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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 30, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.19 |
-108 
|
o8.5 -124 
|
-1.5 +150 
|
|
4.38 |
+102
|
u9.0 -110 
|
+1.5 -160
|
Miami
- Under is 2-0-2 in Marlins last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Junks last 4 starts on grass.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Washington
- Under is 4-0 in Alvarezs last 4 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Alvarezs last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Nationals last 8 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Alvarezs last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.15 |
+210
|
o8.5 -105 
|
+1.5 -105
|
|
5.24 |
-219
|
u8.5 -103 
|
-1.5 -105 
|
Colorado
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 5-2 in Rockies last 7 vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-2-1 in Rockies last 8 during game 3 of a series.
Atlanta
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. National League West.
- Over is 9-1 in Braves last 10 home games.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
Top Projection
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+223)
o1.5+235
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.81 |
-112
|
o7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +152
|
|
4.10 |
+107
|
u8.0 -114
|
+1.5 -160
|
Boston
- Red Sox are 7-0 in Suarezs last 7 starts on grass.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 4 of a series.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Suarezs last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Red Sox last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
NY Yankees
- Under is 5-0 in Warrens last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 4-0 in Warrens last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Warrens last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.26 |
-130
|
o7.5 -135
|
-1.5 +130
|
|
3.91 |
+125
|
u8.5 -130
|
+1.5 -140
|
Seattle
- Mariners are 4-0 in Gilberts last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Mariners are 10-1 in Gilberts last 11 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Toronto
- Under is 7-1 in Blue Jays last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Blue Jays last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Blue Jays are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Taylor Ward o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1050)
o0.5+1050
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.45 |
-164
|
o7.5 +100
|
-1.5 +110
|
|
4.30 |
+159
|
u7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -115
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Dodgers last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Glasnows last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Detroit
- Under is 9-0 in Tigers last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 8-0 in Tigers last 8 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 vs. National League West.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Top Projection
Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Total RBIs (+289)
o0.5+289
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.08 |
+153
|
o7.0 -115
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
4.29 |
-158
|
u7.5 -122
|
-1.5 +140
|
San Diego
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
- Under is 7-2 in Padres last 9 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 vs. American League East.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 6-0-1 in Rays last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rays last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rays are 5-0 in Rasmussens last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 7-0-1 in Rasmussens last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
o0.5+202
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.86 |
+170
|
o7.5 -104
|
+1.5 -130
|
|
4.83 |
-175
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +120
|
Kansas City
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 overall.
- Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 2-0-3 in Lugos last 5 starts as an underdog.
Cleveland
- Under is 5-0 in Messicks last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Guardians are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts as an underdog.
Top Projection
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+246)
o0.5+246
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.56 |
+151
|
o8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
5.00 |
-154
|
u8.5 -109
|
-1.5 +135
|
Texas
- Under is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Rockers last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockers last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockers last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Milwaukee
- Under is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 home games.
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Wyatt Langford o0.5 Total RBIs (+219)
o0.5+219
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.08 |
+108
|
o8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.63 |
-114
|
u9.0 -125 
|
-1.5 +160
|
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. American League Central.
- White Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Minnesota
- Under is 6-1 in Twins last 7 home games.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Twins last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 8-0 in Matthews' last 8 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Twins are 5-0 in Matthews' last 5 starts on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.74 |
-113
|
o7.5 -115
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
4.17 |
+106
|
u8.0 -115 
|
+1.5 -160
|
Pittsburgh
- Under is 6-0-1 in Pirates last 7 overall.
- Pirates are 8-0 in Ashcrafts last 8 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 7-1 in Pirates last 8 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 vs. National League Central.
St. Louis
- Under is 8-1-1 in Cardinals last 10 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-0 in Liberatores last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Liberatores last 5 starts as a favorite.
Top Projection
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.02 |
+111
|
o8.5 -130
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
5.19 |
-115
|
u9.0 -106
|
-1.5 +165
|
Houston
- Over is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 road games.
- Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 vs. National League East.
NY Mets
- Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.08 |
-146
|
o10.0 -118
|
-1.5 +110
|
|
5.18 |
+143
|
u10.5 -110
|
+1.5 -118
|
Baltimore
- Orioles are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 8-0 in Bassitts last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 7-0 in Bassitts last 7 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Athletics
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0-1 in last 5 games following a loss.
