Detroit @ Seattle Picks & Props

DET vs SEA Picks

MLB Picks
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Riley Greene logo Riley Greene o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Riley Greene had multiple H+R+R in four of his final six regular season games and picked up where he left off in the playoffs, going 3-3 against the Cleveland Guardians. He hits for a lot of power against both of George Kirby's most used pitches, making him the most likely Tigers player to find success.

Total Singles
Josh Naylor logo Josh Naylor o0.5 Total Singles (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Josh Naylor hit a single in 59% of his regular season appaerances and recorded one in nine straight to end the year. He profiles well against Troy Melton and hits well against arms of each handedness, meaning he won't be taken out of the game by bullpen matchups.

Strikeouts Thrown
George Kirby logo George Kirby o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

George Kirby struck out more than 33% of opposing batters over the last month. The strikeouts should continue to pile up against a Tigers squad that posted the 4th highest K% against righties in September.

Strikeouts Thrown
George Kirby logo George Kirby o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

It’s well known that Kirby is a strikeout arm who consistently grades in the top 20th percentile of the league in K-rate, just like this year. His breaking arsenal is truly elite: the slider and knuckle curve both generate a strikeout rate north of 35%, and Kirby will line up against as many as five Detroit hitters who sport above-average strikeout rates versus those pitches. That’s the edge that pushes this play across the line. I’d play this to my fair number of -142.

Strikeouts Thrown
George Kirby logo
George Kirby u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-105)
Projection 5.98 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Kirby to throw 81 pitches today (3rd-most of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. George Kirby has utilized his change-up 5.3% less often this year (4.9%) than he did last season (10.2%).. George Kirby has had some very good luck with his strikeouts this year, putting up a 9.79 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.57 — a 1.22 K/9 discrepancy.
Total RBIs
Riley Greene logo
Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+213)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP skill.. Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today.. Because of Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Riley Greene will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Cal Raleigh logo
Cal Raleigh u1.5 Total Bases (-137)
Projection 0.62 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks T-Mobile Park as the worst field in the league for run-scoring.. T-Mobile Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Cal Raleigh will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side against Tarik Skubal in this game.. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.
Outs Recorded
George Kirby logo
George Kirby u17.5 Outs Recorded (+104)
Projection 15.45 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Kirby to throw 81 pitches today (3rd-most of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest RF fences among all major league stadiums.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams in action today.. In his previous start, George Kirby allowed a monstrous 5 earned runs.
Total Bases
Julio Rodriguez logo
Julio Rodriguez u1.5 Total Bases (-149)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks T-Mobile Park as the worst field in the league for run-scoring.. T-Mobile Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.. Compared to his seasonal mark of 9.2°, Julio Rodriguez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.1°) over the last two weeks.
Total Bases
Randy Arozarena logo
Randy Arozarena u1.5 Total Bases (-187)
Projection 0.7 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks T-Mobile Park as the worst field in the league for run-scoring.. T-Mobile Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.. Over the past two weeks, Randy Arozarena's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (1.9°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 10.2°.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Colt Keith logo
Colt Keith o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-140)
Projection 1.38 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Colt Keith is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today.. Because of Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Colt Keith will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.
Total Bases
Josh Naylor logo
Josh Naylor u1.5 Total Bases (-195)
Projection 0.76 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Josh Naylor is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks T-Mobile Park as the worst field in the league for run-scoring.. T-Mobile Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. Hitting from the same side that Tarik Skubal throws from, Josh Naylor will have a tough challenge in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.48 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today.. Spencer Torkelson pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.2% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.. Compared to his seasonal average of 23.4°, Spencer Torkelson has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 37.6° mark over the past 14 days.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Parker Meadows logo
Parker Meadows o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-125)
Projection 1.14 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today.. Considering Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Parker Meadows will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. Parker Meadows pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Parker Meadows's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (38.8° over the past 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 12.9° seasonal mark.. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Parker Meadows has experienced some negative variance this year. His .277 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .314.
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DET vs SEA Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

65% picking Seattle

35%
65%

Total PicksDET 273, SEA 514

Moneyline
DET
SEA

DET vs SEA Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Colt Keith Total Hits Props • Detroit

Colt Keith
C. Keith
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.74
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Colt Keith is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Because of Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Colt Keith will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

Colt Keith logo

Colt Keith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.74
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.74

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Colt Keith is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Because of Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Colt Keith will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

Parker Meadows Total Hits Props • Detroit

Parker Meadows
P. Meadows
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Considering Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Parker Meadows will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Parker Meadows pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Parker Meadows's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (38.8° over the past 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 12.9° seasonal mark. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Parker Meadows has experienced some negative variance this year. His .277 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .314.

