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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 29, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.37 |
+173 
|
o8.5 -131
|
+1.5 -115 
|
|
5.63 |
-191
|
u9.0 -110 
|
-1.5 +105
|
Kansas City
- Under is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 road games.
- Under is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 on grass.
- Under is 8-0 in Royals last 8 during game 2 of a series.
Minnesota
- Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Twins last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Twins last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Top Projection
Carter Jensen o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
o1.5 +150
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.78 |
-142
|
o7.5 +101
|
-1.5 +124
|
|
3.97 |
+129
|
u7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -137
|
NY Yankees
- Under is 4-0-1 in Schlittlers last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 8-1 in their last 9 road games.
- Yankees are 9-1 in Schlittlers last 10 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 5-0 in Martins last 5 starts as a home underdog.
- White Sox are 5-0 in Martins last 5 starts as a home underdog.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Top Projection
Miguel Vargas o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
o1.5 +160
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.64 |
-103
|
o7.5 -112
|
-1.5 +158
|
|
4.31 |
-107
|
u8.0 -119 
|
+1.5 -175
|
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 5-0-1 in Boyds last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Cubs are 6-0 in Boyds last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Cubs are 5-0 in Boyds last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Cubs are 5-0 in Boyds last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
St. Louis
- Under is 5-0 in Mays last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Mays last 4 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 vs. National League Central.
Top Projection
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
o0.5 +205
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.18 |
-130 
|
o9.5 -111 
|
-1.5 +124
|
|
4.34 |
+119
|
u10.0 -125 
|
+1.5 -137
|
Houston
- Under is 3-0-1 in Wesneskis last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Astros are 7-1 in their last 8 overall.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Astros are 7-1 in their last 8 games on grass.
LA Angels
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 7-1 in Angels last 8 home games.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+159)
o0.5 +162
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.93 |
-148
|
o10.5 -116
|
-1.5 +105
|
|
5.45 |
+134
|
u11.0 -120
|
+1.5 -116
|
Boston
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 overall.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
Athletics
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- are 5-1 in Lopezs last 6 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 during game 3 of a series.
Top Projection
Willson Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
o1.5 -110
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.73 |
+152
|
o9.5 -107
|
+1.5 -130 
|
|
6.43 |
-168
|
u9.5 -103
|
-1.5 +119
|
Seattle
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 overall.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Mariners last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Hancocks last 5 starts as a road underdog.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 7-0 in Lauers last 7 starts on grass.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Lauers last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 home games.
Top Projection
Josh Naylor o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
o1.5 +165
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.08 |
+108
|
o7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -191
|
|
3.76 |
-120
|
u7.5 -107
|
-1.5 +173
|
Texas
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 games as a favorite.
- Rangers are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 on fieldturf.
- Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 games on fieldturf.
Tampa Bay
- Over is 4-1-1 in Rays last 6 home games.
- Under is 9-2-1 in Rays last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 4-1 in Rays last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Rays last 5 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.28 |
+119
|
o9.5 -111
|
+1.5 -161
|
|
|
5.24 |
-136
|
u10.0 -125
|
-1.5 +155
|
Kansas City
- Under is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 road games.
- Under is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 on grass.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Minnesota
- Over is 6-0-1 in Obers last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Obers last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Twins are 5-0 in Obers last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Obers last 4 starts as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.78 |
-104
|
o8.0 -114
|
-1.5 +165
|
|
|
4.24 |
-107
|
u8.5 -121
|
+1.5 -183
|
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 during game 4 of a series.
- Yankees are 8-1 in their last 9 road games.
- Yankees are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Burkes last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.77 |
+105
|
o8.5 -103
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
|
4.33 |
-116
|
u8.5 -102
|
-1.5 +152
|
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 5-0 in Imanagas last 5 starts during game 4 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 vs. National League Central.
St. Louis
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 11-2 in Cardinals last 13 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.12 |
+110
|
o7.0 -110
|
+1.5 -191
|
|
4.45 |
-126
|
u7.5 -131
|
-1.5 +176
|
Miami
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 games as a favorite.
- Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
NY Mets
- Mets are 4-0 in McLeans last 4 starts vs. National League East.
