MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 17, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

TB @

BOS Fri, Jul 17 • 1:35 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (+116)

Projection 1.81

Best Odds

o1.5 +116

Pick made: 5 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +116

o1.5 +115

o1.5 -115

o1.5 +112

o1.5 +115

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Griffin Jax throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an advantage in today's game.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among all the teams on the slate today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Wilyer Abreu will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

+116 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Jarren Duran o1.5 Total Bases (+143)

Projection 1.6

Best Odds

o1.5 +143

Pick made: 5 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +143

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +100

o1.5 -102

o1.5 +135

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Hitting from the opposite that Griffin Jax throws from, Jarren Duran will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Jarren Duran has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among all the teams on the slate today.. Jarren Duran will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

+143 at DraftKings

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LAD @

NYY Fri, Jul 17 • 7:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o9.5 (+105)

Best Odds

o9.0 -120

Pick made: 8 hours ago

o9.0 -120

o9.5 -115

o9.0 -120

o9.5 +100

I’m playing the Over because both offenses have a clear matchup path. Sasaki’s fastball and barrel issues give New York a real chance to do damage early, even without Aaron Judge

Gerritt Cole is the better starter, but this is still the Dodgers’ lineup. And he hasn't been Vintage Cole either. LA can punish his elevated-contact profile, with Cole allowing a 9.2% barrel rate and 40.3% hard-hit rate this season. I projected 10.1 and would play this to -115.

Moneyline

NYY (+101)

Best Odds

+100

Pick made: 8 hours ago

-105

-110

+100

-102

-105

If the New York Yankees are going to make a charge in the AL East, there's no better time than now against the best team in baseball, the Los Angeles Dodgers. I’m playing them down to -110.

Roki Sasaki’s biggest flaw runs into New York’s best offensive path. Sasaki has allowed a 12.8% barrel rate and 44.9% hard-hit rate, and his four-seamer has been hit for a .606 SLG. These are all things the Yankees excel at, arriving at this game with the highest barrel rate in baseball, the third-highest hard-hit rate, and several strong hitters against the heater.

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PIT @

CLE Fri, Jul 17 • 7:10 PM ET

6 Computer Picks

Hits+Runs+RBIs

Ryan O'Hearn o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+115)

Projection 1.93

Best Odds

o1.5 +115

Pick made: 35 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +115

o1.5 -115

o1.5 +100

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.. Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an advantage in today's game.. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ryan O'Hearn stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.. Ryan O'Hearn has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

+115 at DraftKings

Hits+Runs+RBIs

Kyle Manzardo o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+122)

Projection 1.83

Best Odds

o1.5 +122

Pick made: 35 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +122

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +115

When it comes to his home run skill, Kyle Manzardo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Manzardo is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. Kyle Manzardo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Jones in today's game.. Kyle Manzardo will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

+122 at DraftKings

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$Texas Rangers logo$ TEX @

ATL Fri, Jul 17 • 7:15 PM ET

9 Computer Picks

Hits+Runs+RBIs

Matt Olson o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-140)

Projection 2.4

Best Odds

o1.5 -140

Pick made: 32 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -164

o1.5 -140

o1.5 -165

o1.5 -145

o1.5 -150

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Matt Olson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games today (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Cal Quantrill throws from, Matt Olson will have an advantage in today's game.

-140 at bet365

Total Bases

Wyatt Langford o1.5 Total Bases (+139)

Projection 1.88

Best Odds

o1.5 +150

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +139

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +131

o1.5 +150

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games today (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Wyatt Langford will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Sale today... and moreover, Sale has a huge platoon split.

+150 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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CHW @

TOR Fri, Jul 17 • 7:15 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)

Projection 0.75

Best Odds

o0.5 +158

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +158

o0.5 +155

o0.5 +150

o0.5 +145

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Miguel Vargas hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 77th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.. Extreme flyball hitters like Miguel Vargas tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Spencer Miles.. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team on the slate today.

+158 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Braden Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)

Projection 0.43

Best Odds

o0.5 +250

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +250

o0.5 +210

o0.5 +240

o0.5 +220

o0.5 +230

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Braden Montgomery in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Braden Montgomery is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Braden Montgomery will get to bat from his strong side against Spencer Miles in this game.. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among every team on the slate today.