Parker Meadows logo

Parker Meadows

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Considering Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Parker Meadows will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Parker Meadows pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Parker Meadows's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (38.8° over the past 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 12.9° seasonal mark. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Parker Meadows has experienced some negative variance this year. His .277 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .314.

Riley Greene Total Hits Props • Detroit

Riley Greene
R. Greene
left outfield LF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.86
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP skill. Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Because of Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Riley Greene will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.

Riley Greene logo

Riley Greene

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.86
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.86

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP skill. Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Because of Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Riley Greene will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.

J.P. Crawford Total Hits Props • Seattle

J.P. Crawford
J. Crawford
shortstop SS • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.68
Best Odds

J.P. Crawford's batting average talent is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. J.P. Crawford will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.292) may lead us to conclude that J.P. Crawford has had bad variance on his side this year with his .265 actual batting average.

J.P. Crawford logo

J.P. Crawford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.68
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.68

J.P. Crawford's batting average talent is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. J.P. Crawford will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.292) may lead us to conclude that J.P. Crawford has had bad variance on his side this year with his .265 actual batting average.

Wenceel Perez Total Hits Props • Detroit

Wenceel Perez
W. Perez
right outfield RF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.81
Best Odds

Wenceel Perez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (58% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Wenceel Perez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against George Kirby today. Wenceel Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.1% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams in action today.

Wenceel Perez logo

Wenceel Perez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.81
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.81

Wenceel Perez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (58% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Wenceel Perez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against George Kirby today. Wenceel Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.1% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams in action today.

Kerry Carpenter Total Hits Props • Detroit

Kerry Carpenter
K. Carpenter
right outfield RF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.79
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Kerry Carpenter is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Kerry Carpenter will have the handedness advantage against Luis Castillo in today's game... and moreover, Castillo has a large platoon split. Kerry Carpenter pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.4% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Kerry Carpenter logo

Kerry Carpenter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.79
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.79

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Kerry Carpenter is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Kerry Carpenter will have the handedness advantage against Luis Castillo in today's game... and moreover, Castillo has a large platoon split. Kerry Carpenter pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.4% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Zach McKinstry Total Hits Props • Detroit

Zach McKinstry
Z. McKinstry
third base 3B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.71
Best Odds

Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Given Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Zach McKinstry will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Compared to last year, Zach McKinstry has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 44.5% to 49.6% this season. Zach McKinstry has notched a .316 BABIP this year, placing in the 76th percentile.

Zach McKinstry logo

Zach McKinstry

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.71
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.71

Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Given Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Zach McKinstry will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Compared to last year, Zach McKinstry has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 44.5% to 49.6% this season. Zach McKinstry has notched a .316 BABIP this year, placing in the 76th percentile.

Javier Baez Total Hits Props • Detroit

Javier Baez
J. Baez
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.66
Best Odds

Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Javier Baez is an extreme groundball batter and matches up with the strong infield defense of Seattle (#3-best of all teams on the slate today). Javier Baez has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last season's 89.2-mph figure. Javier Baez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 35% to 40.9%.

Javier Baez logo

Javier Baez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.66
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.66

Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Javier Baez is an extreme groundball batter and matches up with the strong infield defense of Seattle (#3-best of all teams on the slate today). Javier Baez has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last season's 89.2-mph figure. Javier Baez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 35% to 40.9%.

Spencer Torkelson Total Hits Props • Detroit

Spencer Torkelson
S. Torkelson
first base 1B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.68
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Spencer Torkelson pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.2% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Compared to his seasonal average of 23.4°, Spencer Torkelson has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 37.6° mark over the past 14 days.

Spencer Torkelson logo

Spencer Torkelson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.68
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.68

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Spencer Torkelson pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.2% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Compared to his seasonal average of 23.4°, Spencer Torkelson has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 37.6° mark over the past 14 days.

