STL +130 o9.0
TB -141 u9.0
LIVE Top 8th Aug 24
NYM 2 -130 o9.5
ATL 2 +120 u9.5
LIVE Top 8th Aug 24
WAS 0 +217 o10.0
PHI 3 -241 u10.0
LIVE Top 8th Aug 24
HOU 1 +117 o9.0
BAL 3 -126 u9.0
LIVE Bottom 7th Aug 24
TOR 3 -123 o7.5
MIA 4 +113 u7.5
LIVE Top 7th Aug 24
KC 10 +134 o8.0
DET 7 -146 u8.0
LIVE Top 5th Aug 24
MIN 0 -107 o9.0
CHW 7 -101 u9.0
LIVE Bottom 3rd Aug 24
SF 2 +120 o8.0
MIL 1 -130 u8.0
LIVE Bottom 4th Aug 24
CLE 0 +113 o7.5
TEX 0 -123 u7.5
CHC -130 o9.5
LAA +120 u9.5
ATH +158 o7.5
SEA -173 u7.5
LAD -107 o8.0
SD -101 u8.0
CIN +112 o9.0
AZ -121 u9.0
BOS +138 o8.5
NYY -150 u8.5
Final Aug 24
COL 0 +249 o7.5
PIT 4 -280 u7.5

San Francisco @ New York picks

Citi Field

SF vs NYM Picks

MLB Picks
Earned Runs Allowed
Frankie Montas Jr. logo Frankie Montas Jr. o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 days ago
JD Yonke image
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

Although the San Francisco Giants aren’t known for their offensive prowess, they hit right-handed pitching much better than they do left-handed pitching. Since the All-Star Break, they rank eighth in wRC+ (116) against RHP, which stands as a stark contrast to their mark against LHP (79 wRC+). Frankie Montas enters Sunday with a point to prove, having allowed four earned runs or more in three of his last five outings. I’ll need to see it before I believe it. His 5.46 ERA isn’t great, and his 5.02 xERA indicates that it’s not a fluke.

Total RBIs
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 days ago
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Rafael Devers ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°.. Hitting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, Rafael Devers will have the upper hand in today's game.. Rafael Devers has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 days ago
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his home run talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Willy Adames is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°.. Willy Adames pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today.
Total RBIs
Matt Chapman logo
Matt Chapman o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 days ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Chapman as MLB's 17th-best home run hitter.. Matt Chapman is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 83°.. Matt Chapman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today.
Total RBIs
Francisco Lindor logo
Francisco Lindor o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 days ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°.. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Carson Whisenhunt.. Francisco Lindor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+125)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 days ago
EV Model Rating
Pete Alonso projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 83°.. Hitting from the opposite that Carson Whisenhunt throws from, Pete Alonso will have an advantage today.
Total RBIs
Heliot Ramos logo
Heliot Ramos o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 days ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Heliot Ramos is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 83°.. Heliot Ramos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today.
Total RBIs
Francisco Alvarez logo
Francisco Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 days ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 88th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 83°.. Batting from the opposite that Carson Whisenhunt throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Francisco Alvarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Cedric Mullins logo
Cedric Mullins o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 days ago
EV Model Rating
Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°.. Cedric Mullins will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.. Compared to his seasonal average of 24.1°, Cedric Mullins has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 30.4° figure in the last two weeks.. Cedric Mullins's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (16.2°) is a significant increase over his 12.5° figure last year.
Total RBIs
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 days ago
EV Model Rating
Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°.. Juan Soto will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 days ago
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Rafael Devers ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°.. Hitting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, Rafael Devers will have the upper hand in today's game.. Rafael Devers has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
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SF vs NYM Consensus Picks

View all Consensus Picks

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

68% picking NY Mets

32%
68%

Total PicksSF 237, NYM 493

Moneyline
SF
NYM

SF vs NYM Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Heliot Ramos Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Heliot Ramos
H. Ramos
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Heliot Ramos is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Heliot Ramos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today.

Heliot Ramos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Heliot Ramos is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Heliot Ramos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Rafael Devers
R. Devers
designated hitter DH • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Rafael Devers ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, Rafael Devers will have the upper hand in today's game. Rafael Devers has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Rafael Devers ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, Rafael Devers will have the upper hand in today's game. Rafael Devers has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Jung Hoo Lee Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Jung Hoo Lee
J. Lee
center outfield CF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jung Hoo Lee's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Batting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, Jung Hoo Lee will have an edge in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today.

