What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 18, 2026.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.00 |
-110 |
o8.5 -110 |
-1.5 +145 |
|
|
4.51 |
+105 |
u9.0 -125 |
+1.5 -155 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.83 |
+179 |
o7.5 -120 |
+1.5 -125 |
|
|
4.76 |
-180 |
u8.5 -130 |
-1.5 +115 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.13 |
+134 |
o7.5 -120 |
+1.5 -155 |
|
|
5.12 |
-140 |
u8.5 -130 |
-1.5 +152 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.38 |
+121 |
o7.5 -105 |
+1.5 -180 |
|
|
3.62 |
-126 |
u7.5 -105 |
-1.5 +170 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.57 |
-115 |
o8.5 -105 |
-1.5 +140 |
|
|
4.73 |
+108 |
u8.5 -102 |
+1.5 -150 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.17 |
+212 |
o8.0 -115 |
+1.5 -105 |
|
|
5.49 |
-210 |
u8.5 -120 |
-1.5 -105 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.78 |
+153 |
o8.0 -105 |
+1.5 -135 |
|
|
4.88 |
-160 |
u8.5 -120 |
-1.5 +130 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.88 |
-109 |
o8.5 -110 |
-1.5 +150 |
|
|
4.80 |
+104 |
u8.5 +100 |
+1.5 -160 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.80 |
+136 |
o9.5 +100 |
+1.5 -145 |
|
|
4.99 |
-140 |
u9.5 -110 |
-1.5 +143 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.57 |
-122 |
o8.5 -115 |
-1.5 +135 |
|
|
4.89 |
+116 |
u9.0 -120 |
+1.5 -145 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.32 |
+140 |
o7.5 -110 |
+1.5 -150 |
|
|
4.47 |
-145 |
u8.0 -125 |
-1.5 +149 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.95 |
+143 |
o8.0 -110 |
+1.5 -150 |
|
|
4.31 |
-150 |
u8.5 -120 |
-1.5 +140 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.54 |
+150 |
o8.5 -117 |
+2.0 -220 |
|
|
5.43 |
-157 |
u9.5 -141 |
-2.0 +170 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.42 |
+151 |
o9.0 -114 |
+1.5 -135 |
|
|
5.17 |
-156 |
u9.5 -125 |
-1.5 +130 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
7.37 |
-180 |
o11.5 -110 |
-1.5 -120 |
|
|
5.99 |
+175 |
u12.0 -125 |
+1.5 +110 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.80 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.72 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.55 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.82 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.70 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.84 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.76 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.29 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.17 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.15 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.81 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.47 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.82 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.87 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.64 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.67 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.49 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.01 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.46 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.85 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
The Blue Jays finally had a day off yesterday after a stretch of 17 straight games. Over that stretch, Toronto posted the best team ERA in baseball and went 11-6 SU against some of the best teams in baseball. THE BAT has the Jays as a -125 favorite, but they’re trading at just +120, making this the best +EV play on the board today, according to the projection. The Jays also have a rested bullpen, while the Rays could be down two arms, including closer Bryan Baker, who threw 21 pitches yesterday and has pitched in two of the last three days. Their best lefty, Cam Booser, is also unavailable. Tampa Bay used Baker to close Monday's 7-6 win over Baltimore. Even with Vlad Guerrero on the shelf, Toronto can still win this game on pitching alone. Nick Martinez is coming off a 101-pitch complete game, his season high, which could affect his efficiency today. Jose Soriano has also looked good since coming over from the Halos
Ernie Clement has the strongest numbers against Martinez, owning a .689 xSLG against the righty across seven at-bats. Clement came off the bench and played here in Game 2 against the Yankees and is in a prime spot to hit his first homer since Aug. 5 today.
The Under 8.5 leans on Cincinnati’s struggling offense and both bullpens holding their own. The Reds have managed a 64 wRC+ over their last eight games, while St. Louis should face a strong Cincinnati relief corps once Abbott exits. With Leahy dealing, this matchup has a lower-scoring path tonight.