Dillon Dingler Total Hits Props • Detroit

Dillon Dingler
D. Dingler
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.73
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Over the last 14 days, Dillon Dingler's 68.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 53.1%. Dillon Dingler ranks in the 100th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (53.1% rate this year).

Dillon Dingler logo

Dillon Dingler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.73
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.73

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Over the last 14 days, Dillon Dingler's 68.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 53.1%. Dillon Dingler ranks in the 100th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (53.1% rate this year).

Dominic Canzone Total Hits Props • Seattle

Dominic Canzone
D. Canzone
right outfield RF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.73
Best Odds

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for dingers. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Dominic Canzone will have the handedness advantage over Troy Melton in today's game... and even more favorably, Melton has a large platoon split. Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Dominic Canzone will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Dominic Canzone logo

Dominic Canzone

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.73
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.73

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for dingers. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Dominic Canzone will have the handedness advantage over Troy Melton in today's game... and even more favorably, Melton has a large platoon split. Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Dominic Canzone will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Gleyber Torres Total Hits Props • Detroit

Gleyber Torres
G. Torres
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.84
Best Odds

Gleyber Torres's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Gleyber Torres has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.350) implies that Gleyber Torres has had some very poor luck this year with his .332 actual wOBA.

Gleyber Torres logo

Gleyber Torres

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.84
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.84

Gleyber Torres's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Gleyber Torres has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.350) implies that Gleyber Torres has had some very poor luck this year with his .332 actual wOBA.

Victor Robles Total Hits Props • Seattle

Victor Robles
V. Robles
right outfield RF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.59
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Robles in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Victor Robles will have an edge today. Victor Robles pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Victor Robles will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Victor Robles logo

Victor Robles

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.59
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.59

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Robles in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Victor Robles will have an edge today. Victor Robles pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Victor Robles will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Josh Naylor Total Hits Props • Seattle

Josh Naylor
J. Naylor
first base 1B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.76
Best Odds

Josh Naylor's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Josh Naylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Josh Naylor will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Josh Naylor's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 41.1% to 46.3%.

Josh Naylor logo

Josh Naylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.76
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.76

Josh Naylor's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Josh Naylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Josh Naylor will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Josh Naylor's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 41.1% to 46.3%.

Jorge Polanco Total Hits Props • Seattle

Jorge Polanco
J. Polanco
second base 2B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.69
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jorge Polanco logo

Jorge Polanco

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.69
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.69

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage in today's game.

Randy Arozarena Total Hits Props • Seattle

Randy Arozarena
R. Arozarena
left outfield LF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Randy Arozarena will have the handedness advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's matchup.

Randy Arozarena logo

Randy Arozarena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Randy Arozarena will have the handedness advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's matchup.

Julio Rodriguez Total Hits Props • Seattle

Julio Rodriguez
J. Rodriguez
center outfield CF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best hitter in the league when it comes to his BABIP talent. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Julio Rodriguez will hold the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal today. Julio Rodriguez has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Julio Rodriguez logo

Julio Rodriguez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best hitter in the league when it comes to his BABIP talent. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Julio Rodriguez will hold the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal today. Julio Rodriguez has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Cal Raleigh Total Hits Props • Seattle

Cal Raleigh
C. Raleigh
catcher C • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.62
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Cal Raleigh ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cal Raleigh is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (44.3% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage in today's game.

Cal Raleigh logo

Cal Raleigh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.62
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.62

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Cal Raleigh ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cal Raleigh is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (44.3% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage in today's game.

Eugenio Suarez Total Hits Props • Seattle

Eugenio Suarez
E. Suarez
third base 3B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.54
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Eugenio Suarez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal today. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.4% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Eugenio Suarez logo

Eugenio Suarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.54
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.54

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Eugenio Suarez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal today. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.4% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Rank Leader L10 Units
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2 PaPe454 8-2-0 +19591
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1 PaPe454 6-4-0 +19444
2 dotlife162 9-1-0 +19315
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5 KingScorpio 3-7-0 +15095
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7 jr5601 4-5-1 +12525
8 adon131 5-5-0 +12520
9 CJONES1068 7-3-0 +11975
10 fragma8023 6-4-0 +11743
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