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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 24, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.49 |
-128 
|
o7.5 +105 
|
-1.5 +135 
|
|
3.56 |
+120 
|
u7.5 -110 
|
+1.5 -145
|
Boston
- Red Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-0 in Suarezs last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Suarezs last 6 starts on grass.
Miami
- Under is 9-0 in Alcantaras last 9 starts on grass.
- Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Alcantaras last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Marlins are 8-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+166)
o0.5+166
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.65 |
-128
|
o7.5 -103
|
-1.5 +130 
|
|
3.95 |
+125 
|
u7.5 +100
|
+1.5 -140
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 6-0 in Rasmussens last 6 starts.
- Over is 5-0 in Rays last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Rays are 4-0 in Rasmussens last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Detroit
- Over is 5-0-1 in Valdezs last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Valdezs last 6 starts overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Hao-Yu Lee o1.5 Total Bases (+250)
o1.5+250
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.89 |
+172
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -130
|
|
4.45 |
-177
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +120
|
Colorado
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games as an underdog.
Washington
- Under is 6-0-1 in Nationals last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Nationals last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Nationals last 7 on grass.
- Nationals are 6-0 in Cavallis last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Ezequiel Tovar o0.5 Total RBIs (+335)
o0.5+335
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.61 |
+120
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
4.64 |
-122
|
u8.5 -113
|
-1.5 +170
|
Texas
- Under is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0 in Rockers last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 8-1 in Rockers last 9 starts on grass.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games on grass.
Top Projection
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
o1.5+175
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.41 |
-155
|
o7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +110
|
|
3.59 |
+147
|
u7.5 +100
|
+1.5 -120
|
Cleveland
- Under is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Messicks last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Guardians last 6 games following a win.
- Under is 6-0 in Guardians last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
LA Angels
- Under is 7-0 in Angels last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Angels are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Angels last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Angels last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Vaughn Grissom o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
o0.5+300
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.28 |
-105
|
o7.5 +105
|
-1.5 +165
|
|
3.94 |
-102
|
u7.5 -114
|
+1.5 -175
|
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 8-0 in Ashcrafts last 8 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Pirates are 5-0 in Ashcrafts last 5 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-2 in Pirates last 8 vs. National League West.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Padres last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Padres last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.99 |
-134
|
o8.5 -130
|
-1.5 +120
|
|
4.37 |
+125
|
u9.5 -130
|
+1.5 -130
|
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. National League West.
- Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Arizona
- Over is 4-0-1 in Kellys last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Kellys last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Kellys last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.12 |
-110
|
o6.5 -114
|
-1.5 +165 
|
|
3.60 |
+105
|
u7.0 -125
|
+1.5 -175
|
Philadelphia
- Over is 5-0-1 in Phillies last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Wheelers last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Phillies are 8-0 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Phillies are 8-0 in their last 8 games following a win.
Seattle
- Over is 6-0 in Mariners last 6 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Mariners last 6 on grass.
- Over is 6-0 in Mariners last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-0 in Mariners last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+218)
o0.5+218
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.41 |
-140
|
o10.5 -110
|
-1.5 +105
|
|
5.39 |
+143
|
u10.5 +100
|
+1.5 -115
|
Minnesota
- Over is 6-0-1 in Matthews' last 7 starts as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Matthews' last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Twins last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Athletics
- Over is 5-0 in Springs' last 5 home starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Springs' last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 8-2 in last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Top Projection
Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5+185
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.48 |
-150
|
o7.5 +100
|
-1.5 +120
|
|
3.52 |
+144
|
u7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -130
|
Cincinnati
- Reds are 5-0 in Burns' last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Reds are 5-0 in Burns' last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Burns' last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 games following a loss.
San Francisco
- Under is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Giants last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 11-4 in Giants last 15 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
o0.5+250
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.51 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.57 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Boston
- Red Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Miami
- Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 7-1 in Marlins last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.46 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.13 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Rays last 5 road games.
