MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 12, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sun, Jul 12 • 12:15 PM ET
8 Computer Picks
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Brice Turang logo
Brice Turang o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+108)
Projection 2.12
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Brice Turang is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of the day.. Brice Turang will hold the platoon advantage over Paul Skenes today.
Total RBIs
Garrett Mitchell logo
Garrett Mitchell o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
Projection 0.41
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his BABIP talent, Garrett Mitchell is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Garrett Mitchell has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (61% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of the day.. Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Garrett Mitchell will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sun, Jul 12 • 1:35 PM ET
6 Computer Picks
Hits+Runs+RBIs
James Wood logo
James Wood o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-143)
Projection 2.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Because of Will Warren's large platoon split, James Wood will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.. James Wood will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
CJ Abrams logo
CJ Abrams o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-125)
Projection 2.27
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. CJ Abrams is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. Given Will Warren's large platoon split, CJ Abrams will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. CJ Abrams will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sun, Jul 12 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Blaze Alexander logo
Blaze Alexander u0.5 Total Hits (+200)
Projection 0.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Blaze Alexander is projected to hit 8th in the lineup today.. Seth Lugo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blaze Alexander in today's matchup.. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.. Kansas City's #2-ranked outfield defense on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Blaze Alexander, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
Total Bases
Taylor Ward logo
Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Taylor Ward is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Taylor Ward hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Taylor Ward will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Sun, Jul 12 • 1:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick
Total
Chicago Cubs logo Cincinnati Reds logo o9.5 (+100)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

This game is screaming Over with two lefty starters taking on Top 5 lineups in OPS vs. southpaws in the bandbox that is GABP. Andrew Abbott is due for regression based on xERA, while Matthew Boyd is in the second percentile in hard-hit rate. Play to -120.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Mets logo NYM Sun, Jul 12 • 1:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 2.02
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 84°.. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 84°.. Hitting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an edge today.
View 10 Picks
Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Sun, Jul 12 • 1:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 9 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI (-104)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

The Phillies are 12-2 behind Zack Wheeler in 2026, and the motivated All-Star snub has been fanning batters left and right of late (24 Ks last two starts). Tarik Skubal has been homer-prone in his last six outings (nine dingers), and that won't work vs. a Philly lineup ranked sixth in longballs this season. Play to -115.

Hits+Runs+RBIs
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+145)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 84°.. Spencer Torkelson will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
View 10 Picks
Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sun, Jul 12 • 1:40 PM ET
9 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Colt Emerson logo
Colt Emerson o1.5 Total Bases (+260)
Projection 1.16
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Out of every team on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Tampa Bay Rays.
Total Bases
Jonathan Aranda logo
Jonathan Aranda o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Jonathan Aranda will hold the platoon advantage over Emerson Hancock in today's matchup.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Jonathan Aranda will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sun, Jul 12 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 2.1
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 6th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate today at 90°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters.. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.
Total Bases
Jorge Soler logo
Jorge Soler o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Jorge Soler ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jorge Soler is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate today at 90°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters.. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.
View 10 Picks
Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Sun, Jul 12 • 2:10 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Sam Antonacci logo
Sam Antonacci o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
Projection 0.4
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Samuel Antonacci in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Samuel Antonacci is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Samuel Antonacci will hold the platoon advantage over J.T. Ginn in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Ginn has a large platoon split.. Samuel Antonacci has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Athletics.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Kyle Teel logo
Kyle Teel o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+125)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kyle Teel's BABIP talent is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Considering J.T. Ginn's large platoon split, Kyle Teel will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Athletics.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Kyle Teel will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Sun, Jul 12 • 2:15 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Drake Baldwin logo
Drake Baldwin o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Drake Baldwin is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most suitable for hitting of all games today.. Drake Baldwin will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dustin May today... and moreover, May has a large platoon split.
Total RBIs
Lars Nootbaar logo
Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most suitable for hitting of all games today.. Batting from the opposite that JR Ritchie throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
View 7 Picks
Houston Astros logo HOU @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Sun, Jul 12 • 2:35 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.2
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
Total RBIs
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+125)
Projection 0.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sun, Jul 12 • 4:05 PM ET
6 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Casey Schmitt logo
Casey Schmitt o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Casey Schmitt in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Casey Schmitt is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 14.9-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters.. Casey Schmitt will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.35
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Hunter Goodman as MLB's 15th-best home run batter.. Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 14.9-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters.. Extreme groundball batters like Hunter Goodman generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Trevor McDonald.
View 6 Picks
Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ San Diego Padres logo SD Sun, Jul 12 • 4:10 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Daulton Varsho logo
Daulton Varsho o1.5 Total Bases (+134)
Projection 1.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage over German Marquez today.
Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+127)
Projection 1.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 33 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his batting average talent, Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected as the 13th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold that advantage today.
View 3 Picks
Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Sun, Jul 12 • 4:10 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani logo
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (-123)
Projection 2.39
Best Odds
Pick made: 41 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best batter in baseball.. Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Shohei Ohtani will have an advantage today.. Shohei Ohtani will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Freddie Freeman logo
Freddie Freeman o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.96
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Freddie Freeman projects as the 15th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Freddie Freeman will hold the platoon advantage over Zac Gallen in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Freddie Freeman will hold that advantage in today's game.
View 7 Picks
Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Fri, Jul 17 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Willson Contreras logo
Willson Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in MLB for run-scoring.. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among every team today.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Willson Contreras logo
Willson Contreras o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-130)
Projection 2.39
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in MLB for run-scoring.. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among every team today.
View 10 Picks
Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

View 16 Picks
Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 20 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

View 14 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 23 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

View 2 Picks

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