MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 18, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

5.00 @ 4.51

BAL
BAL logo
BAL

Yankees vs Orioles · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

5.00

-110

o8.5 -110

-1.5 +150

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

4.51

+105

u9.0 -125

+1.5 -160

San Francisco @ Cleveland
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SF logo
SF
SF

3.83 @ 4.76

CLE
CLE logo
CLE

Giants vs Guardians · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SF logo
SF
SF

3.83

+175

o8.0 -110

+1.5 -125

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.76

-180

u8.5 -120

-1.5 +120

Top Projection Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+237)
o0.5+237
Detroit @ Pittsburgh
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

DET logo
DET
DET

4.13 @ 5.12

PIT
PIT logo
PIT

Tigers vs Pirates · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

DET logo
DET
DET

4.13

+131

o7.5 -120

+1.5 -155

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

5.12

-135

u8.5 -130

-1.5 +150

Top Projection Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
o0.5+165
Toronto @ Tampa Bay
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.38 @ 3.62

TB
TB logo
TB

Blue Jays vs Rays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.38

+121

o7.5 -105

+1.5 -180

TB logo
TB
TB

3.62

-127

u7.5 -105

-1.5 +170

Top Projection George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+209)
o0.5+209
St. Louis @ Cincinnati
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

STL logo
STL
STL

3.57 @ 4.73

CIN
CIN logo
CIN

Cardinals vs Reds · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

3.57

-115

o8.5 -105

-1.5 +145

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.73

+108

u8.5 +100

+1.5 -155

Top Projection Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+158)
o0.5+158
Miami @ Philadelphia
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.17 @ 5.49

PHI
PHI logo
PHI

Marlins vs Phillies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.17

+212

o8.0 -114

+1.5 -105

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.49

-210

u8.5 -120

-1.5 -105

Top Projection Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
o0.5+240
Arizona @ Boston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

3.78 @ 4.88

BOS
BOS logo
BOS

Diamondbacks vs Red Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

3.78

+153

o8.0 -110

+1.5 -135

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.88

-160

u8.5 -120

-1.5 +130

Top Projection Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+218)
o0.5+218
San Diego @ NY Mets
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SD logo
SD
SD

4.88 @ 4.80

NYM
NYM logo
NYM

Padres vs Mets · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SD logo
SD
SD

4.88

-110

o8.5 -110

-1.5 +150

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.80

+105

u8.5 +100

+1.5 -160

Top Projection Luis Robert Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+201)
o0.5+201
Athletics @ Kansas City
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

4.80 @ 4.99

KC
KC logo
KC

Athletics vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

4.80

+130

o9.5 -105

+1.5 -150

KC logo
KC
KC

4.99

-133

u10.0 -125

-1.5 +150

Top Projection Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+166)
o0.5+166
Atlanta @ Minnesota
Matchup Stats
Top Projection Byron Buxton o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+170
Seattle @ Milwaukee
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.32 @ 4.47

MIL
MIL logo
MIL

Mariners vs Brewers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.32

+140

o7.5 -110

+1.5 -150

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.47

-145

u8.0 -125

-1.5 +149

Top Projection Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
o0.5+230
Washington @ Texas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

3.95 @ 4.31

TEX
TEX logo
TEX

Nationals vs Rangers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

3.95

+143

o8.0 -110

+1.5 -155

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.31

-144

u8.5 -120

-1.5 +145

Top Projection Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+245)
o0.5+245
Chi. White Sox @ Chi. Cubs
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.54 @ 5.43

CHC
CHC logo
CHC

White Sox vs Cubs · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.54

+150

o8.0 -129

+2.0 -230

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

5.43

-157

u8.5 +105

-2.0 +175

Top Projection Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
o0.5+188
LA Angels @ Houston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

4.42 @ 5.17

HOU
HOU logo
HOU

Angels vs Astros · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

4.42

+151

o9.0 -114

+1.5 -135

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

5.17

-156

u9.5 -120

-1.5 +130

Top Projection Josh Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
o0.5+280
LA Dodgers @ Colorado
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

7.37 @ 5.99

COL
COL logo
COL

Dodgers vs Rockies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

7.37

-180

o11.5 -110

-1.5 -115

COL logo
COL
COL

5.99

+173

u12.0 -125

+1.5 +110

Top Projection Willi Castro o0.5 Total RBIs (+178)
o0.5+178
Detroit @ Pittsburgh
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

DET logo
DET
DET

3.80 @ 4.72

PIT
PIT logo
PIT

Tigers vs Pirates · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

DET logo
DET
DET

3.80

--

--

--

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.72

--

--

--

San Diego @ NY Mets
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SD logo
SD
SD

5.55 @ 4.82

NYM
NYM logo
NYM

Padres vs Mets · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SD logo
SD
SD

5.55

--

--

--

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.82

--

--

--

Atlanta @ Minnesota
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

4.70 @ 3.84

MIN
MIN logo
MIN

Braves vs Twins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

4.70

--

--

--

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

3.84

--

--

--

Chi. White Sox @ Chi. Cubs
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

3.76 @ 4.29

CHC
CHC logo
CHC

White Sox vs Cubs · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

3.76

--

--

--

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

4.29

--

--

--

Arizona @ Boston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.17 @ 5.15

BOS
BOS logo
BOS

Diamondbacks vs Red Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.17

--

--

--

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

5.15

--

--

--

Miami @ Philadelphia
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.81 @ 5.47

