MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 28, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

4.42 @ 3.16

DET
DET logo
DET

Dodgers vs Tigers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

4.42

-174

o7.0 -125

-1.5 +100

DET logo
DET
DET

3.16

+168

u7.5 -115

+1.5 -109

Miami @ Washington
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.45 @ 4.17

WAS
WAS logo
WAS

Marlins vs Nationals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.45

-130

o8.0 -112

-1.5 +125

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

4.17

+130

u8.5 -115

+1.5 -130

Top Projection CJ Abrams o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+108)
o1.5+108
Houston @ NY Mets
Matchup Stats
Top Projection Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+170
Kansas City @ Cleveland
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

KC logo
KC
KC

4.09 @ 4.20

CLE
CLE logo
CLE

Royals vs Guardians · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

KC logo
KC
KC

4.09

+124

o7.5 +105

+1.5 -180

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.20

-129

u7.5 -115

-1.5 +170

Top Projection Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+224)
o0.5+224
San Diego @ Tampa Bay
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SD logo
SD
SD

4.29 @ 4.05

TB
TB logo
TB

Padres vs Rays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SD logo
SD
SD

4.29

+118

o7.5 +100

+1.5 -185

TB logo
TB
TB

4.05

-123

u7.5 -110

-1.5 +175

Top Projection Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+204)
o0.5+204
Colorado @ Atlanta
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

COL logo
COL
COL

4.74 @ 5.58

ATL
ATL logo
ATL

Rockies vs Braves · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

COL logo
COL
COL

4.74

+210

o8.5 -130

+4.0 -500

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

5.58

-216

u12.0 -455

-4.0 +285

Top Projection Willi Castro o0.5 Total RBIs (+251)
o0.5+251
Seattle @ Toronto
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

3.89 @ 4.29

TOR
TOR logo
TOR

Mariners vs Blue Jays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

3.89

+131

o6.5 -125

+1.5 -165

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.29

-137

u7.0 -118

-1.5 +155

Top Projection Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+269)
o0.5+269
Boston @ NY Yankees
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.17 @ 4.08

NYY
NYY logo
NYY

Red Sox vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.17

+142

o5.0 -500

+1.5 -155

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

4.08

-145

u7.5 -125

-1.5 +145

Top Projection Caleb Durbin o0.5 Total RBIs (+320)
o0.5+320
Texas @ Milwaukee
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.44 @ 4.56

MIL
MIL logo
MIL

Rangers vs Brewers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.44

+194

o7.5 -105

+3.5 -385

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.56

-200

u7.5 -105

-3.5 +250

Top Projection Cody Freeman o0.5 Total RBIs (+432)
o0.5+432
Chi. White Sox @ Minnesota
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.59 @ 4.68

MIN
MIN logo
MIN

White Sox vs Twins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.59

+116

o8.0 -159

+2.5 -286

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.68

-124

u9.0 -120

-2.5 +225

Pittsburgh @ St. Louis
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.38 @ 3.92

STL
STL logo
STL

Pirates vs Cardinals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.38

-113

o5.0 -500

-1.5 +155

STL logo
STL
STL

3.92

+105

u7.5 -110

+1.5 -165

Top Projection Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+347)
o0.5+350
Philadelphia @ LA Angels
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

4.53 @ 4.15

LAA
LAA logo
LAA

Phillies vs Angels · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

4.53

-122

o8.0 +100

-1.5 +135

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

4.15

+116

u8.5 -130

+1.5 -145

Top Projection Jose Siri o1.5 Total Bases (+255)
o1.5+255
Baltimore @ Athletics
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

5.90 @ 5.17

ATH
ATH logo
ATH

Orioles vs Athletics · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

5.90

-108

o9.5 +100

-1.5 +140

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

5.17

+103

u9.5 -110

+1.5 -150

Top Projection Dylan Beavers o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1300)
o0.5+1300
Arizona @ San Francisco
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.71 @ 3.87

