All Picks
NFL
NCAAF
MLB
NBA
NCAAB
NHL
CFL
WNBA
Golf
World Cup
What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 30, 2026.
New
Computer Picks powered by
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.10 |
+220 
|
o8.0 -118 
|
+1.5 +100 
|
|
5.09 |
-230 
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 -109
|
Colorado
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 5-2 in Rockies last 7 vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-2-1 in Rockies last 8 during game 3 of a series.
Atlanta
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. National League West.
- Over is 9-1 in Braves last 10 home games.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
Top Projection
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+240)
o1.5+240
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.73 |
-137
|
o7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +125
|
|
3.94 |
+135 
|
u8.5 -125
|
+1.5 -135
|
Boston
- Red Sox are 7-0 in Suarezs last 7 starts on grass.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 4 of a series.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Suarezs last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Red Sox last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
NY Yankees
- Under is 5-0 in Warrens last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 4-0 in Warrens last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Warrens last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Top Projection
Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+220)
o1.5+220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.13 |
-129 
|
o7.5 -115
|
-1.5 +135
|
|
3.97 |
+125
|
u8.0 -112
|
+1.5 -140
|
Seattle
- Mariners are 4-0 in Gilberts last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Mariners are 10-1 in Gilberts last 11 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Toronto
- Under is 7-1 in Blue Jays last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Blue Jays last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Blue Jays are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
o1.5+230
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.30 |
-149
|
o7.5 +105
|
-1.5 +115
|
|
3.97 |
+145
|
u7.5 -114
|
+1.5 -125
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Dodgers last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Glasnows last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Detroit
- Under is 9-0 in Tigers last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 8-0 in Tigers last 8 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 vs. National League West.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Top Projection
Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
o0.5+280
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.00 |
+150
|
o7.0 -110
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
4.29 |
-157
|
u7.5 -130
|
-1.5 +140
|
San Diego
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
- Under is 7-2 in Padres last 9 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 vs. American League East.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 6-0-1 in Rays last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rays last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rays are 5-0 in Rasmussens last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 7-0-1 in Rasmussens last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+235)
o0.5+235
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.69 |
+168
|
o7.0 -134
|
+1.5 -127
|
|
4.60 |
-175
|
u7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +126
|
Kansas City
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 overall.
- Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 2-0-3 in Lugos last 5 starts as an underdog.
Cleveland
- Under is 5-0 in Messicks last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Guardians are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts as an underdog.
Top Projection
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
o1.5+155
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.53 |
+147
|
o8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
4.86 |
-154
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +135
|
Texas
- Under is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Rockers last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockers last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockers last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Milwaukee
- Under is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 home games.
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Dustin May o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+300)
o4.5-130
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.12 |
+106
|
o8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -210
|
|
4.68 |
-114
|
u9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +165
|
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. American League Central.
- White Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Minnesota
- Under is 6-1 in Twins last 7 home games.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Twins last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 8-0 in Matthews' last 8 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Twins are 5-0 in Matthews' last 5 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
o0.5+175
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.74 |
-119
|
o7.5 -115
|
-1.5 +145
|
|
3.99 |
+111
|
u8.0 -120
|
+1.5 -155
|
Pittsburgh
- Under is 6-0-1 in Pirates last 7 overall.
- Pirates are 8-0 in Ashcrafts last 8 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 7-1 in Pirates last 8 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 vs. National League Central.
St. Louis
- Under is 8-1-1 in Cardinals last 10 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-0 in Liberatores last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Liberatores last 5 starts as a favorite.
Top Projection
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5+190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.99 |
+110
|
o8.5 -125
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
5.16 |
-118
|
u9.5 -135
|
-1.5 +165
|
Houston
- Over is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 road games.
- Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 vs. National League East.
NY Mets
- Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
o0.5+160
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.13 |
-142
|
o10.0 -115
|
-1.5 +105
|
|
5.22 |
+135
|
u10.5 -110
|
+1.5 -115
|
Baltimore
- Orioles are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 8-0 in Bassitts last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 7-0 in Bassitts last 7 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Athletics
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0-1 in last 5 games following a loss.
- Over is 6-0 in Springs' last 6 home starts.