- Rays are 5-1 in Seymours last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Detroit
- Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Jobes last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Tigers last 9 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.77 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.12 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Colorado
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rockies are 4-0 in Freelands last 4 starts as a road favorite.
Washington
- Under is 6-0-1 in Nationals last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Nationals last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Nationals last 7 on grass.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Nationals last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.21 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.87 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Houston
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Astros are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 games following a loss.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 games as an underdog.
NY Yankees
- Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 12-0 in Yankees last 12 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 11-0 in Yankees last 11 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.56 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.18 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Kansas City
- Royals are 8-0 in their last 8 overall.
- Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Royals are 8-0 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Royals are 7-0 in their last 7 games following a win.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.55 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
3.97 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Milwaukee
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 vs. National League East.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as a road underdog.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
NY Mets
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Mets are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.80 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.79 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Atlanta
- Over is 9-1 in Braves last 10 home games.
- Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 vs. National League West.
- Over is 6-1 in Braves last 7 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.42 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.81 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Under is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 4-0 in Kays last 4 starts vs. American League West.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.23 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.71 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Baltimore
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.96 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.41 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cleveland
- Under is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 road games.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
LA Angels
- Under is 7-1-1 in Angels last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Angels last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 11-1 in Angels last 12 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.98 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.29 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. National League West.
- Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Cubs last 9 road games.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Cubs last 9 games as a road favorite.
Arizona
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
- Over is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.08 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.69 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-2 in Pirates last 8 vs. National League West.
- Pirates are 6-2 in their last 8 games as a favorite.
- Pirates are 8-3 in their last 11 games as a road favorite.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in Kings last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Padres last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Padres last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.81 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.71 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 2-0-2 in Twins last 4 road games.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 overall.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 vs. American League West.
Athletics
- Over is 6-1-1 in last 8 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 8-2 in last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-2 in last 9 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.64 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.35 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Philadelphia
- Over is 5-0-1 in Phillies last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 8-1 in Phillies last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Seattle
- Over is 6-0 in Mariners last 6 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Mariners last 6 on grass.
- Over is 6-0 in Mariners last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-0 in Mariners last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.46 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.48 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cincinnati
- Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Reds last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 4-1 in Reds last 5 overall.
San Francisco
- Under is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Giants last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Giants last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games as a home favorite.
BOS
@
MIA
Mon, Aug 24 • 6:40 PM ET
Moneyline
BOS (-131)
Aisha Quiñones
Senior Publishing Editor
The Boston Red Sox hold a distinct pitching edge with starter Ranger Suárez (3.41 ERA), backed by an elite Boston bullpen that ranks among the league’s most reliable with a sub-3.00 ERA. The Miami Marlins continue to struggle against solid left-handed pitching, making this a tough situational spot for the Marlins at home. With Boston's offense consistently creating run-manufacturing opportunities and Miami’s relief core lacking the depth to match late-game high-leverage situations, lay the short price and back the Red Sox to secure the road win.
Total RBIs
Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+242)
Projection 0.47
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 90th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Heriberto Hernandez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suárez throws from, Heriberto Hernandez will have an edge in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Heriberto Hernandez will hold that advantage today.. Heriberto Hernandez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.7-mph average to last year's 93.6-mph EV.
TB
@
DET
Mon, Aug 24 • 6:40 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-112)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Over 7.5 is built around bullpen vulnerability and late scoring. Detroit’s relief corps has been hammered lately, while Tampa Bay’s pen is also allowing homers. Rasmussen can still pitch well, but Valdez’s command issues and both shaky bullpens create multiple scoring paths tonight at Comerica Park.
Moneyline
TB (-137)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Tampa Bay has the edge behind Drew Rasmussen, whose underlying numbers remain strong despite recent run damage. He owns a 2.41 xERA over the last month with limited hard contact. Detroit’s offense is cold, while Framber Valdez’s recent walks and hard contact give the Rays a clear path.
COL
@
WAS
Mon, Aug 24 • 6:45 PM ET
Total Bases
Mickey Moniak u1.5 Total Bases (-179)
Projection 0.91
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Nationals Park projects as the #25 venue in the league for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.. Washington's #3-ranked outfield defense of the day poses a formidable challenge for Mickey Moniak, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.. Mickey Moniak will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.