SF
SF logo
SF

Diamondbacks vs Giants · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.71

-110

o7.5 -120

-1.5 +145

SF logo
SF
SF

3.87

+107

u8.5 -130

+1.5 -155

Top Projection Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5+215
Boston @ NY Yankees
Matchup Stats
Top Projection Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
o1.5+200
LA Dodgers @ Detroit
Matchup Stats
Chi. White Sox @ Minnesota
Matchup Stats
Pittsburgh @ St. Louis
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.38 @ 4.23

STL
STL logo
STL

Pirates vs Cardinals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.38

--

--

--

STL logo
STL
STL

4.23

--

--

--

Cincinnati @ Chi. Cubs
Matchup Stats
Seattle @ Toronto
Matchup Stats
Miami @ Washington
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.23 @ 4.31

WAS
WAS logo
WAS

Marlins vs Nationals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.23

-104

o7.5 -115

-1.5 +175

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

4.31

-105

u8.0 -122

+1.5 -185

Colorado @ Atlanta
Matchup Stats
Kansas City @ Cleveland
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

KC logo
KC
KC

3.97 @ 4.19

CLE
CLE logo
CLE

Royals vs Guardians · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

KC logo
KC
KC

3.97

+140

o7.5 -115

+1.5 -165

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.19

-150

u8.0 -115

-1.5 +155

San Diego @ Tampa Bay
Matchup Stats
Houston @ NY Mets
Matchup Stats
Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Fri, Aug 28 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Max Muncy logo Max Muncy o0.5 Total Home Runs (+307)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Dustin Saracini image
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

I'm investing in Max Muncy stock tonight against Anderson. Yes, we all know he has issues suppressing the long ball, but Muncy also demolishes righties - he's hit 20 of his 26 homers against them while owning an .859 OPS.

Anderson using his four-seamer nearly 40% of the time could prove deadly, too, as Muncy owns a.614 xSLG and 17 homers this season on the fastball. Don't overthink it, invest in the big dawg.

Total
Los Angeles Dodgers logo Detroit Tigers logo u7.5 (-121)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Dustin Saracini image
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

I don't think the Tigers will score enough on their side, so we're going to comfortably buy up the Under at 54 cents. It helps that the MLB trends are with us here, with the Under sporting a sparkling 6-0 record in Detroit's last six games as an underdog.

Skubal will be under a microscope tonight, and the likely boos from the home crowd will light a fire under the Dodgers' ace. Look for him to continue his great season, coming into this one with a 2.94 xERA, 30% K rate, and .225 xBA.

View 13 Picks
Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Fri, Aug 28 • 6:45 PM ET
Total RBIs
Daylen Lile logo
Daylen Lile o0.5 Total RBIs (+204)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Daylen Lile is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. In the majors, Nationals Park's right field dimensions are the 9th-shallowest.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Eury Perez throws from, Daylen Lile will have the upper hand in today's game.
Total RBIs
Dylan Crews logo
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Dylan Crews is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. Nationals Park has the 5th-smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for homers.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Dylan Crews will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Dylan Crews has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.4-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 93.6-mph.
View 11 Picks
Houston Astros logo HOU @ New York Mets logo NYM Fri, Aug 28 • 7:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Bo Bichette logo
Bo Bichette o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.52
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 6th-best batter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average ability.. Bo Bichette is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-best for hitting of all games today.. Out of all the teams playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Houston Astros.
Total Bases
Luis Robert Jr. logo
Luis Robert Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.47
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 88th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Luis Robert Jr. is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-best for hitting of all games today.. Out of all the teams playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Houston Astros.
View 10 Picks
Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Fri, Aug 28 • 7:10 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Michael Wacha logo Michael Wacha u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+130)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Nothing more scrumptious than a pitcher without a high strikeout rate taking on a team that does not strike out at a high rate. Michael Wacha draws a Cleveland Guardians lineup that has stayed under an 18.5% strikeout rate over its last 21 games, including just 16.3% over its last six. Across the team’s last 60 at-bats, only two hitters have a strikeout rate above 18.3%. The Guardians also have the highest contact rate in baseball over their last 12 games. Wacha sports the second-lowest average strikeout rate on Batters-Box at 15.67% and has stayed under 20% across his last five starts and overall on the road.

Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.98
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best hitter in the game when it comes to his batting average talent.. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Progressive Field grades out as the #2 stadium in MLB for righty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense.. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
View 11 Picks
San Diego Padres logo SD @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Fri, Aug 28 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Junior Caminero logo Junior Caminero o0.5 Total Home Runs (+296)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Dustin Saracini image
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

I absolutely love this play for Caminero to go yard. With 35 homers, the All-Star is having the best campaign of his career and has already logged a home run against Mize (2-for-4, HR, .665 xSLG).

He's seeing the ball well, too, owning two consecutive multiple-hit games coming into tonight.

With his hard-hit rate sitting at an astronomical 50.5%, I'll give him the benefit of the doubt to hit a bomb against a struggling pitcher.

Total
San Diego Padres logo Tampa Bay Rays logo o7.5 (+101)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Dustin Saracini image
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

With Mize's issues, the Rays may not have any issues going over this total by themselves, coming into tonight with the sixth-highest team wRC+. Tampa is just a scrappy team that plays good, fundamental baseball, and if there is traffic on the base paths tonight, look for the fourth-best hitting team with RISP to cash them in.

View 14 Picks
Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Fri, Aug 28 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Drake Baldwin logo Drake Baldwin o0.5 Total Home Runs (+388)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Drake Baldwin enters tonight as the second-highest-rated hitter in this matchup, making him an appealing piece of the Braves’ offensive attack. Over his last 30 at-bats against right-handed pitching, Baldwin owns a .607 SLG, .940 OPS and .321 ISO, while generating over 63% hard-hit and a 21.1% barrel rate. He has also homered in 22.22% of his 18 elite ratings this season on Batters-Box, with 91.2% arsenal coverage against Tomoyuki Sugano’s pitch mix. With Sugano carrying the worst pitcher rating on the slate, backing multiple Braves hitters makes plenty of sense. 

Total Home Runs
Matt Olson logo Matt Olson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+291)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Matt Olson is one of my favorite home run looks on Friday night as the Atlanta Braves go from Yoshinobu Yamamoto to Tomoyuki Sugano. Olson enters the night with an elite rating on Batters-Box and has homered nearly 40% of the time in 23 elite ratings at home this season. Sugano has struggled badly against left-handed hitters, with the last 30 owning a .390 xBA, .684 xSLG, .414 xwOBA and .286 ISO. Olson has also been making plenty of hard contact lately, with five of his last six balls in play reaching at least 101.5 MPH off the bat.

View 13 Picks
Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Fri, Aug 28 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
George Springer logo George Springer o0.5 Total Home Runs (+475)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Dustin Saracini image
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

George Springer is 2-for-3 against Hancock with an extra-base hit, and coming off a "garbage time" homer just last night. He'll sit on the four-seamer that Hancock has given up nine homers on this season. His shoulder issue looks to be in the past; let's rock with the veteran down the stretch.

Strikeouts Thrown
Dylan Cease logo Dylan Cease o7.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Dustin Saracini image
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

Not only has Dylan Cease gone over this number in four of his last six starts, but he's facing a Seattle Mariners team that has been punched out 1,159 times this season - good for eighth-most in baseball.

Cease is rocking the highest strikeout percentage of his career (an astronomical 36.1%) for the Toronto Blue Jays, and has dominated the Mariners throughout his career, rocking a .162 xBA while striking them out at a 30% clip across 82 at-bats - a sample size we can get behind. Look for him to continue his Cy Young campaign tonight.

View 13 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Fri, Aug 28 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Paul Goldschmidt logo Paul Goldschmidt o0.5 Total Home Runs (+414)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Ethan Diamandas image
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst

Paul Goldschmidt’s excellent production against lefties and four-seam fastballs gives him an ideal matchup against Patrick Sandoval, making his home run prop worth a quarter-unit.

Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo u7.5 (-126)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Ethan Diamandas image
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst

New York Yankees starter Cam Schlittler’s ability to suppress traffic and home runs, combined with a Yankees lineup missing Aaron Judge, makes Under 7.5 worth playing.

View 14 Picks
Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Fri, Aug 28 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jackson Chourio logo Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total Home Runs (+344)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Jackson Chourio has real power appeal with two homers in his last six games, a 52.9% hard-hit rate, and an 11.8% barrel rate. Bradford’s air-contact profile and the Rangers’ recent bullpen homer issues give Chourio multiple paths to leave the yard, even without elite fly-ball volume.

Total
Texas Rangers logo Milwaukee Brewers logo o7.5 (-107)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

The Over 7.5 is a moderate but playable angle with both lineups in respectable form. Texas owns a 111 wRC+ over its last 12 games, while Milwaukee is swinging it even better. The Rangers’ bullpen has allowed hard contact and home run damage lately, giving the Brewers late upside.

View 13 Picks
Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Fri, Aug 28 • 8:10 PM ET
Total
Chicago White Sox logo Minnesota Twins logo o8.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

The Over 8.5 has multiple scoring paths with Chicago averaging six runs per game over the last week and Minnesota producing 4.47 runs per contest at home. Both bullpens have shown recent cracks, while Castillo and Kremer bring enough volatility to support a high-scoring matchup in Minneapolis tonight.

Moneyline
Minnesota Twins logo MIN (-126)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Minnesota has the cleaner edge with Luis Castillo struggling badly and Dean Kremer much stronger at home. Castillo owns a 9.90 FIP over his last two starts with major homer issues, while the Twins have a 105 wRC+ at Target Field and enough offense to take advantage early tonight.

View 14 Picks
Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Fri, Aug 28 • 8:15 PM ET
Total Bases
JB
Joshua Baez o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.33
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joshua Baez in the 92nd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest fences among all parks.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Joshua Baez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams in action today.
Strikeouts Thrown
Jared Jones logo
Jared Jones u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+124)
Projection 4.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Jones to throw 77 pitches in this game (least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. Busch Stadium profiles as the #27 venue in MLB for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jared Jones today.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Fri, Aug 28 • 9:38 PM ET
Total Bases
Zach Neto logo
Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Zach Neto ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Zach Neto is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. Angel Stadium has the shortest average fence height among all parks.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 88°.. Zach Neto will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Total Bases
Jose Siri logo
Jose Siri o1.5 Total Bases (+255)
Projection 1.44
Best Odds
Pick made: 29 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Angel Stadium has the shortest average fence height among all parks.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 88°.. Jose Siri will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Jose Siri has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 90.6-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.6-mph average.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Fri, Aug 28 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 2.5
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 17th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The #1 field in the majors for boosting home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-shortest average fence height in the league.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate at 98°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Coby Mayo logo
Coby Mayo o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.9
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Coby Mayo ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Coby Mayo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (71% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The #1 field in the majors for boosting home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-shortest average fence height in the league.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate at 98°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Fri, Aug 28 • 10:15 PM ET
Total RBIs
Bryce Eldridge logo
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.55
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Bryce Eldridge ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Eldridge is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Oracle Park has the shallowest RF dimensions in the majors.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryce Eldridge stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.
Total RBIs
Drew Gilbert logo
Drew Gilbert o0.5 Total RBIs (+265)
Projection 0.41
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Drew Gilbert has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (92% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Oracle Park has the shallowest RF dimensions in the majors.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Drew Gilbert stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Drew Gilbert will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Fri, Sep 4 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
David Fry logo
David Fry u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
David Fry is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest fences in the league.. Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, David Fry will not have the upper hand today.
Total Bases
Riley Greene logo
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Progressive Field projects as the #3 stadium in the game for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field has the 6th-shallowest right field fences in the majors.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 86%.
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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.