PHI
PHI logo
PHI

Marlins vs Phillies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.81

--

--

--

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.47

--

--

--

NY Yankees @ Baltimore
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

5.82 @ 3.87

BAL
BAL logo
BAL

Yankees vs Orioles · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

5.82

--

--

--

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

3.87

--

--

--

Toronto @ Tampa Bay
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

3.64 @ 4.67

TB
TB logo
TB

Blue Jays vs Rays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

3.64

--

--

--

TB logo
TB
TB

4.67

--

--

--

San Francisco @ Cleveland
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SF logo
SF
SF

3.49 @ 5.01

CLE
CLE logo
CLE

Giants vs Guardians · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SF logo
SF
SF

3.49

--

--

--

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

5.01

--

--

--

St. Louis @ Cincinnati
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

STL logo
STL
STL

4.46 @ 4.85

CIN
CIN logo
CIN

Cardinals vs Reds · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

4.46

--

--

--

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.85

--

--

--

Athletics @ Kansas City
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Athletics vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

--

--

--

--

KC logo
KC
KC

--

--

--

--

Seattle @ Milwaukee
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Mariners vs Brewers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

--

--

--

--

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

--

--

--

--

Washington @ Texas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Nationals vs Rangers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

--

--

--

--

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

--

--

--

--

LA Angels @ Houston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Angels vs Astros · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

--

--

--

--

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

--

--

--

--

LA Dodgers @ Colorado
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Dodgers vs Rockies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

--

--

--

--

COL logo
COL
COL

--

--

--

--

New York Yankees logo NYY @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Tue, Aug 18 • 6:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 18th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best stadium in MLB for righty home runs.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 84°.. Pete Alonso will hold the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon today.
Total Bases
Ben Rice logo
Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.98
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Ben Rice ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The #9 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 84°.. Ben Rice will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Baz in today's matchup.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Tue, Aug 18 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest fence height (on average) among all parks.. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Willy Adames in today's matchup.. Willy Adames has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 8.3% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past week.. Willy Adames's average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 87-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 82-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.. In the past week's worth of games, Willy Adames's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.5%.
Total Bases
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The #2 ballpark in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense.. Rafael Devers has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Tue, Aug 18 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Esmerlyn Valdez logo
Esmerlyn Valdez o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Esmerlyn Valdez in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Esmerlyn Valdez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Esmerlyn Valdez has a ton of pop (96th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (30.2% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Keider Montero struggles to strike batters out (9th percentile K%) — great news for Valdez.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Esmerlyn Valdez will hold that advantage today.. Esmerlyn Valdez has posted a .387 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 96th percentile.
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.93
Best Odds
Pick made: 35 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Oneil Cruz projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage against Keider Montero in today's matchup.. Oneil Cruz has a ton of pop (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (30.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Keider Montero struggles to strike batters out (8th percentile K%) — great news for Cruz.. Oneil Cruz will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Tue, Aug 18 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
George Springer logo
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. George Springer is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the 3rd-best venue in the league for RHB home runs.. Out of every team today, the worst infield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays.. Despite posting a .307 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes George Springer has been unlucky given the .037 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .344.
Total Bases
Alejandro Kirk logo
Alejandro Kirk o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 28 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Alejandro Kirk is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the 3rd-best venue in the league for RHB home runs.. Alejandro Kirk has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Out of every team today, the worst infield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Tue, Aug 18 • 6:40 PM ET
Total
St. Louis Cardinals logo Cincinnati Reds logo u8.5 (-103)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

The Under 8.5 leans on Cincinnati’s struggling offense and both bullpens holding their own. The Reds have managed a 64 wRC+ over their last eight games, while St. Louis should face a strong Cincinnati relief corps once Abbott exits. With Leahy dealing, this matchup has a lower-scoring path tonight.

Moneyline
St. Louis Cardinals logo STL (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

St. Louis has the cleaner profile behind Kyle Leahy, who owns a 2.55 FIP over his last five starts with excellent control and limited homer damage. Cincinnati enters ice cold with a 64 wRC+ over its last eight games, while Andrew Abbott’s command issues give the Cardinals an offensive path.

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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Tue, Aug 18 • 6:40 PM ET
Moneyline
Miami Marlins logo MIA (+197)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
Jon Metler image
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

Fading the Philadelphia Phillies with Zack Wheeler on the mound isn't an easy sell, but think about how difficult Wheeler is for even a good offense. Nothing is going to come easy; you're going to have to scrap and claw for runs. Whether it's by working counts, driving up his pitch count to get to the bullpen faster, manufacturing runs on the basepaths, or utilizing contact plays and hit-and-runs, you're not asking the Marlins to do anything they aren't already doing. This is how they score runs on a normal night. For a team with a bunch of big-time hitters with long swings, scoring runs against Wheeler can become a huge challenge. But the way to beat Wheeler is by manufacturing runs, which is exactly what the Marlins do on any given night. The Marlins are trading as a 34-cent underdog, and I price them closer to a 37-cent underdog, which is why I'm hitting the button.