Jung Hoo Lee

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jung Hoo Lee's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Batting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, Jung Hoo Lee will have an edge in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Dominic Smith
D. Smith
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Dominic Smith is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Batting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, Dominic Smith will have the upper hand in today's game. Dominic Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Dominic Smith is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Batting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, Dominic Smith will have the upper hand in today's game. Dominic Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today.

Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Francisco Alvarez
F. Alvarez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Batting from the opposite that Carson Whisenhunt throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Francisco Alvarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Francisco Alvarez has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 9% seasonal rate to 25% over the past 7 days.

Francisco Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Batting from the opposite that Carson Whisenhunt throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Francisco Alvarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Francisco Alvarez has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 9% seasonal rate to 25% over the past 7 days.

Cedric Mullins Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Cedric Mullins
C. Mullins
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Cedric Mullins will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 24.1°, Cedric Mullins has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 30.4° figure in the last two weeks. Cedric Mullins's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (16.2°) is a significant increase over his 12.5° figure last year.

Cedric Mullins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Cedric Mullins will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 24.1°, Cedric Mullins has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 30.4° figure in the last two weeks. Cedric Mullins's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (16.2°) is a significant increase over his 12.5° figure last year.

Patrick Bailey Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Patrick Bailey
P. Bailey
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. The switch-hitting Patrick Bailey will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Frankie Montas. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today. Patrick Bailey's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 15.4% to 19.3%.

Patrick Bailey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. The switch-hitting Patrick Bailey will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Frankie Montas. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today. Patrick Bailey's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 15.4% to 19.3%.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Juan Soto
J. Soto
right outfield RF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Juan Soto will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Juan Soto will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Matt Chapman
M. Chapman
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Matt Chapman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today.

Matt Chapman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Matt Chapman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today.

Casey Schmitt Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Casey Schmitt
C. Schmitt
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Casey Schmitt pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Casey Schmitt has had some very poor luck this year. His .316 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .345. Based on Statcast metrics, Casey Schmitt is in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .269.

Casey Schmitt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Casey Schmitt pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Casey Schmitt has had some very poor luck this year. His .316 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .345. Based on Statcast metrics, Casey Schmitt is in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .269.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Brandon Nimmo
B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Brandon Nimmo has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Brandon Nimmo has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Tyrone Taylor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Tyrone Taylor
T. Taylor
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Tyrone Taylor will have the handedness advantage over Carson Whisenhunt in today's game. Tyrone Taylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Tyrone Taylor will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Tyrone Taylor has been unlucky this year, notching a .242 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .296 — a .054 discrepancy.

Tyrone Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Tyrone Taylor will have the handedness advantage over Carson Whisenhunt in today's game. Tyrone Taylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Tyrone Taylor will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Tyrone Taylor has been unlucky this year, notching a .242 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .296 — a .054 discrepancy.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Pete Alonso
P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 20th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Carson Whisenhunt throws from, Pete Alonso will have an advantage today.

Pete Alonso

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 20th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Carson Whisenhunt throws from, Pete Alonso will have an advantage today.

Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Starling Marte
S. Marte
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Starling Marte is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Starling Marte will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carson Whisenhunt in today's matchup.

Starling Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Starling Marte is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Starling Marte will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carson Whisenhunt in today's matchup.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Jeff McNeil
J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage today. Jeff McNeil has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.1-mph to 90.9-mph in the past week. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.4°, Jeff McNeil has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 23.9° figure in the past two weeks.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage today. Jeff McNeil has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.1-mph to 90.9-mph in the past week. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.4°, Jeff McNeil has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 23.9° figure in the past two weeks.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Francisco Lindor
F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Carson Whisenhunt. Francisco Lindor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Carson Whisenhunt. Francisco Lindor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Willy Adames Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Willy Adames
W. Adames
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Willy Adames pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today.

Willy Adames

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Willy Adames pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today.

Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Mark Vientos
M. Vientos
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Mark Vientos will hold the platoon advantage against Carson Whisenhunt in today's game. Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage today. Mark Vientos has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 7.6% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 7 days.

Mark Vientos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Mark Vientos will hold the platoon advantage against Carson Whisenhunt in today's game. Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage today. Mark Vientos has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 7.6% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 7 days.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

SF vs NYM Preview

Last Meeting ( Aug 2, 2025 ) San Francisco 6, NY Mets 12

Three of the newest members of the New York Mets came through in key situations for the club on Saturday afternoon.

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