Top Projection
Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+179)
o0.5+179
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.68 |
-165
|
o7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +100
|
|
3.47 |
+157
|
u7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -110
|
Philadelphia
- Over is 4-0-2 in Wheelers last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Wheelers last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Phillies last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Phillies last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
LA Angels
- Over is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Kikuchis last 4 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Kikuchis last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+251)
o0.5+260
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.04 |
+143
|
o9.0 -118
|
+1.5 -149
|
|
5.15 |
-148
|
u11.5 -315
|
-1.5 +140
|
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 road games.
- Under is 7-0 in Burns' last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Reds are 5-0 in Burns' last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 5-0 in Imanagas last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Cubs are 5-0 in Imanagas last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Imanagas last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
o1.5+165
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.44 |
+110
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.03 |
-143
|
u8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -235
|
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0-2 in Giants last 7 games as an underdog.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Roupps last 5 road starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 vs. National League East.
Atlanta
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. National League West.
- Over is 5-0 in Braves last 5 home games.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.28 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.08 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 vs. National League East.
- Rays are 8-0 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Rays last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.44 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.65 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
San Diego
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 vs. National League Central.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Singers last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 vs. National League West.
- Under is 6-1 in Singers last 7 starts vs. National League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.69 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.55 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Miami
- Marlins are 4-0 in Gustos last 4 starts on grass.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Marlins are 4-0 in Gustos last 4 starts.
Washington
- Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 home games.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 during game 4 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 games a home underdog.
- Nationals are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.94 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.88 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Seattle
- Over is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 road games.
- Over is 7-2 in Mariners last 9 on grass.
- Over is 7-2 in Mariners last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-2 in Mariners last 8 vs. American League East.
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 home games.
- Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.92 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.12 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.57 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.63 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Under is 8-0 in Tigers last 8 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 road games.
Minnesota
- Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 7-2 in Twins last 9 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 6-2-1 in Twins last 9 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.06 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.01 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Athletics
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1-1 in last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Texas
- Under is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 home games.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 vs. American League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.41 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.17 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 games as a favorite.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
Houston
- Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Astros last 8 vs. American League Central.
- Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 13-4 in Astros last 17 during game 1 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
6.50 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.37 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Baltimore
- Orioles are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Colorado
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.71 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.89 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
NY Yankees
- Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 on grass.
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 road games.
LA Angels
- Over is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Angels last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a home favorite.
COL
@
ATL
Sun, Aug 30 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Hunter Goodman enters Sunday in an excellent spot to go yard against Tyle Mahle. Goodman has an elite Batters-Box rating, and across 30 elite ratings this season, he has homered over 23% of the time. Mahle has struggled against right-handed hitters, allowing over a 52% hard-hit and elevation rate while owning a .391 xBA and .604 xSLG. Goodman has also been swinging a hot bat, posting a .583 SLG, .652 xSLG and .305 ISO over his last 10 games, along with a 45% hard-hit rate and 16% barrel rate. He also owns a near 20% barrel rate over his last 30 at-bats against right-handed pitchers.
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.85
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Hunter Goodman as MLB's 13th-best home run hitter.. Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. The #4 field in MLB for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
BOS
@
NYY
Sun, Aug 30 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Willson Contreras o0.5 Total Home Runs (+388)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Willson Contreras has done damage vs. right-handed pitching this season with 19 dingers and a .513 SLG – placing him in the top 25 in both categories across the majors.
Nine of Contreras’ 23 home runs have come against the sinker, which Will Warren throws about 27% of the time.
Total
u8.5 (-126)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
SEA
@
TOR
Sun, Aug 30 • 1:37 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+575)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
Today could very well be the day Vladdy hits his first home run at home. He's hit three off Gilbert in his career already, and owns a .721 OPS during day games. Let's give our guy one more chance to climb out of this hole.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
George Springer o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-115)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
George Springer owns a .839 OPS in August for the Toronto Blue Jays, and has played a huge role in their run to the Wild Card. He's registered eight hits (two homers, two extra-base hits) over his last four games and is on another level right now.
LAD
@
DET
Sun, Aug 30 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+640)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Relative to his season outputs against Framber Valdez’ pitch mix, Teoscar Hernandez' exit velocity is up 3.3 MPH while his hard hit rate has spiked 7.9% over the last 25 at bats.
