San Francisco vs San Diego Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Xander Bogaerts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team in action today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage today.

In terms of his batting average, Casey Schmitt has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .235 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .257.

Nick Castellanos's batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among every team in action today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.264) provides evidence that Nick Castellanos has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .248 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Willy Adames is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Willy Adames's 12.2% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) ranks in the 79th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball when it comes to his batting average ability. Luis Arraez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Luis Arraez will have the handedness advantage over Nick Pivetta in today's game. Luis Arraez has posted a .295 batting average since the start of last season, placing in the 94th percentile.

Freddy Fermin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team in action today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Freddy Fermin will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Harrison Bader has posted a .354 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 98th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta in today's matchup. Since the start of last season, Rafael Devers's 15.5% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 92nd percentile among his peers.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 10th-best hitter in baseball. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team in action today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants. Fernando Tatis Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an advantage today. Among every team in action today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an edge in today's game. Jackson Merrill hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Patrick Bailey will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Nick Pivetta in this game.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team in action today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage in today's game.

Hitting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an advantage today. Among every team in action today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants. Gavin Sheets will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. When it comes to his batting average, Gavin Sheets has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .247 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .261.

Ramon Laureano has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 4 games.

Matt Chapman has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 5 games.

Luis Campusano has gone over 0.5 in 0 of his last 2 games.

Heliot Ramos has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 5 games.

Jung Hoo Lee has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 5 games.