LIVE Top 7th Sep 6
WAS 2 +216 o8.5
CHC 1 -241 u8.5
PHI -151 o8.0
MIA +139 u8.0
CHW +249 o7.0
DET -279 u7.0
NYM -134 o9.0
CIN +123 u9.0
MIL -139 o7.5
PIT +128 u7.5
LAD -142 o7.5
BAL +131 u7.5
CLE +122 o8.0
TB -133 u8.0
SEA +110 o9.0
ATL -119 u9.0
SF -118 o8.5
STL +109 u8.5
HOU +107 o7.0
TEX -116 u7.0
MIN -112 o8.0
KC +104 u8.0
SD -178 o11.5
COL +162 u11.5
BOS -114 o9.0
AZ +105 u9.0
ATH +102 o8.5
LAA -111 u8.5

Arizona @ Milwaukee picks

American Family Field

AZ vs MIL Picks

MLB Picks
MoneyLine
Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL (-142)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

Quinn Priester has been one of the Brewers' best pitchers this season, posting an 11-2 record with a 3.44 ERA. The Diamondbacks' offense is sputtering along of late, and they've lost three straight games. I expect the bats to stay silent as they drop a fourth. 

MoneyLine
Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
Ryan Gilbert image
Ryan Gilbert
Betting Analyst

The Brewers are 45-22 at home, 35-14 as home favorites, and 20-5 when the line was between -130 and -160. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks are 30-36 on the road, 16-22 as road underdogs, and 17-28 against teams with winning percentages over .540. I can’t pass up the Brewers at this price tonight.

Outs Recorded
Ryne Nelson logo Ryne Nelson u17.5 Outs Recorded (+114)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Pitching against the Brewers in the current Arizona vs. Milwaukee series has been tough sledding for the visitors, and I’m expecting more of that today. 
The Brewers chased Brandon Pfaadt after eight outs yesterday in a 9-8 win, while Eduardo Rodriguez was even shorter, going five outs in a 7-5 Milwaukee win. Nelson is projected for 89 pitches and 16.14 outs vs. the best offense in baseball over the last 30 days by a significant amount. Command away from his home mound is also an issue, with 21 walks across 55 road innings. That will hopefully run up his pitch count today and get him out before completing six. I would play this to even money.  

Total RBIs
Pavin Smith logo
Pavin Smith o0.5 Total RBIs (+235)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 days ago
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run ability, Pavin Smith ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pavin Smith is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. In MLB, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Ashby throws from, Pavin Smith will have an edge today.
Total RBIs
Ketel Marte logo
Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 days ago
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 10th-best batter in the game.. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. In the last week's worth of games, Ketel Marte's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.9%.
Total Bases
Isaac Collins logo
Isaac Collins u1.5 Total Bases (-185)
Projection 0.7 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 days ago
EV Model Rating
Isaac Collins is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 9th-worst field in baseball for run-scoring.. This matchup is projected to have the 3rd-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The switch-hitting Isaac Collins will bat from his weak side (0) today against Ryne Nelson. In today's matchup, Isaac Collins is at a disadvantage facing the league's 7th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.7% rate (87th percentile).
Outs Recorded
Quinn Priester logo
Quinn Priester u16.5 Outs Recorded (-118)
Projection 14.9 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Quinn Priester to throw 79 pitches in today's game (10th-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. In MLB, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. With 6 batters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team's projected batting order, Quinn Priester will have a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's matchup.. Quinn Priester has been lucky in regards to his ERA this year; his 3.44 rate is a good deal lower than his 4.45 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).
Outs Recorded
Ryne Nelson logo
Ryne Nelson u17.5 Outs Recorded (-110)
Projection 16.1 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
EV Model Rating
In MLB, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Ryne Nelson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. Ryne Nelson has relied on his four-seamer 8.2% more often this season (64.2%) than he did last season (56%).. Ryne Nelson has notched a .244 BABIP this year, making him one of the luckiest mound aces in the league on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Jake Bauers logo
Jake Bauers o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 days ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run talent.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. Jake Bauers will have the handedness advantage over Ryne Nelson in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake Bauers will hold that advantage in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Pavin Smith logo
Pavin Smith o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+135)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 days ago
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run ability, Pavin Smith ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pavin Smith is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. In MLB, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Ashby throws from, Pavin Smith will have an edge today.
Total Bases
Ketel Marte logo
Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 days ago
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 10th-best batter in the game.. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. In the last week's worth of games, Ketel Marte's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.9%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Ketel Marte logo
Ketel Marte o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-145)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 days ago
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 10th-best batter in the game.. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. In the last week's worth of games, Ketel Marte's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.9%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Corbin Carroll logo
Corbin Carroll o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-125)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 days ago
EV Model Rating
Corbin Carroll projects as the 20th-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. Corbin Carroll will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Ashby today.
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AZ vs MIL Consensus Picks

View all Consensus Picks

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

69% picking Milwaukee

31%
69%

Total PicksAZ 245, MIL 534

Moneyline
AZ
MIL
Total

68% picking Arizona vs Milwaukee to go Over

68%
32%

Total PicksAZ 307, MIL 143

Total
Over
Under

AZ vs MIL Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Pavin Smith Total Hits Props • Arizona

Pavin Smith
P. Smith
first base 1B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Pavin Smith is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. In MLB, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Ashby throws from, Pavin Smith will have an edge today.