- Over is 6-0 in Springs' last 6 home starts.
Top Projection
Jonah Heim o0.5 Total Home Runs (+800)
o0.5+800
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.68 |
-178
|
o7.5 -130
|
-1.5 -105
|
|
3.47 |
+173
|
u8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -105
|
Philadelphia
- Over is 4-0-2 in Wheelers last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Wheelers last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Phillies last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Phillies last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
LA Angels
- Over is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Kikuchis last 4 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Kikuchis last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.57 |
+125
|
o8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.75 |
-135
|
u9.0 -118
|
-1.5 +160
|
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 road games.
- Under is 7-0 in Burns' last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Reds are 5-0 in Burns' last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 5-0 in Imanagas last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Cubs are 5-0 in Imanagas last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Imanagas last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
o1.5+165
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.44 |
+110
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.03 |
-143
|
u8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -235
|
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0-2 in Giants last 7 games as an underdog.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Roupps last 5 road starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 vs. National League East.
Atlanta
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. National League West.
- Over is 5-0 in Braves last 5 home games.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
MIA
@
WAS
Sun, Aug 30 • 12:15 PM ET
Moneyline
WAS (+100)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
I’m grabbing the Nationals at plus-money behind Andrew Alvarez. Washington holds the offensive edge over Miami (98 wRC+, .178 ISO vs. 87 wRC+, .106 ISO). Miami’s bullpen is laboring with a 4.72 SIERA and a weak 5.9% K-BB%, giving the Nats the late-game hammer at home.
Total Hits
Abimelec Ortiz u0.5 Total Hits (+182)
Projection 0.85
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Abimelec Ortiz in the 9th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Abimelec Ortiz has been pulled from the game early 29% of the time.. The #4 ballpark in the majors for suppressing BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which often leads to worse offense.. In the last 7 days, Abimelec Ortiz's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.1% down to 0%.
COL
@
ATL
Sun, Aug 30 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Willi Castro u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.86
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Willi Castro will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.. Willi Castro has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.8-mph dropping to 81.3-mph over the last 7 days.. Despite posting a .332 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Willi Castro has had some very good luck given the .024 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .308.. Sporting a 3.27 K/BB rate this year, Willi Castro has demonstrated poor plate discipline, placing in the 23rd percentile.
Strikeouts Thrown
Mason Adams u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+110)
Projection 3.24
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Mason Adams to have a pitch count today, projecting a maximum of 82 pitches.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The Atlanta Braves have 6 bats in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage over Mason Adams in this game.. Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mason Adams in today's matchup.
BOS
@
NYY
Sun, Aug 30 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Willson Contreras o0.5 Total Home Runs (+388)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Willson Contreras has done damage vs. right-handed pitching this season with 19 dingers and a .513 SLG – placing him in the top 25 in both categories across the majors.
Nine of Contreras’ 23 home runs have come against the sinker, which Will Warren throws about 27% of the time.
Total
u8.5 (-126)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
SEA
@
TOR
Sun, Aug 30 • 1:37 PM ET
Total Hits
Alejandro Kirk u0.5 Total Hits (+160)
Projection 0.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Alejandro Kirk has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (85% of the time), but he is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this game.. Rogers Centre projects as the #23 field in the game for righty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching of all games today.. Logan Gilbert will hold the platoon advantage against Alejandro Kirk in today's game.. This year, Alejandro Kirk's Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 10.3% last year to just 3.4% this year.
Total Bases
Randy Arozarena o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Rogers Centre grades out as the #6 venue in MLB for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Randy Arozarena hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.. Randy Arozarena has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.8-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 93.2-mph.
LAD
@
DET
Sun, Aug 30 • 1:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Total RBIs (+289)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin McGonigle in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Kevin McGonigle is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Comerica Park is the 2nd-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. Kevin McGonigle will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Glasnow in today's game.
Total Bases
Enrique Hernandez u1.5 Total Bases (-290)
Projection 0.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Enrique Hernandez's BABIP skill is projected in the 12th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Enrique Hernandez is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.. In the majors, Comerica Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to drop to the 4th-lowest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Enrique Hernandez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.