He's taken high-end southpaws like Chris Sale and Payton Tolle at least 350 feet this month. He’s been knocking on the door, and this is a nice price.
Total
u7.5 (-116)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Tyler Glasnow has suppressed runs effectively against struggling offenses, and the Los Angeles Dodgers have a bullpen that sits seventh in xERA this month backing him up. There is no easy path to scoring for the Detroit Tigers.
Framber Valdez forced a ground ball rate of 60.2% over the past month, making it difficult to hit for power – as evident by his 0.57 HR/9.
I’d play this to 56%.
SD
@
TB
Sun, Aug 30 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Ryan Vilade o0.5 Total Home Runs (+550)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Ryan Vilade finds himself in a boom spot this afternoon against Padres southpaw Robbie Ray. Vilade has been seeing the ball extremely well, with eight of his last 10 batted balls above 90.3 MPH and five above 100.7 MPH. Over his last 10 games, he owns a .667 SLG, .703 xSLG and .292 ISO, along with a 64.7% hard-hit rate and 17.6% barrel rate. Ray has struggled against right-handed hitters, allowing a nearly 17% barrel rate, 62.5% elevation rate and 2.46 HR/9 over his last 30 faced. Vilade's recent quality of contact makes this an intriguing spot.
Total Bases
Yandy Diaz o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 9th-best hitter in MLB when assessing his batting average talent.. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for righty home runs.. Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Yandy Diaz will have an edge in today's game.. Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
KC
@
CLE
Sun, Aug 30 • 1:40 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Parker Messick u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+126)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Parker Messick has been outstanding during his rookie season, establishing himself as a strikeout machine. However, this afternoon presents a difficult matchup for him to clear 5.5 strikeouts against a Kansas City Royals lineup that makes plenty of contact and rarely strikes out. The Royals have also been on a heater offensively, posting a 17.4% strikeout rate, 145 wRC+ and .863 OPS over their last 12 games. They continue to limit strikeouts against left-handed pitching as well. With the matchup working against Messick, I prefer taking the under 5.5 strikeouts.
Total Hits
Nathaniel Lowe u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Out of all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals.. Nathaniel Lowe's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 91.8-mph figure last season has dropped off to 89.1-mph.. Nathaniel Lowe's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 89.1-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 83-mph over the last two weeks.. Despite posting a .341 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nathaniel Lowe has been lucky given the .029 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .312.
TEX
@
MIL
Sun, Aug 30 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.88
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 13th-best batter in MLB.. Corey Seager is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 8th-best field in MLB for lefty BABIP.. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks.. American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.
Total Bases
Evan Carter o1.5 Total Bases (+280)
Projection 1.3
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 8th-best field in MLB for lefty BABIP.. American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. This matchup is forecasted to have the 10th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Evan Carter will hold the platoon advantage against Dustin May in today's matchup... and moreover, May has a large platoon split.
CHW
@
MIN
Sun, Aug 30 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kody Clemens o0.5 Total Home Runs (+510)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Kody Clemens has been the top source of power for the Minnesota Twins in August. He’s paced the team with a 10.9% barrel rate, a 48.4% hard hit rate, and an impressive .517 xSLG.
I like this spot against a bullpen that is overworked and has allowed the fifth most barrels this season.
Total
o8.5 (-112)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Relief pitching tends to be volatile, and it’s hard to imagine arm after arm coming in and pitching cleanly for the Chicago White Sox against a Minnesota Twins offense that – forget handedness – sits fifth in xwOBA this month.
Zebby Matthews owns a 5.04 ERA and has allowed nearly two home runs per nine innings. It’s difficult for him to get out of games unscathed.
Play to 56%.
PIT
@
STL
Sun, Aug 30 • 2:15 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Matthew Liberatore u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+100)
Projection 5.14
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Matthew Liberatore is projected to throw 85 pitches in today's outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 11th-least of all pitchers on the slate.. Willie Traynor profiles as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone in today's game.. The #1 field in the league for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 90°.. With 8 hitters who bat from the other side in the opposing team's projected lineup, Matthew Liberatore faces a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's game.