+250 at DraftKings

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MIA @

MIL Fri, Jul 17 • 7:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Kyle Stowers o1.5 Total Bases (+138)

Projection 1.99

Best Odds

o1.5 +138

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +138

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +135

When estimating his home run skill, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Kyle Stowers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Henderson in today's matchup.

+138 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+171)

Projection 0.76

Best Odds

o0.5 +171

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +171

o0.5 +155

o0.5 +145

o0.5 +140

+171 at DraftKings

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MIN @

CHC Fri, Jul 17 • 8:05 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (-119)

Projection 2.74

Best Odds

o1.5 -119

Pick made: 13 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -119

o1.5 -140

o1.5 -155

o1.5 -134

o1.5 -125

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.3-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage over Bailey Ober in today's matchup.

-119 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Brooks Lee o1.5 Total Bases (+136)

Projection 1.94

Best Odds

o1.5 +136

Pick made: 13 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +136

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +129

o1.5 +130

Brooks Lee is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.3-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Brooks Lee will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Colin Rea today.

+136 at DraftKings

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SD @

KC Fri, Jul 17 • 8:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Salvador Perez u1.5 Total Bases (-160)

Projection 0.96

Best Odds

u1.5 -160

Pick made: 5 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -179

u1.5 -160

u1.5 -179

u1.5 -190

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 8th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Salvador Perez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (86% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.. Michael King will have the handedness advantage against Salvador Perez today.. Salvador Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 90th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's deepest LF fences today.

-160 at bet365

Total Bases

Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-124)

Projection 2.33

Best Odds

o1.5 -124

Pick made: 13 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -124

o1.5 -130

o1.5 -150

o1.5 -130

When assessing his batting average skill, Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected as the 13th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 89°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.

-124 at DraftKings

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BAL @

HOU Fri, Jul 17 • 8:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (+119)

Projection 1.89

Best Odds

o1.5 +119

Pick made: 13 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +119

o1.5 +105

o1.5 -115

o1.5 +112

o1.5 +110

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage against Peter Lambert in today's game.. Out of every team in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Houston Astros.

+119 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (-101)

Projection 1.99

Best Odds

o1.5 -101

Pick made: 13 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -101

o1.5 -110

o1.5 -145

o1.5 -109

o1.5 -105

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in the majors.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Yordan Alvarez will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Bradish in today's game.. The Baltimore Orioles have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Yordan Alvarez can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.. Yordan Alvarez will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

-101 at DraftKings

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CIN @

COL Fri, Jul 17 • 8:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Troy Johnston o1.5 Total Bases (+147)

Projection 1.84

Best Odds

o1.5 +147

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +147

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +134

o1.5 +130

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 92°.. Because of Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Troy Johnston will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 6th-weakest out of every team today.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Troy Johnston will hold that advantage in today's game.

+147 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Kyle Karros o1.5 Total Bases (+121)

Projection 1.87

Best Odds

o1.5 +121

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +121

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +120

Kyle Karros's BABIP skill is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Karros is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 92°.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 6th-weakest out of every team today.. Kyle Karros will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

+121 at DraftKings

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DET @

LAA Fri, Jul 17 • 9:38 PM ET

9 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Kevin McGonigle o1.5 Total Bases (+155)

Projection 1.6

Best Odds

o1.5 +155

Pick made: 25 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +142

o1.5 +150

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +138

o1.5 +155

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Kevin McGonigle ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Angels.

+155 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+134)

Projection 1.85

Best Odds

o1.5 +134

Pick made: 21 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +134

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +130

When estimating his home run ability, Zach Neto ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Zach Neto is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Zach Neto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

+134 at DraftKings

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WAS @

ATH Fri, Jul 17 • 9:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

CJ Abrams o1.5 Total Bases (+135)

Projection 1.9

Best Odds

o1.5 +135

Pick made: 13 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +127

o1.5 +135

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, CJ Abrams ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 95°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Athletics.