Pavin Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Pavin Smith is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. In MLB, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Ashby throws from, Pavin Smith will have an edge today.

Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona

Geraldo Perdomo
G. Perdomo
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. In MLB, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 13% to 20%. Based on Statcast data, Geraldo Perdomo grades out in the 90th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .358.

Geraldo Perdomo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. In MLB, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 13% to 20%. Based on Statcast data, Geraldo Perdomo grades out in the 90th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .358.

Adrian Del Castillo Total Hits Props • Arizona

Adrian Del Castillo
A. Del Castillo
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

In MLB, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Adrian Del Castillo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Ashby today. Adrian Del Castillo has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Milwaukee Brewers only has 1 same-handed RP. Extreme groundball batters like Adrian Del Castillo generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Aaron Ashby.

Adrian Del Castillo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

In MLB, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Adrian Del Castillo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Ashby today. Adrian Del Castillo has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Milwaukee Brewers only has 1 same-handed RP. Extreme groundball batters like Adrian Del Castillo generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Aaron Ashby.

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

Ketel Marte
K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 10th-best batter in the game. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. In the last week's worth of games, Ketel Marte's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.9%. Sporting a .385 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ketel Marte is ranked in the 96th percentile.

Ketel Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 10th-best batter in the game. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. In the last week's worth of games, Ketel Marte's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.9%. Sporting a .385 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ketel Marte is ranked in the 96th percentile.

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

Corbin Carroll
C. Carroll
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Corbin Carroll projects as the 20th-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Corbin Carroll will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Ashby today. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corbin Carroll can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Corbin Carroll projects as the 20th-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Corbin Carroll will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Ashby today. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corbin Carroll can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona

Alek Thomas
A. Thomas
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

In MLB, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Ashby throws from, Alek Thomas will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Alek Thomas has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Milwaukee Brewers only has 1 same-handed RP. In the past week's worth of games, Alek Thomas's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.7% up to 20%.

Alek Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

In MLB, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Ashby throws from, Alek Thomas will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Alek Thomas has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Milwaukee Brewers only has 1 same-handed RP. In the past week's worth of games, Alek Thomas's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.7% up to 20%.

Andruw Monasterio Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Andruw Monasterio
A. Monasterio
shortstop SS • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

In MLB, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Andruw Monasterio will hold that advantage today.

Andruw Monasterio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

In MLB, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Andruw Monasterio will hold that advantage today.

James McCann Total Hits Props • Arizona

James McCann
J. McCann
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. James McCann hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. James McCann's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 91.5-mph now compared to just 86.9-mph then. James McCann has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season's 25.15 ft/sec to 26.39 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). James McCann has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .235 BA is deflated compared to his .259 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

James McCann

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. James McCann hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. James McCann's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 91.5-mph now compared to just 86.9-mph then. James McCann has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season's 25.15 ft/sec to 26.39 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). James McCann has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .235 BA is deflated compared to his .259 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
L. Gurriel Jr.
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. In MLB, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. In the past week's worth of games, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.1% up to 17.6%.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. In MLB, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. In the past week's worth of games, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.1% up to 17.6%.

Brice Turang Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Brice Turang
B. Turang
second base 2B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Brice Turang is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Brice Turang will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson today. Brice Turang hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

Brice Turang

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Brice Turang is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Brice Turang will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson today. Brice Turang hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

Jake McCarthy Total Hits Props • Arizona

Jake McCarthy
J. McCarthy
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Jake McCarthy's batting average skill is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In MLB, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Jake McCarthy will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Ashby in today's game. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake McCarthy has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Jake McCarthy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jake McCarthy's batting average skill is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In MLB, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Jake McCarthy will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Ashby in today's game. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake McCarthy has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Christian Yelich Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Christian Yelich
C. Yelich
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 8th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP ability. Christian Yelich is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. In MLB, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Christian Yelich will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Christian Yelich

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 8th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP ability. Christian Yelich is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. In MLB, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Christian Yelich will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Sal Frelick Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Sal Frelick
S. Frelick
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Sal Frelick is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Sal Frelick will hold the platoon advantage over Ryne Nelson in today's game. Sal Frelick hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Sal Frelick

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Sal Frelick is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Sal Frelick will hold the platoon advantage over Ryne Nelson in today's game. Sal Frelick hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Gabriel Moreno Total Hits Props • Arizona

Gabriel Moreno
G. Moreno
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Over the past week, Gabriel Moreno's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.8% up to 20%. Gabriel Moreno has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 106.8-mph average in the last week to his seasonal mark of 93.3-mph. Gabriel Moreno's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, increasing from 45.6% on the season to 80% in the last week's worth of games.