St. Louis has the cleaner profile behind Kyle Leahy, who owns a 2.55 FIP over his last five starts with excellent control and limited homer damage. Cincinnati enters ice cold with a 64 wRC+ over its last eight games, while Andrew Abbott’s command issues give the Cardinals an offensive path.
Fading the Philadelphia Phillies with Zack Wheeler on the mound isn't an easy sell, but think about how difficult Wheeler is for even a good offense. Nothing is going to come easy; you're going to have to scrap and claw for runs. Whether it's by working counts, driving up his pitch count to get to the bullpen faster, manufacturing runs on the basepaths, or utilizing contact plays and hit-and-runs, you're not asking the Marlins to do anything they aren't already doing. This is how they score runs on a normal night. For a team with a bunch of big-time hitters with long swings, scoring runs against Wheeler can become a huge challenge. But the way to beat Wheeler is by manufacturing runs, which is exactly what the Marlins do on any given night. The Marlins are trading as a 34-cent underdog, and I price them closer to a 37-cent underdog, which is why I'm hitting the button.
The Over 8.5 is built around Boston’s offense and Arizona’s shaky bullpen. Kelly has been hittable and wild lately, while the Diamondbacks’ relief corps owns a 5.33 xERA over the last week. Suarez is steadier, but Arizona’s offense is above average enough to contribute if Boston leads scoring.
Boston has a strong runline path with Merrill Kelly struggling and walking hitters lately. The Red Sox still own a 125 wRC+ over their last 15 games, while Ranger Suarez brings stability at Fenway. Arizona’s weaker road offense also gives Boston a cleaner chance to create separation tonight at home.
Drake Baldwin leads the team in average exit velocity (95.8 MPH) while ranking second in hard hit rate over the past 20 games.
Zebby Matthews has allowed a .202 ISO and 1.71 HR/9 to lefties, making this a great spot for Baldwin to get back in the home run column.
Bet to +325.
The Minnesota Twins have hit .228 off righties in August with a pedestrian .140 ISO. They are not doing much damage at the plate, and it’ll be hard to change that with how Tyler Mahle is playing.
Zebby Matthews has allowed at least three earned runs in six of his last seven starts, and will have to contend with an Atlanta Braves lineup sitting eighth in xwOBA vs. righties.
Back Atlanta to -145.
The Over 7.5 has a path despite Milwaukee’s recent offensive slump. Seattle owns a 122 wRC+ over the last week, while Bryce Miller’s struggles give the Brewers a chance to contribute at home. The Mariners’ bullpen also owns a 4.55 FIP recently, keeping late scoring in play tonight.
Milwaukee has the cleaner profile behind Kyle Harrison, who owns a 2.14 FIP at American Family Field compared to 4.87 on the road. Bryce Miller enters in shaky form with a 5.71 monthly FIP, and the Brewers’ 111 home wRC+ gives them a stronger offensive base overall tonight in Milwaukee.
I don't mind going chalk when that chalk is MVP betting favorite Pete Crow-Armstrong, who just hit a walk-off extra-inning dinger last night to reach the 30/30 mark and is being priced on the good side of three dollars. PCA should be shorter than +300 in any matchup that isn't against an elite starter. Today is anything but an elite starter, as the White Sox are going with lefty opener Bryan Hutson before handing things over to right-hander Erick Fedde, who just lost his rotation spot and is one of the hardest-hit pitchers in baseball, ranking 37th-worst in HardHit% among MLB starters and 21st-worst in Blast Contact%. The wind is blowing out at Wrigley, and PCA is going to see some very hittable arms to keep padding those MVP numbers. He is a buy to +290 today.
Munetaka Murakami hasn’t faced many splitters this season, but he has absolutely destroyed the fastball against right-handed pitching.
He owns a ridiculous 27.5% barrel rate, 62.5% hard hit rate, and .436 ISO. He is likely to sit on the fastball, and it only takes one good swing to do damage – especially with the predicted 15% home run boost with help from the wind at Wrigley.
Bet to +230.
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.