SD
@
TB
Sun, Aug 30 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.98
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Junior Caminero projects as the 19th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for righty home runs.. Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Junior Caminero will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Junior Caminero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total Bases
Ryan Vilade u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.76
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest -10° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching.. Today, Ryan Vilade is at a disadvantage facing the league's 9th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.7% rate (96th percentile).. Ryan Vilade has been lucky this year, posting a .343 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .298 — a .045 discrepancy.. In notching a .187 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Ryan Vilade is ranked in the 16th percentile.. Ryan Vilade and his -5° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 2nd percentile, among the lowest in the league since the start of last season.
KC
@
CLE
Sun, Aug 30 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Progressive Field projects as the #2 stadium in the game for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense.. Batting from the opposite that Parker Messick throws from, Salvador Perez will have the upper hand today.. Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Chase DeLauter o1.5 Total Bases (+126)
Projection 1.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Chase DeLauter is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 2nd-best venue in the majors for lefty BABIP.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense.. Chase DeLauter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo today.
TEX
@
MIL
Sun, Aug 30 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Brandon Nimmo o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.79
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 8th-best field in MLB for lefty BABIP.. American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output.
Total Bases
Wyatt Langford o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 8th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP.. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks.. American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.
CHW
@
MIN
Sun, Aug 30 • 2:10 PM ET
Moneyline
CHW (+101)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
I’m taking Chicago at plus-money. The Pale Hose offense is surging at the top of the league over the past week (141 wRC+, .372 wOBA, 13.3% BB%). Zebby Matthews faces a tough assignment, especially with Minnesota’s bullpen in shambles (4.56 SIERA, 2.16 WHIP, 10.26 ERA). There is value on the road dog today.
Total RBIs
Kody Clemens o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 90th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Kody Clemens is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Considering Jordan Hicks's large platoon split, Kody Clemens will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Kody Clemens will hold that advantage in today's game.. Kody Clemens has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.1-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 94-mph.
PIT
@
STL
Sun, Aug 30 • 2:15 PM ET
Total RBIs
JJ Wetherholt o0.5 Total RBIs (+283)
Projection 0.38
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. In the league, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 91°.. JJ Wetherholt will have the handedness advantage over Braxton Ashcraft today.
Total Bases
Jose Fermin o1.5 Total Bases (+270)
Projection 1.23
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In the league, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 91°.. Jose Fermin will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Jose Fermin has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 2.7% seasonal rate to 7.7% over the past 7 days.. In notching a .284 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jose Fermin finds himself in the 92nd percentile.
HOU
@
NYM
Sun, Aug 30 • 3:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.25
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Over the last 14 days, Yordan Alvarez's 60% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.4%.. Using Statcast data, Yordan Alvarez ranks in the 98th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .384.
Total Bases
Bo Bichette o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 6th-best batter in baseball when it comes to his batting average skill.. Bo Bichette is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. The Houston Astros infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Bo Bichette will hold that advantage in today's game.
BAL
@
ATH
Sun, Aug 30 • 4:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Zack Gelof o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 84th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Zack Gelof has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (64% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the best venue in the majors for righty home runs.. On average, the fence height at Sutter Health Park is the 3rd-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (-125)
Projection 2.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 17th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the best venue in the majors for righty home runs.. On average, the fence height at Sutter Health Park is the 3rd-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
PHI
@
LAA
Sun, Aug 30 • 4:07 PM ET
Total Hits
Kyle Schwarber u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
Projection 0.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Angel Stadium profiles as the #26 park in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yusei Kikuchi will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Schwarber today.. Kyle Schwarber will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.. Despite posting a .376 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Kyle Schwarber has had positive variance on his side given the .026 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .350.
Total Bases
Mike Trout u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.79
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.. Zack Wheeler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mike Trout in today's game... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Wheeler's large platoon split.. Mike Trout has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph dropping to 85.4-mph over the past 14 days.. Mike Trout's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 96.8-mph average last season has dropped to 94.3-mph.
CIN
@
CHC
Sun, Aug 30 • 7:20 PM ET
Total Bases
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to better offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Matt McLain o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 79th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to better offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Matt McLain will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
DET
@
CLE
Fri, Sep 4 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
David Fry u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
David Fry is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest fences in the league.. Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, David Fry will not have the upper hand today.
Total Bases
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Progressive Field projects as the #3 stadium in the game for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field has the 6th-shallowest right field fences in the majors.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 86%.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
