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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 29, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.61 |
+115 
|
o7.5 -125 
|
+1.5 -190 
|
|
4.39 |
-110 
|
u8.5 -115 
|
-1.5 +170
|
Boston
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Bennetts last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 4-0 in Bennetts last 4 starts on grass.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in Bennetts last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Bennetts last 4 starts overall.
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 6-0 in Warrens last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 5-0 in Warrens last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 5-0 in Warrens last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 during game 2 of a series.
Top Projection
Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
o1.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.02 |
-170
|
o7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +105
|
|
3.64 |
+160 
|
u7.5 -104
|
+1.5 -114
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Snells last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in Snells last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 7-2 in their last 9 interleague games as a favorite.
Detroit
- Under is 9-0 in Tigers last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Monteros last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Tigers are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.25 |
+108
|
o9.0 -120
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.75 |
-115
|
u9.5 -115
|
-1.5 +165
|
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.
- White Sox are 6-0 in Feddes last 6 starts on grass.
- White Sox are 5-0 in Feddes last 5 starts as an underdog.
- White Sox are 7-0 in Feddes last 7 starts.
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0-1 in Twins last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Obers last 5 home starts.
- Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.37 |
+110 
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.22 |
-120
|
u8.5 -113
|
-1.5 +168
|
Pittsburgh
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 overall.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
St. Louis
- Over is 8-0 in Cardinals last 8 overall.
- Over is 8-0 in Cardinals last 8 games as an underdog.
- Over is 8-0 in Cardinals last 8 on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.56 |
+170
|
o8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -125
|
|
5.14 |
-180
|
u9.0 -121
|
-1.5 +118
|
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 on grass.
- Over is 4-1 in Reds last 5 games as a road underdog.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 7-1-1 in Cubs last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.26 |
+112
|
o7.5 -104 
|
+1.5 -195
|
|
4.09 |
-122
|
u7.5 -104
|
-1.5 +176
|
Seattle
- Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Blue Jays last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.33 |
-102
|
o7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +170
|
|
4.43 |
-105
|
u7.5 +100
|
+1.5 -180
|
Miami
- Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 vs. National League East.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Marlins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Washington
- Under is 6-0-1 in Nationals last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 vs. National League East.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Nationals last 8 home games.
- Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Cade Cavalli u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-128)
u6.5-128
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.54 |
+200
|
o9.0 -110
|
+1.5 -112
|
|
5.46 |
-205
|
u9.5 -130
|
-1.5 +105
|
Colorado
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 9-1 in Braves last 10 home games.
- Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Braves last 7 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.96 |
+145
|
o7.5 -113
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
4.18 |
-145
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +155
|
Kansas City
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 overall.
- Royals are 8-0 in their last 8 games on grass.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 on grass.
- Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
- Guardians are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Guardians are 7-0 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Guardians are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total Home Runs (+950)
o0.5+950
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.54 |
+118
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
4.40 |
-125
|
u7.5 +100
|
-1.5 +170
|
San Diego
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 road games.
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-2 in Padres last 9 interleague games as a favorite.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Rays last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rays last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.15 |
+122
|
o7.5 -125
|
+1.5 -175
|
|
4.68 |
-125
|
u8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +158
|
Houston
- Over is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 road games.
- Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Astros are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.
NY Mets
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
PIT
@
STL
Sat, Aug 29 • 2:15 PM ET
Moneyline
STL (-107)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
MIA
@
WAS
Sat, Aug 29 • 4:05 PM ET
Moneyline
MIA (-107)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Strikeouts Thrown
Cade Cavalli u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-128)
Projection 5.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the 6th-worst ballpark in the majors for strikeouts.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°.. Cade Cavalli has been lucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, posting a 10.23 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.69 — a 0.54 K/9 gap.
KC
@
CLE
Sat, Aug 29 • 4:10 PM ET
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
DET
@
CLE
Fri, Sep 4 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
David Fry u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
David Fry is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest fences in the league.. Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, David Fry will not have the upper hand today.
Total Bases
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Progressive Field projects as the #3 stadium in the game for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field has the 6th-shallowest right field fences in the majors.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 86%.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