Total RBIs
Ezequiel Tovar o0.5 Total RBIs (+335)
Projection 0.36
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Nationals Park has the 8th-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs.. This game is expected to have the 11th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
TEX
@
CHW
Mon, Aug 24 • 7:40 PM ET
Total
u8.5 (-124)
Aisha Quiñones
Senior Publishing Editor
The Texas Rangers offense has struggled to generate consistent contact on the road against right-handed pitching, while the Chicago White Sox lineup remains one of the league's lowest-scoring units. Texas starting pitching continues to generate elite ground-ball rates and limit hard contact, which should keep Chicago's run production minimal. Combined with a projected cool breeze at Rate Field and two bullpens equipped to lock down the late innings, runs will be at a premium throughout the night.
Total Bases
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Jake Burger ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jake Burger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Placing in the 86th percentile, the hardest ball Jake Burger has made contact with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.6 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power skill.
CLE
@
LAA
Mon, Aug 24 • 9:38 PM ET
Total Bases
Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Jo Adell ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jo Adell is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fence height (on average) in MLB.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense projects as the 13th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.
Total RBIs
Jose Siri o0.5 Total RBIs (+263)
Projection 0.42
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 95th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Jose Siri is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fence height (on average) in MLB.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°.. Batting from the opposite that Parker Messick throws from, Jose Siri will have an edge today.
PIT
@
SD
Mon, Aug 24 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Bryan Reynolds u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Petco Park grades out as the #25 venue in MLB for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to less offense.. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Robbie Ray. Bryan Reynolds has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 6th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Bryan Reynolds will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Total Bases
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 4th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.
CHC
@
AZ
Mon, Aug 24 • 9:40 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-126)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Merrill Kelly and powerful offenses go together like oil and water. Kelly has posted a 7.30 ERA and allowed 2.43 home runs per nine innings over seven starts vs. Top-10 teams in ISO.
Kevin Gausman sits in the 34th percentile in xBA, and the Arizona Diamondbacks are up to 15th in batting average vs. righties this month.
Play the Over to -135.
Total Home Runs
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total Home Runs (+280)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Merrill Kelly has allowed a .248 ISO and 1.68 HR/9 to left-handed bats.
Pete Crow-Armstrong has posted ISOs of .312 and .548 against changeups and fastballs the past 30 games. Those happen to be Kelly’s two most prominent pitches when facing lefties.
Bet to +257.
PHI
@
SEA
Mon, Aug 24 • 9:40 PM ET
Total
u6.5 (-110)
Aisha Quiñones
Senior Publishing Editor
The Seattle Mariners pitching staff continues to suppress hard contact at an elite rate, particularly at home where marine layer air limits fly-ball distance. Meanwhile, the Philadelphia Phillies rotation matches up extremely well against a Mariners lineup that holds one of the highest strikeout rates against quality starting pitching. With both teams featuring elite, high-leverage relief options to lock down the late innings, run production will be sparse from the opening pitch.
Total Home Runs
Taylor Ward o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1200)
Projection 0.1
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Taylor Ward ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. T-Mobile Park projects as the #6 park in the majors for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. T-Mobile Park has the 9th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Taylor Ward has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.. Taylor Ward will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
MIN
@
ATH
Mon, Aug 24 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Max Muncy o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 78th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. The #1 venue in MLB for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. In MLB, Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of all games today at 97°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Ryan Jeffers o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.25
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Ryan Jeffers is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. The #1 venue in MLB for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. In MLB, Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of all games today at 97°.
CIN
@
SF
Mon, Aug 24 • 9:45 PM ET
Total RBIs
Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+218)
Projection 0.46
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.6-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters.. Elly De La Cruz has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.. Elly De La Cruz has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.5-mph average to last year's 90.7-mph mark.
Total RBIs
Buddy Kennedy o0.5 Total RBIs (+400)
Projection 0.29
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
