MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 30, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Fri, May 29 • 8:40 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Doubles
Rafael Devers logo Rafael Devers o0.5 Total Doubles (+267)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Rafael Devers is in an elite spot tonight against Michael Lorenzen at Coors Field, but instead of laying juice on traditional props like total bases or HRR, there is more value attacking his ceiling outcome. Rather than paying steep prices for safer markets, sprinkling on Devers to record a double and a home run offers far better upside at plus money. If Devers is going to do damage in this matchup, the expectation is that it comes in loud fashion. Coors Field only adds to that potential, and when a home run just misses, it often turns into a double off the wall anyway.

Total Home Runs
Rafael Devers logo Rafael Devers o0.5 Total Home Runs (+328)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Rafael Devers is in an elite spot tonight against Michael Lorenzen at Coors Field, but instead of laying juice on traditional props like total bases or HRR, there is more value attacking his ceiling outcome. Rather than paying steep prices for safer markets, sprinkling on Devers to record a double and a home run offers far better upside at plus money. If Devers is going to do damage in this matchup, the expectation is that it comes in loud fashion. Coors Field only adds to that potential, and when a home run just misses, it often turns into a double off the wall anyway.

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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Fri, May 29 • 9:40 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
New York Yankees logo Athletics Athletics logo o9.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

New York has a strong path to crooked innings, and the A's aren't a dead offense against left-handed pitching. While Rodon’s contact profile is excellent, his 18.6% walk rate creates risk against an Athletics lineup with plenty of pop. Severino is the bigger trigger. His high walk rate is also a risk factor in this matchup. I project the Yankees to drive the total, and the As to do enough to get this over. I'd play this to -130.

Total Home Runs
Aaron Judge logo Aaron Judge o0.5 Total Home Runs (+246)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

When you’re cold, it’s never a bad idea to take the most probable home run on the slate today at a projection of 0.39 HR from New York’s Aaron Judge. With an implied 0.33 HR from the +246 price, it grades out as a +EV spot for a Judge homer. This is also the second-best home run park on the slate, per Ballpark Pal, and the matchup is favorable for the right-handed slugger, who ranks as THE BAT’s No. 1 hitter in baseball. Luis Severino has struggled significantly at Sutter Health Park, where his ERA is roughly two runs higher than his season average and was three runs higher there last year. His 2.2 HR/9 at home is among the worst marks in baseball, and he has already allowed multiple home runs in three of his four home starts this season. Judge also has history in the matchup, going 4-for-8 with a home run and four RBIs across eight at-bats against Severino.

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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Fri, May 29 • 10:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Josh Naylor logo
Josh Naylor u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 15th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. The #2 venue in the game for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this game forecasts the lowest temperature on the slate today at 55°.. In the past 7 days, Josh Naylor's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.8% down to 0%.
Total Bases
Corbin Carroll logo
Corbin Carroll u1.5 Total Bases (-164)
Projection 0.94
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #2 venue in the game for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this game forecasts the lowest temperature on the slate today at 55°.. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Corbin Carroll today.. Over the last 7 days, Corbin Carroll's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.4%.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Fri, May 29 • 10:15 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI (+104)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Jon Metler image
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

This is pretty simple for me: if you’re going to give me an edge on the Philadelphia Phillies with Zack Wheeler on the mound, I’m hitting the button without hesitation. The Phillies are trading as +104 underdogs on the moneyline, but I actually price them closer to -115 favorites in this spot. The Los Angeles Dodgers feature a veteran lineup that thrives by working counts, drawing walks, and waiting for mistakes they can drive into the gaps or out of the park. That approach becomes much less effective against Wheeler. Wheeler owns a 1.91 BB/9 this season and rarely gives hitters free baserunners. He’s a veteran ace who knows how to force lineups like the Dodgers to earn everything while still pitching efficiently deep into games.

Total
Philadelphia Phillies logo Los Angeles Dodgers logo u8.5 (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
JD Yonke image
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

This spot makes for an appealing Under as both bullpens are fully rested following Thursday’s off day. Philadelphia, which has ace Zack Wheeler on the bump, has a 2.00 SIERA and 28.9 K-BB% in relief over the last 20 days. LA holds a 2.94 FIP in that span.

 

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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sat, May 30 • 4:05 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Strikeouts Thrown
Michael King logo
Michael King u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+124)
Projection 4.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 41 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Nationals Park profiles as the #21 ballpark in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Michael King's 92-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 16th percentile out of all starters.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Sat, May 30 • 10:05 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Nick Kurtz logo
Nick Kurtz o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Sutter Health Park ranks as the #2 venue in the league for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest fences in the majors.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 84°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 14.3-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.
Total RBIs
Austin Wells logo
Austin Wells o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Sutter Health Park ranks as the #2 venue in the league for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest fences in the majors.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 84°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 14.3-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ New York Yankees logo NYY Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 8 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Junior Caminero logo Junior Caminero o0.5 Total Home Runs (+401)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 days ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Junior Caminero continues to crush the baseball, hitting .409 over the last week with 13 home runs on the season. Ryan Weathers has allowed all eight of his homers this year to right-handed batters, which sets up well for the powerful Tampa Bay slugger.

Moneyline
Tampa Bay Rays logo TB (+115)
Pick made: 6 days ago
Aisha Quiñones image
Aisha Quiñones
Senior Publishing Editor

Drew Rasmussen vs. the New York Yankees is a mismatch on paper — the righty is 4-1 with a 1.03 ERA and 51 punchouts in eight career games against New York. Coming off a thrilling comeback win on Friday, the division-leading Tampa Bay Rays are primed to keep the foot on the gas behind their dynamic arm to create more separation in the AL East.

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