MLB Picks

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 4th-best field in the majors for lefty base hits.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the slate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Taylor Ward is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #8 park in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humidity of the day (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. Taylor Ward hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Josh Jung has quietly started to heat up at the plate. Over his last 30 plate appearances against right handed pitching, he owns a 75% hard hit rate and 10% barrel rate, suggesting better results are on the way despite a modest .259 average. Jung also grades out as an elite hitter on Batters-Box and matches up well against Shane Bieber's arsenal, with strong projected gains in ISO, wOBA, hard contact, and fly ball rate. Bieber struggled against right handed hitters last season and looked shaky in his 2026 debut. At +119, Jung offers excellent value to break through with a big hit.

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. In MLB, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is forecasted to have the 12th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Yordan Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 10th-best batter in Major League Baseball when assessing his batting average talent.. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 2nd-best park in the majors for righty base hits.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate at 85%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The #3 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Corbin Carroll will have the handedness advantage against Drew Rasmussen in today's game.. Corbin Carroll pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.6% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the game's 3rd-best home run hitter.. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°.. Batting from the opposite that Cionel Perez throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an advantage today.

Despite the Royals' disappointing 2026 season, Bobby Witt Jr. continues to be their offensive catalyst. He draws a favorable matchup against left hander Anthony Kay, whose below average pitch mix aligns well with Witt's strengths. Batters-Box gives Witt an elite rating, and he has gone over this prop in 56% of his road games while recording a hit in 76%. Against left handed pitching, he is batting .364 with a .618 slugging percentage, a 1.035 OPS, and elite hard contact metrics over his last 60 plate appearances. With Kay struggling against right handed bats, Witt is in a great spot this afternoon.

When estimating his home run talent, Kody Clemens ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kody Clemens is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 10th-best stadium in baseball for lefty BABIP.. This game is predicted to have the most humidity on the slate (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Kody Clemens will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Feltner today.

Brandon Woodruff owns a solid 3.00 ERA while ranking in the 90th percentile in xERA and 82nd in xBA.

The Milwaukee Brewers are much more likely to have success at the plate. The Chicago Cubs will be going with a bullpen game, which is a scary proposition when they sit 29th in FIP in June.

Bet to -105.

When assessing his home run skill, Jordan Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height in the majors.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the hottest temperature of all games today at 90°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.

Nick Kurtz projects as the 8th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nick Kurtz is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Angel Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.. Nick Kurtz has big-time HR ability (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (30.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Samuel Aldegheri struggles to strike batters out (9th percentile K%) — great news for Kurtz.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the 3rd-worst ballpark in the league for boosting offensive stats to righties.. Among all major league stadiums, the tallest fence height (on average) are at Oracle Park.. Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. The Atlanta Braves outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best among all the teams playing today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best hitter in the majors.. Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. Shohei Ohtani will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael King today.. Shohei Ohtani has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 17.5% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Ben Rice is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The #4 stadium in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Ben Rice will hold the platoon advantage over Sonny Gray in today's game.. Ben Rice pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.