MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 10, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Fri, Jul 10 • 6:40 PM ET
9 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
J.T. Realmuto logo
J.T. Realmuto o0.5 Total RBIs (+233)
Projection 0.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
Total RBIs
Kevin McGonigle logo
Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Total RBIs (+196)
Projection 0.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Kevin McGonigle ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Kevin McGonigle will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Kevin McGonigle will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Fri, Jul 10 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Joey Ortiz logo
Joey Ortiz o1.5 Total Bases (+280)
Projection 1.19
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
This game is forecasted to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate today (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
Total Bases
Brandon Lowe logo
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 91st percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. This game is forecasted to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate today (83%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Sproat today.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Brandon Lowe will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Fri, Jul 10 • 6:45 PM ET
8 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Curtis Mead logo
Curtis Mead o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 33 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Curtis Mead in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Curtis Mead is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 86°.. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, Curtis Mead will have an advantage in today's game.. Curtis Mead will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Andres Chaparro logo
Andres Chaparro u1.5 Total Bases (-260)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 33 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Andres Chaparro's BABIP ability is projected in the 18th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Fri, Jul 10 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.42
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average ability.. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Bobby Witt Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total Bases
Jac Caglianone logo
Jac Caglianone o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.96
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jac Caglianone in the 87th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Jac Caglianone is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Young throws from, Jac Caglianone will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Jac Caglianone hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Fri, Jul 10 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.07
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Junior Caminero projects as the 16th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Junior Caminero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.2% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team in action today.. Junior Caminero will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total Hits
Dominic Canzone logo
Dominic Canzone u0.5 Total Hits (+200)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Tropicana Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -7° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching.. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Dominic Canzone in today's game.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Fri, Jul 10 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.96
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. This game is projected to have the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today (78%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.
Total Bases
Ian Happ logo
Ian Happ o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Ian Happ is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. This game is projected to have the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today (78%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Hunter Greene.. Ian Happ pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Fri, Jul 10 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Chase DeLauter logo
Chase DeLauter o0.5 Total RBIs (+201)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Chase DeLauter is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Chase DeLauter will hold the platoon advantage over Sandy Alcantara today.. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Chase DeLauter can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
Total RBIs
Patrick Bailey logo
Patrick Bailey o0.5 Total RBIs (+284)
Projection 0.35
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The switch-hitting Patrick Bailey will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Sandy Alcantara.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Mets logo NYM Fri, Jul 10 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Bo Bichette logo
Bo Bichette o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.53
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 6th-best batter in baseball when it comes to his batting average skill.. Bo Bichette is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of the day at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Bo Bichette will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Bo Bichette logo
Bo Bichette o1.5 Total Bases (+149)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 43 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 6th-best batter in baseball when it comes to his batting average skill.. Bo Bichette is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of the day at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Bo Bichette will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
View 10 Picks
Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Fri, Jul 10 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Nick Kurtz logo
Nick Kurtz o1.5 Total Bases (+121)
Projection 1.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 35 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Nick Kurtz ranks as the 9th-best batter in baseball.. Nick Kurtz is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, Nick Kurtz will have the upper hand today.. Nick Kurtz has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total Home Runs
Braden Montgomery logo
Braden Montgomery o0.5 Total Home Runs (+850)
Projection 0.26
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Colson Montgomery projects as the 14th-best home run batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colson Montgomery is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Colson Montgomery pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.9% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Colson Montgomery will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
View 10 Picks
Houston Astros logo HOU @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Fri, Jul 10 • 8:05 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Houston Astros logo HOU (-131)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 hours ago
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

While Hunter Brown has limited Rangers hitters to a .671 OPS, Cal Quantrill has struggled against Astros batters, with Houston boasting a .302/.381/.511 slash line against the right-hander. Take Houston to prevail in the series opener of this Lone Star showdown.

Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 2.25
Best Odds
Pick made: 35 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in MLB.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-shortest average fence height among all major league parks.. Yordan Alvarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cal Quantrill today.
View 11 Picks
Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Fri, Jul 10 • 8:10 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kody Clemens logo
Kody Clemens o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.03
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Kody Clemens is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Kody Clemens will have an edge in today's matchup.. Among every team in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Los Angeles Angels.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Kody Clemens logo
Kody Clemens o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-135)
Projection 2.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Kody Clemens is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Kody Clemens will have an edge in today's matchup.. Among every team in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Los Angeles Angels.
View 7 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Fri, Jul 10 • 8:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Lars Nootbaar logo
Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Total Bases (+295)
Projection 1.12
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. The weather report expects the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.. Lars Nootbaar will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Austin Riley logo
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+142)
Projection 1.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run ability.. The weather report expects the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Austin Riley hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today.
View 10 Picks
Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ San Diego Padres logo SD Fri, Jul 10 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Jackson Merrill logo
Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. Batting from the opposite that Shane Bieber throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an edge in today's matchup.. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jackson Merrill will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs
Alejandro Kirk logo
Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Total RBIs (+226)
Projection 0.53
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Considering JP Sears's large platoon split, Alejandro Kirk will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Fri, Jul 10 • 10:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Andy Pages logo
Andy Pages o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.03
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Andy Pages ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Andy Pages is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Andy Pages will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez today.. Andy Pages will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Mookie Betts logo
Mookie Betts o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Mookie Betts is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Mookie Betts will have an edge in today's game.. Mookie Betts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Mookie Betts will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
View 10 Picks
Colorado Rockies logo COL @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Fri, Jul 10 • 10:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Tanner Gordon logo
Tanner Gordon o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-146)
Projection 4.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The San Francisco Giants have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Drew Cavanaugh, Bryce Eldridge, Willy Adames).. It is anticipated that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Austin Jones) calling pitches in today's game.. The weather forecast projects the best pitching weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Given that flyball pitchers have a sizeable advantage over flyball hitters, Tanner Gordon and his 38% underlying FB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a good position in today's matchup being matched up with 2 opposing FB hitters.
Total Home Runs
Bryce Eldridge logo
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total Home Runs (+600)
Projection 0.2
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryce Eldridge in the 90th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Gordon throws from, Bryce Eldridge will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryce Eldridge stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.. Bryce Eldridge will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
View 10 Picks
Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

View 16 Picks
Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 18 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

View 14 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 28 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 28 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 21 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

View 2 Picks

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