MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 21, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Tue, Jul 21 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Josh Bell logo
Josh Bell o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Josh Bell is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Progressive Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the league for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Progressive Field's left field dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest.. The weather report calls for the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Total Bases
Luke Keaschall logo
Luke Keaschall o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.4
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Luke Keaschall's batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Progressive Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the league for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. The weather report calls for the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.8-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Tue, Jul 21 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kyle Tucker logo
Kyle Tucker o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.65
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Kyle Tucker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #8 stadium in the majors for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB.. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Because of Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Kyle Tucker will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 2.11
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 2nd-best home run batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #8 stadium in the majors for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB.. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ New York Yankees logo NYY Tue, Jul 21 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Ryan O'Hearn o1.5 Total Bases (+143)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Among all parks, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the most humid conditions of the day at 88%.. Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage against Will Warren today... and even more favorably, Warren has a large platoon split.
Total Bases
Ben Rice logo
Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 1.98
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Ben Rice is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Among all parks, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the most humid conditions of the day at 88%.. Ben Rice will have the handedness advantage against Bubba Chandler in today's matchup.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Tue, Jul 21 • 7:07 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 3rd-best hitter in baseball when estimating his batting average skill.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 5th-best field in the majors for right-handed home runs.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of the day (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total Bases
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Kazuma Okamoto u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Rogers Centre has the 8th-tallest average fence height among all parks.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 13.3-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for mound aces.. Drew Rasmussen will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kazuma Okamoto in today's matchup.. In the last 7 days, Kazuma Okamoto's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 14.5% down to 0%.. Kazuma Okamoto's average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 91.3-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 84.7-mph over the past week.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Tue, Jul 21 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Ceddanne Rafaela o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.65
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 3rd-best park in the game for run-scoring.. Ceddanne Rafaela has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.
Total Bases
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 3rd-best park in the game for run-scoring.. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's right field fences are the shallowest.. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Bradish in today's matchup.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Tue, Jul 21 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jackson Merrill logo
Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.99
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best venue in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to LHB.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today.
Total Bases
Drake Baldwin logo
Drake Baldwin o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Drake Baldwin ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Drake Baldwin is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best venue in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to LHB.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Tue, Jul 21 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Bo Bichette logo
Bo Bichette o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.8
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 6th-best hitter in the league when assessing his batting average talent.. Bo Bichette is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. American Family Field has the 5th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Andrew Vaughn logo
Andrew Vaughn o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. American Family Field has the 5th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Tue, Jul 21 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+121)
Projection 1.95
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.. The #10 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #10 stadium in the game for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Salvador Perez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In the past week, Salvador Perez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.6% up to 25%.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Tue, Jul 21 • 8:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Braden Montgomery logo
Braden Montgomery o0.5 Total Home Runs (+750)
Projection 0.24
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Colson Montgomery as the league's 16th-best home run hitter.. Colson Montgomery is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height in the majors.. Colson Montgomery will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kumar Rocker in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Rocker has a large platoon split.. Colson Montgomery's launch angle this season (23.1°) is quite a bit better than his 18° figure last season.
Total RBIs
Braden Montgomery logo
Braden Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+234)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Colson Montgomery as the league's 16th-best home run hitter.. Colson Montgomery is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height in the majors.. Colson Montgomery will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kumar Rocker in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Rocker has a large platoon split.. Colson Montgomery's launch angle this season (23.1°) is quite a bit better than his 18° figure last season.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Tue, Jul 21 • 8:05 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (-108)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

Both teams are 7-3 in their last 10 games, but it's the Cubs whom I trust more in this spot. They have been dialed in at the plate of late, and I'm expecting Framber Valdez to return to his struggles against a good-hitting Cubbies side. 

Total Hits
Miguel Amaya logo
Miguel Amaya u0.5 Total Hits (+110)
Projection 0.61
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Miguel Amaya's BABIP ability is projected in the 13th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Miguel Amaya is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.. This year, there has been a decline in Miguel Amaya's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 25.93 ft/sec last year to 25.27 ft/sec currently.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Miguel Amaya's true offensive talent to be a .294, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .026 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .320 wOBA.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Houston Astros logo HOU Tue, Jul 21 • 8:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Heriberto Hernandez logo
Heriberto Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 91st percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Heriberto Hernandez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Heriberto Hernandez pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Houston Astros infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams today.. Heriberto Hernandez has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 12.3% seasonal rate to 29.4% over the last 14 days.
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (-130)
Projection 2.2
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Yordan Alvarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Phillips in today's matchup.. Yordan Alvarez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. Yordan Alvarez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.9-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 96.2-mph.
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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Tue, Jul 21 • 8:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jose Tena logo
Jose Tena o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.97
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Jose Tena is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. The #1 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to more offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Mickey Moniak logo
Mickey Moniak o1.5 Total Bases (-145)
Projection 2.42
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Mickey Moniak is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #1 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to more offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Tue, Jul 21 • 9:38 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+188)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 6th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 82°.. Mike Trout will have the handedness advantage over Matthew Liberatore in today's game.
Total Bases
Lars Nootbaar logo
Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 82°.. Lars Nootbaar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Walbert Urena in today's game.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Tue, Jul 21 • 9:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Cincinnati Reds logo CIN (-102)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

Let's dial up a bet on the Reds tonight behind Chase Burns and his excellent strikeout ability. The M's are the third-worst K team at home, and Burns has racked up 7+ Ks in 8 of his last 10 appearances. That'll be enough to help the Reds pick up the win. 

Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz logo
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+118)
Projection 2.2
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Luis Castillo... and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Tue, Jul 21 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Shea Langeliers logo
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.09
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Shea Langeliers projects as the 18th-best home run hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shea Langeliers is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Chase Field grades out as the #3 ballpark in the league for overall righty offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Kohl Drake throws from, Shea Langeliers will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Nolan Arenado logo
Nolan Arenado o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.52
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Chase Field grades out as the #3 ballpark in the league for overall righty offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Nolan Arenado will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.. Nolan Arenado has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.4-mph to 93.4-mph over the past 7 days.. Nolan Arenado's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, rising from 44% on the season to 80% in the last week's worth of games.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 29 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 29 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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What are Covers’ MLB Free picks and predictions?

Covers’ has more than 25 years of experience making smart MLB picks from the season’s first pitch to the World Series.

We find the best MLB odds and share our picks and baseball best bets for all the significant games of the baseball season right here on this page.

Our picks are researched and analyzed by experienced sports bettors looking for an edge to get the best value from their MLB betting.

Free MLB Expert Picks

Making smart MLB picks means looking beyond the favorites. Our free expert baseball picks will include a wide variety of bet types and markets.

Every day our baseball analysts look for quality baseball picks to share. You can expect well-researched picks on the money, run line, totals, player props, and much more.

Free MLB Run Line Picks

Run lines are what other sports like football and basketball refer to as point spreads. Run lines even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even matchup as possible. Our analysts research vital stats, pitching matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best possible edge before making your MLB run line bets.

Free MLB Totals Picks

Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.

Free MLB Moneyline Picks

Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.