MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 30, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Sat, May 30 • 2:10 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Detroit Tigers logo Chicago White Sox logo o7.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

The Over has cashed in three of the last four starts of Tigers' starter Framber Valdez, and the White Sox have been one of the hottest-hitting teams at home.

Moneyline
Chicago White Sox logo CHW (+108)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

The White Sox have won four of the last six head-to-head meetings with the Tigers, and have absolutely owned left-handed pitchers like Framber Valdez.

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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Sat, May 30 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Jake Burger logo
Jake Burger o0.5 Total RBIs (+186)
Projection 0.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Jake Burger is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest fences in Major League Baseball.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jake Burger will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Jake Burger has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 10.5% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the past week.
Total Bases
Michael Massey logo
Michael Massey o1.5 Total Bases (+221)
Projection 1.29
Best Odds
Pick made: 42 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest fences in Major League Baseball.. Batting from the opposite that Kumar Rocker throws from, Michael Massey will have an edge today.. Extreme flyball batters like Michael Massey are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Kumar Rocker.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sat, May 30 • 4:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
3 LEG PARLAY
Toronto Blue Jays logo
TOR
Moneyline
Trey Yesavage profile picture
Trey Yesavage u2.5 Earned Runs Allowed
Earned Runs Allowed
Ernie Clement profile picture
Ernie Clement o0.5 Runs
Runs
Bet now
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Trey Yesavage has been a bright spot for the Blue Jays, posting a 2.25 ERA and holding opponents to a .207 average across six starts. Toronto has won six straight against Baltimore, while the Orioles have dropped two consecutive home games. Ernie Clement's strong history against Brandon Young and OBP adds value to his runs prop.

Strikeouts Thrown
Trey Yesavage logo Trey Yesavage o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Trey Yesavage is averaging 9.84 K/9 while sitting in the 88th percentile in Whiff% as well as the 81st percentile in K%.

The Orioles have barely seen any splitters this season, and that's Yesavage's bread and butter for getting swings and misses.

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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sat, May 30 • 4:05 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
3 LEG PARLAY
San Diego Padres logo
SD
Moneyline
Fernando Tatis Jr. profile picture
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Michael King profile picture
Michael King u2.5 Earned Runs Allowed
Earned Runs Allowed
Bet now
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

The Padres enter on a four-game road winning streak and have won five of their last six meetings with Washington. Michael King continues to pitch well away from home, while Fernando Tatis Jr. is heating up with four multi-hit games in the past week. Foster Griffin has struggled recently, allowing 14 earned runs across three starts.

Total RBIs
CJ Abrams logo
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+189)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, CJ Abrams ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage over Michael King in today's matchup.. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. CJ Abrams will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sat, May 30 • 4:05 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
Minnesota Twins logo Pittsburgh Pirates logo YRFI/NRFI (No: -109)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Mitch Keller and Bailey Ober have been among the most reliable first-inning pitchers in baseball this season. Keller owns a 9-2 NRFI record and hasn't allowed a first-inning run in three straight starts, while Ober is 10-1 and has gone nine consecutive outings without trouble. Both offenses also struggle early.

Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 2.05
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the league's 13th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an edge today.. Bats such as Oneil Cruz with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bailey Ober who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Oneil Cruz will hold that advantage today.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Houston Astros logo HOU Sat, May 30 • 4:10 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
Milwaukee Brewers logo Houston Astros logo YRFI/NRFI (No: -103)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Neither lineup has done much damage in the first inning lately, making this NRFI appealing. Brandon Sproat hasn't allowed a first-inning run in five straight starts, while Peter Lambert owns a 6-1 NRFI record and a sub-4.00 ERA. Milwaukee is hitting just .205 in opening frames this season.

Total
Milwaukee Brewers logo Houston Astros logo o8.5 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Jason Ence image
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst

Peter Lambert has been far less effective at home, with a 4.32 ERA driven by rough outings in his last two home starts. Milwaukee righties have the third-lowest pull rate vs. RHP during May. That will negate the effectiveness of his sinker/slider combo, which Lambert utilizes 44% of the time in same-sided matchups.

 

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Sat, May 30 • 4:10 PM ET
9 Computer Picks
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+126)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Wilyer Abreu's launch angle lately (24° in the past two weeks) is significantly higher than his 16.5° seasonal figure.. Compared to last season, Wilyer Abreu has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16.7% to 20.7% this season.
Total Bases
Willson Contreras logo
Willson Contreras u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Progressive Field has the 4th-highest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the 2nd-best pitching conditions of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 18.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for mound aces.. Willson Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.. Willson Contreras's average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 89.9-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 85.6-mph in the past week's worth of games.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sat, May 30 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.93
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 6th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The #4 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-best for hitting of the day.
Total Bases
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 2.04
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Junior Caminero projects as the 17th-best home run batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The #4 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Junior Caminero will hold the platoon advantage over Reid Detmers today.. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (38.1% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ New York Mets logo NYM Sat, May 30 • 4:10 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Miami Marlins logo New York Mets logo u7.0 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Miami Marlins are tied for 27th in home runs and have posted an ISO of .117 against right-handed pitching this month, ranking them 29th in the majors.