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in McLeans last 4 home starts.
- Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.71 |
-112
|
o9.5 -114
|
-1.5 +136
|
|
4.27 |
+101
|
u10.0 -117
|
+1.5 -148
|
Pittsburgh
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 road games.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Reds are 6-0 in Greenes last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Lowders last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Reds last 7 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.42 |
+124
|
o9.5 +101
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
5.41 |
-137
|
u9.5 -115
|
-1.5 +146
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Atlanta
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 vs. National League East.
- Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
7.00 |
-158
|
o10.5 -105
|
-1.5 +102
|
|
|
5.83 |
+135
|
u10.5 -107
|
+1.5 -116
|
Boston
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Grays last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Red Sox are 7-0 in Grays last 7 road starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 road games.
Athletics
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in last 7 during game 4 of a series.
- Over is 5-2-1 in last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.07 |
+109
|
o8.5 -107
|
+1.5 -183
|
|
5.04 |
-124
|
u8.5 -107
|
-1.5 +168
|
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-1-3 in Giants last 8 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Giants last 6 vs. National League West.
San Diego
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+134
|
o8.5 -112
|
+1.5 -161
|
|
|
-- |
-148
|
u8.5 +101
|
-1.5 +146
|
Seattle
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 on grass.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Mariners last 4 vs. National League West.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 home games.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-121
|
-- |
-- |
NY Yankees
- Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 8-0-1 in Yankees last 9 interleague road games.
Chi. Cubs
- Under is 9-1-1 in Cubs last 11 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-108
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-116
|
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Cincinnati
- Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Reds last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-2 in Reds last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 7-2 in Reds last 9 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
Philadelphia
- Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 overall.
- Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 8-2-2 in Phillies last 12 interleague games as a favorite.
Baltimore
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-161
|
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 overall.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Blue Jays last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-154
|
-- |
-- |
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 8-2 in White Sox last 10 on fieldturf.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. American League East.
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rays last 4 home games.
- Over is 7-2-1 in Rays last 10 overall.
- Under is 8-2 in Rays last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Cleveland
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 vs. National League West.
- Guardians are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Guardians are 7-2 in their last 9 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+109
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
Miami
- Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a road favorite.
- Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-2 in Marlins last 8 overall.
NY Mets
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in Mets last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Mets last 7 on grass.
KC
@
MIN
Wed, Jul 29 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Kody Clemens o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.1
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Kody Clemens ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kody Clemens is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 89°.. Hitting from the opposite that Randy Dobnak throws from, Kody Clemens will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Among all the teams today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals.
Total Bases
Lane Thomas o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Lane Thomas is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°.. In the past two weeks, Lane Thomas's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.5-mph over the course of the season to 97.9-mph lately.
NYY
@
CHW
Wed, Jul 29 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Hits
Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total Hits (-137)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Munetaka Murakami has been one of the Chicago White Sox's most reliable bats, and I'm backing him to record a hit at -137 against Yankees right hander Cam Schlittler. While Schlittler has pitched well, Murakami covers nearly 100% of his arsenal, according to Batters-Box, and owns an elite matchup rating. Through 41 elite-rated matchups this season, Murakami has recorded a hit in 70.73% of them. He also crushes fastballs and cutters, the two pitches Schlittler throws nearly 78% of the time. Given Murakami's profile and Schlittler's recent struggles against lefties, this price is worth paying.
Strikeouts Thrown
Davis Martin u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+125)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
Davis Martin was shelled for nine runs and three home runs a month ago when he faced this Yankees lineup, but he still managed only four strikeouts. Since then, the surface numbers haven't been terrible, but the strikeouts have disappeared, with just 17 punchouts over his last 29+ innings. He has also benefited from facing some bottom-tier offenses during that stretch. Today, he is projected for a mid-80s pitch count, but I'm fading the projections that are leaning toward the Over. The market is moving the other way, and the leash remains the biggest concern. Martin's fastball velocity has been trending down since May, and he is outperforming his expected metrics. This was a pitcher who posted just a 6.56 K/9 over 140 innings last season, and the workload could be starting to catch up as his strikeout rate continues to slide.