Gabriel Moreno

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Over the past week, Gabriel Moreno's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.8% up to 20%. Gabriel Moreno has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 106.8-mph average in the last week to his seasonal mark of 93.3-mph. Gabriel Moreno's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, increasing from 45.6% on the season to 80% in the last week's worth of games.

Caleb Durbin Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Caleb Durbin
C. Durbin
third base 3B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Caleb Durbin has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (91% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Caleb Durbin hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Caleb Durbin will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Caleb Durbin has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 91.5-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 88.9-mph.

Caleb Durbin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Caleb Durbin has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (91% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Caleb Durbin hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Caleb Durbin will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Caleb Durbin has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 91.5-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 88.9-mph.

Blake Perkins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Blake Perkins
B. Perkins
center outfield CF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

In MLB, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Blake Perkins will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Blake Perkins has put up a .313 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 78th percentile.

Blake Perkins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

In MLB, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Blake Perkins will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Blake Perkins has put up a .313 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 78th percentile.

Brandon Lockridge Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Brandon Lockridge
B. Lockridge
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lockridge in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Brandon Lockridge will hold that advantage today.

Brandon Lockridge

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lockridge in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Brandon Lockridge will hold that advantage today.

Andrew Vaughn Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Andrew Vaughn
A. Vaughn
first base 1B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Andrew Vaughn hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Andrew Vaughn will hold that advantage in today's game.

Andrew Vaughn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Andrew Vaughn hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Andrew Vaughn will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jake Bauers Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Jake Bauers
J. Bauers
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Jake Bauers will have the handedness advantage over Ryne Nelson in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake Bauers will hold that advantage in today's game. Jake Bauers has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.4-mph average to last season's 89.4-mph average. Since the start of last season, Jake Bauers's 11.5% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 83rd percentile among his peers.

Jake Bauers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Jake Bauers will have the handedness advantage over Ryne Nelson in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake Bauers will hold that advantage in today's game. Jake Bauers has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.4-mph average to last season's 89.4-mph average. Since the start of last season, Jake Bauers's 11.5% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 83rd percentile among his peers.

Ildemaro Vargas Total Hits Props • Arizona

Ildemaro Vargas
I. Vargas
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Ildemaro Vargas has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 89.6-mph average to last year's 86.7-mph mark. Ildemaro Vargas's launch angle this season (9.8°) is considerably higher than his 3.3° figure last season.

Ildemaro Vargas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Ildemaro Vargas has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 89.6-mph average to last year's 86.7-mph mark. Ildemaro Vargas's launch angle this season (9.8°) is considerably higher than his 3.3° figure last season.

Blaze Alexander Total Hits Props • Arizona

Blaze Alexander
B. Alexander
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Alexander in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Blaze Alexander has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (92% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Blaze Alexander has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 3.4% rate last season to 13.2% this season. Blaze Alexander has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.3-mph average to last year's 88.5-mph EV.

Blaze Alexander

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Alexander in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Blaze Alexander has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (92% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Blaze Alexander has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 3.4% rate last season to 13.2% this season. Blaze Alexander has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.3-mph average to last year's 88.5-mph EV.

William Contreras Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

William Contreras
W. Contreras
catcher C • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). William Contreras is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. William Contreras will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

William Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). William Contreras is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. William Contreras will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Isaac Collins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Isaac Collins
I. Collins
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Isaac Collins will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Ranking in the 82nd percentile, Isaac Collins has put up a .352 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year. Isaac Collins has notched a .341 BABIP this year, placing in the 92nd percentile.

Isaac Collins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Isaac Collins will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Ranking in the 82nd percentile, Isaac Collins has put up a .352 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year. Isaac Collins has notched a .341 BABIP this year, placing in the 92nd percentile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

AZ vs MIL Preview

Last Meeting ( Aug 26, 2025 ) Arizona 8, Milwaukee 9

The visiting Arizona Diamondbacks will turn to right-hander Ryne Nelson against the Milwaukee Brewers on Wednesday night as Arizona tries to bounce back from tough losses in the first two games of the series.

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