something the Brewers' bats will take advantage of.

Opponents are hitting .342 vs. Sasaki's fastball, while the Brewers rank ninth in batting average against that pitch type when facing righties (.261).

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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ San Diego Padres logo SD Sat, May 23 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Shea Langeliers logo
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (+128)
Projection 2
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Shea Langeliers projects as the 15th-best home run hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shea Langeliers is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. In MLB, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Shea Langeliers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Shea Langeliers is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of San Diego (#3-worst on the slate today).
Total Bases
Jackson Merrill logo
Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. In MLB, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Jackson Merrill will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against J.T. Ginn in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Ginn has a large platoon split.. Jackson Merrill hits many of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Jackson Merrill will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Sat, May 23 • 10:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Brandon Nimmo logo
Brandon Nimmo u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 6th-worst ballpark in MLB for left-handed batting average.. Brandon Nimmo has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.
Total Hits
Alejandro Osuna logo
Alejandro Osuna u0.5 Total Hits (+126)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Alejandro Osuna is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today's game.. Alejandro Osuna has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 40% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 6th-worst ballpark in MLB for left-handed batting average.. Today, Alejandro Osuna is at a disadvantage facing the league's 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.2% rate (81st percentile).. Alejandro Osuna will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Sat, May 23 • 10:10 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best park in the majors for righty batting average.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°.. Posting a 29.100 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Hunter Goodman finds himself in the 86th percentile for power.
Strikeouts Thrown
Michael Lorenzen logo
Michael Lorenzen u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-102)
Projection 3.26
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Michael Lorenzen in the 21st percentile among all starting pitchers in baseball.. The Arizona Diamondbacks (19.2 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 2nd-least strikeout-heavy batting order on the slate today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the worst stadium in the majors for strikeouts.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°.
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