Total Bases
Esmerlyn Valdez o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Esmerlyn Valdez in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Esmerlyn Valdez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. In the league, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 90°.. Esmerlyn Valdez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore in today's matchup.
HOU
@
NYM
Sun, Aug 30 • 3:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Luis Robert Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+490)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Despite being put on waivers, Luis Robert has been crushing the baseball. In his last 30 plate appearances against right-handed pitching, he owns a .304 BA, .739 SLG, 1.172 OPS, and 22% barrel rate.
Pecko has only faced 19 left-handed hitters so far this season, but those hitters have a .579 SLG and 1.019 OPS.
If Robert wants to show his worth to the rest of the league, he needs to continue to mash.
Total
u8.5 (+114)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
The Mets should be able to put up some runs against Peko, but with how well Thornton has been pitching, runs look to be at a premium this afternoon.
Both lineups over their last 12 games own a wRC+ under 81, a wOBA under .266 and an OPS below .680. Neither is making a lot of hard contact or barreling the ball up.
Asking these two cold offenses to produce nine-plus runs feels like a lot. Under.
BAL
@
ATH
Sun, Aug 30 • 4:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Coby Mayo o0.5 Total Home Runs (+344)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Coby Mayo has been crushing the ball over his last 10 games, posting a .583 SLG, .652 xSLG and .305 ISO, while generating nearly 60% hard-hit and over 20% barrel rate. This afternoon marks his 20th elite rating of the season on Batters-Box, where he has homered in 31.58% of his previous 19 elite-rated games. Mayo has also been on fire against left-handed pitching, posting a .786 SLG and .429 ISO over his last 60 plate appearances. Jeffrey Springs has struggled against right-handed hitters, allowing a .617 xSLG. With Mayo consistently generating elite contact, a home run is firmly in play.
Total Bases
Christian Encarnacion-Strand o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.26
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Encarnacion-Strand is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the best venue in the majors for righty home runs.. On average, the fence height at Sutter Health Park is the 3rd-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
PHI
@
LAA
Sun, Aug 30 • 4:07 PM ET
Total Bases
J.T. Realmuto u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.93
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.. J.T. Realmuto will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.. In the last 14 days, J.T. Realmuto has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.. Sporting a .289 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, J.T. Realmuto has performed in the 16th percentile.
Total RBIs
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+187)
Projection 0.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 7th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. In MLB, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.
CIN
@
CHC
Sun, Aug 30 • 7:20 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total Home Runs (+285)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
After crushing three home runs in one game, Pete Crow-Armstrong would typically be a player to fade. However, he carries an elite rating on Batters-Box against Reds starter Chase Burns, making him an intriguing option once again. Burns has struggled against left-handed hitters recently, allowing a 57% hard-hit rate, 19% barrel rate and 66.7% elevation rate over his last 30 faced. Those hitters also own a .298 xBA, .656 xSLG and .423 wOBA. Crow-Armstrong has been crushing the ball, posting a .762 SLG, .476 ISO and 14% barrel rate. If the home run scares you, take the bases.
Total Home Runs
Sal Stewart o0.5 Total Home Runs (+351)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
What a better stage for Sal Stewart to cement his Rookie of the Year candidacy than on Sunday Night Baseball? The Red sees his matchup fit directly into Imanaga’s primary weakness.
Imanaga throws his four-seamer 41.4% of the time and has allowed a .452 xSLG with a 43.5% hard-hit rate on the pitch. Stewart projects for a .348 xwOBA against four-seamers in this matchup and has already homered in both games of this series. With Imanaga’s fly-ball profile and favorable conditions at Wrigley, Stewart is my preferred Cincinnati home run target.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
DET
@
CLE
Fri, Sep 4 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
David Fry u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
David Fry is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest fences in the league.. Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, David Fry will not have the upper hand today.
Total Bases
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Progressive Field projects as the #3 stadium in the game for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field has the 6th-shallowest right field fences in the majors.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 86%.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
Latest headlines Checkout latest headlinesRead more
-
Visit all available MLB odds View now MLB odds
-
MLB Scores + Matchups View now MLB Scores + Matchups
Latest headlines Checkout latest headlinesRead more
How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