 

Total Bases
Trea Turner logo
Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average ability, Trea Turner is projected as the 17th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The #9 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°.
View 11 Picks
Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Tue, Aug 18 • 7:10 PM ET
Total
Arizona Diamondbacks logo Boston Red Sox logo o8.5 (-103)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

The Over 8.5 is built around Boston’s offense and Arizona’s shaky bullpen. Kelly has been hittable and wild lately, while the Diamondbacks’ relief corps owns a 5.33 xERA over the last week. Suarez is steadier, but Arizona’s offense is above average enough to contribute if Boston leads scoring.

Spread
Boston Red Sox logo BOS -1.5 (+129)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Boston has a strong runline path with Merrill Kelly struggling and walking hitters lately. The Red Sox still own a 125 wRC+ over their last 15 games, while Ranger Suarez brings stability at Fenway. Arizona’s weaker road offense also gives Boston a cleaner chance to create separation tonight at home.

View 12 Picks
San Diego Padres logo SD @ New York Mets logo NYM Tue, Aug 18 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Luis Robert Jr. logo
Luis Robert Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Luis Robert Jr. ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Luis Robert Jr. is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Citi Field.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°.. Luis Robert Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Robbie Ray today.
Total Bases
Bo Bichette logo
Bo Bichette o1.5 Total Bases (+133)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his batting average ability, Bo Bichette is projected as the 6th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bo Bichette is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. The shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Citi Field.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°.. Bo Bichette will have the handedness advantage over Robbie Ray today.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Tue, Aug 18 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Zack Gelof logo
Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+166)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Zack Gelof ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Zack Gelof has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the highest temperatures of all games today at 87°.
Total Bases
Isaac Collins logo
Isaac Collins u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Isaac Collins is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.. In MLB, Kauffman Stadium's right field fences are the deepest.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 12.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hurlers.. Isaac Collins's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 89.4-mph mark last year has dropped off to 87.2-mph.. Isaac Collins's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 45.1% to 38.4%.
View 10 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Tue, Aug 18 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Austin Riley logo
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 30 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.. Austin Riley has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 12.5% seasonal rate to 31.8% in the last 14 days.. Austin Riley has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101.5-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 95.3-mph.
Total Bases
Royce Lewis logo
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 30 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 87th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Royce Lewis is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Royce Lewis will hold that advantage today.. In the last week's worth of games, Royce Lewis's 36.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.5%.. Checking in at the 76th percentile, Royce Lewis has notched a .294 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Tue, Aug 18 • 7:40 PM ET
Total
Seattle Mariners logo Milwaukee Brewers logo o7.5 (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

The Over 7.5 has a path despite Milwaukee’s recent offensive slump. Seattle owns a 122 wRC+ over the last week, while Bryce Miller’s struggles give the Brewers a chance to contribute at home. The Mariners’ bullpen also owns a 4.55 FIP recently, keeping late scoring in play tonight.

Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL (-155)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Milwaukee has the cleaner profile behind Kyle Harrison, who owns a 2.14 FIP at American Family Field compared to 4.87 on the road. Bryce Miller enters in shaky form with a 5.71 monthly FIP, and the Brewers’ 111 home wRC+ gives them a stronger offensive base overall tonight in Milwaukee.

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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Tue, Aug 18 • 8:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Daylen Lile logo
Daylen Lile o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Daylen Lile is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 2nd-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Cal Quantrill throws from, Daylen Lile will have an edge in today's game.. Daylen Lile has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.4-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 88.5-mph figure.
Total Bases
Corey Seager logo
Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 14th-best hitter in baseball.. Corey Seager is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 2nd-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Corey Seager will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.. Corey Seager has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 15.6% seasonal rate to 26.7% over the last week.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Tue, Aug 18 • 8:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami o1.5 Total Bases (+141)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Munetaka Murakami projects as the 2nd-best home run hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Munetaka Murakami is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity of the day (78%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Munetaka Murakami will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Munetaka Murakami has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 105.5-mph average over the last week to his seasonal figure of 100.4-mph.
Total Bases
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Among all stadiums, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity of the day (78%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Seiya Suzuki will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Houston Astros logo HOU Tue, Aug 18 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.07
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest fences in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs.. Hitting from the opposite that George Klassen throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have the upper hand today.. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Angels.
Total Bases
MB
Moises Ballesteros u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.73
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
This year, Moises Ballesteros has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 39% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.. Minute Maid Park profiles as the #27 ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, the 3rd-tallest fences are at Minute Maid Park.. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching.. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Moises Ballesteros in today's matchup.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Tue, Aug 18 • 8:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (-107)
Projection 2.33
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Hunter Goodman projects as the 12th-best home run hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best ballpark in the majors for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to better offense.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Ezequiel Tovar logo
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+139)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best ballpark in the majors for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to better offense.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Ezequiel Tovar will have the handedness advantage against Eric Lauer today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Ezequiel Tovar will hold that advantage today.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.