CHC
@
STL
Wed, Jul 29 • 7:45 PM ET
Total
u7.5 (+105)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
I'm expecting this game to stay under 7.5 runs, with both offenses in less favorable spots than Tuesday night. The Chicago Cubs could be due for an offensive regression after their explosive performance, while the St. Louis Cardinals have struggled to consistently produce runs. Dustin May has also found another gear recently, with his strikeout rate climbing over his last few starts. That matches up well against a Chicago lineup that has struck out at a rate above 26% over its last six games. With May trending in the right direction and both offenses unlikely to replicate Tuesday's output, the under is my favorite look.
Moneyline
STL (-107)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
I usually avoid backing teams coming off a ten run offensive outburst, which makes the St. Louis Cardinals an appealing side in this matchup. St. Louis draws Chicago Cubs left hander Matthew Boyd, whose Batters-Box profile has a poorly rated average hard contact and ground ball ratings, making this a prime opportunity for the offense to get back on track. On the other side, Dustin May has been outstanding at home, posting a 3.34 ERA, 3.06 xERA, 1.18 WHIP, and allowing just a 4% barrel rate. If May continues his dominant home form, the Cardinals should be in a strong position to cash as the moneyline winner.
HOU
@
LAA
Wed, Jul 29 • 9:38 PM ET
Total Doubles
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total Doubles (+307)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Yordan Alvarez is in a prime spot to do damage against struggling right hander Grayson Rodriguez. Rather than laying heavy juice on his Over 1.5 total bases or hits, runs, and RBI prop, I prefer targeting his extra base hit markets. Rodriguez has been torched by left handed hitters this season, allowing a 10.53 ERA, 53% hard contact, and just a 27% ground ball rate, while surrendering a .364 expected batting average and .614 expected slugging percentage. Alvarez covers Rodriguez's entire pitch mix, while having an elite rating on Batters-Box.
Total Home Runs
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+192)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Yordan Alvarez is in a prime spot to do damage against struggling right hander Grayson Rodriguez. Rather than laying heavy juice on his Over 1.5 total bases or hits, runs, and RBI prop, I prefer targeting his extra base hit markets. Rodriguez has been torched by left handed hitters this season, allowing a 10.53 ERA, 53% hard contact, and just a 27% ground ball rate, while surrendering a .364 expected batting average and .614 expected slugging percentage. Alvarez covers Rodriguez's entire pitch mix and has homered in 30% of his elite Batters-Box matchups this season.
BOS
@
ATH
Wed, Jul 29 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Ceddanne Rafaela o1.5 Total Bases (-120)
Projection 2.2
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Ceddanne Rafaela is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the game for run-scoring.. Among all major league stadiums, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 101°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Willson Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 2.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Willson Contreras ranks as the 16th-best batter in MLB.. Willson Contreras is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the game for run-scoring.. Among all major league stadiums, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 101°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
SEA
@
LAD
Wed, Jul 29 • 10:10 PM ET
Total
u9.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Emerson Hancock has not pitched as well as his ERA suggests but he's still done some good things. He has limited homers effectively and he ranks in the 82nd percentile in walk rate.
The Seattle Mariners rank 29th with a putrid .084 ISO when facing lefties this month. Their lack of power will make scoring runs in bulk a big challenge.
Bet to -125.
Spread
LAD -1.5 (+120)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Emerson Hancock has a lot of red flags masked by a 3.16 ERA. He ranks in the 40th percentile in xERA, the 21st in barrel rate, and the 16th in hard hit rate.
That is not ideal heading into a matchup with the Los Angeles Dodgers, who lead the majors in OPS and rank second in hard hit percentage against right-handed pitching.
Back L.A. to win by multiple runs to +110.
CHC
@
STL
Thu, Jul 30 • 2:15 PM ET
Moneyline
CHC (-121)
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor
Shota Imanaga is coming off two straight quality starts, tossing 13 consecutive scoreless innings. Meanwhile, Cardinals starter Andre Pallante has struggled against the Cubs throughout his career, with Chicago slashing .343/.413/.552 against the right-hander. Back the Cubs on Thursday afternoon.
TOR
@
CHC
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.
Total Hits
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits (-130)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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