+135 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Tyler Soderstrom o1.5 Total Bases (+115)

Projection 1.99

Best Odds

o1.5 +115

Pick made: 13 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +107

o1.5 +110

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Tyler Soderstrom is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 95°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Tyler Soderstrom will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Cavalli today.

+115 at DraftKings

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STL @

AZ Fri, Jul 17 • 9:40 PM ET

5 Computer Picks

Total Bases

JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+109)

Projection 1.93

Best Odds

o1.5 +115

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +109

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +107

o1.5 +115

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Wetherholt in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. JJ Wetherholt is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. JJ Wetherholt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly today.

+115 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Ivan Herrera o1.5 Total Bases (+126)

Projection 1.78

Best Odds

o1.5 +130

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +126

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +126

o1.5 +130

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

+130 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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SF @

SEA Fri, Jul 17 • 10:10 PM ET

6 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

J.P. Crawford o0.5 Total RBIs (+290)

Projection 0.38

Best Odds

o0.5 +290

Pick made: 12 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +282

o0.5 +270

o0.5 +290

o0.5 +255

o0.5 +275

When estimating his overall offensive talent, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. J.P. Crawford will have the handedness advantage against Landen Roupp in today's matchup.. J.P. Crawford has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and J.P. Crawford will hold that advantage in today's game.

+290 at FanDuel

Hits+Runs+RBIs

Victor Robles o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+185)

Projection 1.46

Best Odds

o1.5 +185

Pick made: 12 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +177

o1.5 +155

o1.5 +185

o1.5 +145

Victor Robles pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Victor Robles will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

+185 at FanDuel

View 6 Picks

AZ @

STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET

6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Game Prop

o2.5 Team Total (-115)

Best Odds

o2.5 +114

Pick made: 21 days ago

o2.5 +114

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed

Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)

Best Odds

o2.5 -137

Pick made: 21 days ago

o2.5 -137

o2.5 -150

o2.5 -141

o2.5 -155

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

Read Full Analysis

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TOR @

CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET

4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)

Best Odds

o0.5 +425

Pick made: 25 days ago

o0.5 +370

o0.5 +425

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.

3 LEG PARLAY

Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits

Total Hits

Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown

Strikeouts Thrown

George Springer o1.5 Total Bases

Total Bases

Bet now

+280

Pick made: 25 days ago

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

View 14 Picks

ATL @

CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET

5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-105)

Pick made: one month ago

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

ATL (-112)

Best Odds

-115

Pick made: one month ago

-120

-115

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

Read Full Analysis

View 15 Picks

BOS @

NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-110)

Best Odds

o8.0 -125

Pick made: one month ago

o8.5 -102

o8.0 -125

o8.5 -102

o8.5 +100

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

NYY (-135)

Best Odds

-110

Pick made: one month ago

-118

-110

-112

-110

-115

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

Read Full Analysis

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SF @

ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks

Total

o7.5 (-116)

Pick made: 28 days ago

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

SF (+124)

Best Odds

+110

Pick made: 28 days ago

+110

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

Read Full Analysis

View 2 Picks

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Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and odds price:

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07/16/2026 10:16 ET

2026 World Series Odds: Yankees Remain Favored AL Squad

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07/16/2026 04:26 ET

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Mets vs Phillies Prop Picks and Best Bets for Tonight, July 16

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What are Covers’ MLB Free picks and predictions?

Covers’ has more than 25 years of experience making smart MLB picks from the season’s first pitch to the World Series.

We find the best MLB odds and share our picks and baseball best bets for all the significant games of the baseball season right here on this page.

Our picks are researched and analyzed by experienced sports bettors looking for an edge to get the best value from their MLB betting.

Free MLB Expert Picks

Making smart MLB picks means looking beyond the favorites. Our free expert baseball picks will include a wide variety of bet types and markets.

Every day our baseball analysts look for quality baseball picks to share. You can expect well-researched picks on the money, run line, totals, player props, and much more.

Free MLB Run Line Picks

Run lines are what other sports like football and basketball refer to as point spreads. Run lines even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even matchup as possible. Our analysts research vital stats, pitching matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best possible edge before making your MLB run line bets.

Free MLB Totals Picks

Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.

Free MLB Moneyline Picks

Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.