The New York Mets sit tied for 21st in homers, 30th in SLG, and 30th in OPS.

With power lacking, it'll be difficult to score rnus.

Moneyline
New York Mets logo NYM (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The New York Mets have the pitching advantage with Christian Scott taking the bump. He owns a 2.8 FIP and 3.0 ERA over the past month despite a .328 batting average on balls put in play, which should drop moving forward.

Tyler Phillips’ xERA is more than two runs higher than his ERA, suggesting regression could be coming.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Sat, May 30 • 7:15 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Cincinnati Reds logo o9.5 (+100)
Best Odds
Pick made: 30 minutes ago
Jason Ence image
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst

Cincinnati's injury-riddled pen has posted a 53.5% FB rate over the past two weeks, with 19.1% of those balls clearing the fences. Both those marks are the worst in the majors in that span.


The weather conditions at GABP rank fifth-best in the league on Saturday, and Martin Perez’s 1.46 HR/9 and 14.8% HR/FB road metrics will help push the scoring into double-figures. 

 

Spread
Atlanta Braves logo ATL -1.5 (+116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 30 minutes ago
Jason Ence image
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst

Brady Singer has lost a full MPH off his sinker an inch of vertical break compared to 2025. That’s why hitters are rocking a .404 wOBA and .501 xSLG vs. his primary pitch. 


Add in a fastball RV/100 of -16.8 RV/100 and a cutter with an xSLG of .871, and it’s easy to see why his 4.8 HR/9 is the highest of any qualified starter in May.

 

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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Sat, May 30 • 7:15 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Ian Happ logo Ian Happ o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-111)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Ian Happ is crushing righties this season with a .923 OPS and 24 of his 31 RBI coming against them.

He also happens to love the four-seamer, which is Kyle Leahy's most common pitch.

Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height in the majors.. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Leahy in today's game.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Sat, May 30 • 9:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.12
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 97th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best park in the game for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of the day.
Total Bases
Tyler Freeman logo
Tyler Freeman o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Tyler Freeman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best park in the game for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of the day.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Sat, May 30 • 10:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
New York Yankees logo Athletics Athletics logo u9.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

While I expect the Yankees to score enough to cover the run-line, Ginn will still be decent. He does a great job limiting hard contact with a hard-hit rate that ranks in the top 14% of baseball, which is essential against the Yankees. On the other side, we've already spoken about how Weathers whiff-inducing stuff should carry him. I'd play this to -122.

Spread
New York Yankees logo NYY -1.5 (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

Ryan Weathers has, somewhat to my surprise, been impressive for the Yankees, carrying a top-15 percentile strikeout rate (28.3%) that plays against an Athletics group whiffing at an above-average clip. On the other side, J.T. Ginn's 10.6% walk rate forces him into hitter's counts, where he's allowing a .308 xwOBA, exactly the spot a hot Bronx offense feasts. Play to -110.

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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Sat, May 30 • 10:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
Philadelphia Phillies logo Los Angeles Dodgers logo YRFI/NRFI (No: -110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

These teams have consistently produced NRFIs all season, each posting 38-19 records in the market. Jesus Luzardo has allowed only one first-inning run all year and owns excellent career numbers against Los Angeles. Roki Sasaki is 8-1 in NRFIs, while Philadelphia's offense has started slowly recently.

Total Bases
Will Smith logo
Will Smith o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.49
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Will Smith ranks as the 15th-best batter in the majors.. Dodger Stadium profiles as the #2 stadium in the league for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dodger Stadium has the lowest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Andrew Painter will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Will Smith in today's game.. Will Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences today.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Sat, May 30 • 10:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
3 LEG PARLAY
Julio Rodriguez profile picture
Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Seattle Mariners logo
SEA -1.5
Spread
Bryan Woo profile picture
Bryan Woo o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
Bet now
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Bryan Woo has been generating plenty of strikeouts lately, recording 34 punchouts in 31 home innings and surpassing his strikeout mark in three of his last four starts. Arizona has been more prone to strikeouts on the road, while Julio Rodríguez enters hot with a five-game hitting streak. Meanwhile, Ryne Nelson's 4.65 ERA gives Seattle an edge.

Total Home Runs
Cole Young logo
Cole Young o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1250)
Projection 0.09
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #10 ballpark in the game for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.. In Major League Baseball, T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. Cole Young will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson in today's matchup.. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cole Young stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.. Cole Young pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ New York Yankees logo NYY Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 9 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Junior Caminero logo Junior Caminero o0.5 Total Home Runs (+401)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 days ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Junior Caminero continues to crush the baseball, hitting .409 over the last week with 13 home runs on the season. Ryan Weathers has allowed all eight of his homers this year to right-handed batters, which sets up well for the powerful Tampa Bay slugger.

Moneyline
Tampa Bay Rays logo TB (+115)
Pick made: 7 days ago
Aisha Quiñones image
Aisha Quiñones
Senior Publishing Editor

Drew Rasmussen vs. the New York Yankees is a mismatch on paper — the righty is 4-1 with a 1.03 ERA and 51 punchouts in eight career games against New York. Coming off a thrilling comeback win on Friday, the division-leading Tampa Bay Rays are primed to keep the foot on the gas behind their dynamic arm to create more separation in the AL East.

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