Boston vs Houston Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Matthews in the 11th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Brice Matthews is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game. Minute Maid Park profiles as the #22 field in the majors for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Minute Maid Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to worse offense. Among every team playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

The Houston Astros infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Caleb Durbin has shown strong plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 86th percentile with a 1.57 K/BB rate.

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Isaac Paredes will have an edge today. Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (48% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Isaac Paredes generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ranger Suarez. Isaac Paredes will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 78th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The Houston Astros infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Ceddanne Rafaela is quite quick, placing in the 92nd percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.12 ft/sec since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcelo Mayer in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Marcelo Mayer will have the handedness advantage against Lance McCullers Jr. in today's game. Marcelo Mayer has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Houston Astros infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 4th-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in the majors — generally good for dingers. Extreme flyball bats like Yordan Alvarez tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Ranger Suarez. Yordan Alvarez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Jake Meyers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jake Meyers will hold that advantage in today's game. Ranking in the 98th percentile, Jake Meyers sits with a .354 BABIP since the start of last season.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Roman Anthony is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Roman Anthony is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Lance McCullers Jr. throws from, Roman Anthony will have an advantage in today's game. The Houston Astros infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Roman Anthony's 15.2% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) ranks in the 92nd percentile since the start of last season.

Jarren Duran's BABIP talent is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jarren Duran is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Lance McCullers Jr. throws from, Jarren Duran will have an edge today. Jarren Duran has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Houston Astros infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Among all stadiums, Minute Maid Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. The Houston Astros infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Willson Contreras's 13.6% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) grades out in the 86th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Yainer Diaz will hold the platoon advantage over Ranger Suarez today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Yainer Diaz will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Trevor Story is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. The Houston Astros infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Trevor Story's 91.4-mph average exit velocity is among the best in the game since the start of last season: 84th percentile. Grading out in the 92nd percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Trevor Story demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a core skill for achieving a high batting average.

Carlos Correa's batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Carlos Correa is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Carlos Correa will hold the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez today. Carlos Correa will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. With a .326 BABIP since the start of last season, Carlos Correa is positioned in the 87th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Jose Altuve is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Jose Altuve will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jose Altuve pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.3% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jose Altuve will hold that advantage today.

Christian Walker has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (75% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Among all stadiums, Minute Maid Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Christian Walker will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Christian Walker will hold that advantage today. Christian Walker's quickness has gotten better this year. His 26.2 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.16 ft/sec now.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Lance McCullers Jr. throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an edge in today's game. The Houston Astros infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. In the past week, Wilyer Abreu has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .642.

The Houston Astros infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Since the start of last season, Carlos Narvaez has an average exit velocity of 91.2 mph, which is among the best in the league at the 81st percentile.

Cam Smith has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 5 games.

Andruw Monasterio has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 1 games.

Jeremy Pena has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 2 games.