San Diego @ St. Louis props

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 91°. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Pedro Pages's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, increasing from 38.4% on the season to 68.8% over the last two weeks. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Pedro Pages's true offensive ability to be a .279, suggesting that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .030 deviation between that figure and his actual .249 wOBA.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 91°. Elias Diaz has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last year's 88.3-mph figure. Elias Diaz's launch angle this year (18.1°) is considerably higher than his 7.3° angle last season. Elias Diaz's footspeed has increased this year. His 24.41 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.9 ft/sec now.

Miles Mikolas will hold the platoon advantage over Manny Machado in today's game. Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Manny Machado's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined of late, falling from 47.4% on the season to 34.6% over the past 14 days.

Batting from the same side that Miles Mikolas throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. meets a tough challenge in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's game. Fernando Tatis Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 48.8% to 40.7%.

Jordan Walker's BABIP talent is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 91°. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .267 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jordan Walker has had some very poor luck given the .040 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .307.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 91°. Yohel Pozo will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 91°. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas today. In terms of plate discipline, Jake Cronenworth's ability is quite strong, putting up a 1.66 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 83rd percentile.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jackson Merrill in today's matchup.

Luis Arraez has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.6%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 8th-deepest LF fences today. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luis Arraez in today's matchup. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 87.9-mph mark last season has dropped to 85.7-mph. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 85.7-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 82.4-mph over the last week. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Luis Arraez has had positive variance on his side this year. His .313 mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .296.

Hitting from the same side that Miles Mikolas throws from, Xander Bogaerts meets a tough challenge today. Xander Bogaerts will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 91°. Hitters such as Ivan Herrera with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Nick Pivetta who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Ivan Herrera will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 91°. Brendan Donovan will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta today. Brendan Donovan will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 91°. Gavin Sheets will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas in today's game. Gavin Sheets has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last year's 90.8-mph EV. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Gavin Sheets has had bad variance on his side this year. His .320 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .342.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 91°. Batting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Victor Scott II will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Victor Scott II will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past week, Victor Scott II's 31.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 91°. Batting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Alec Burleson will have an edge in today's game. Alec Burleson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 78th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 91°. Masyn Winn will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 91°. Willson Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Willson Contreras will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 91°. Nolan Arenado will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 19.1°, Nolan Arenado has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 23.5° mark in the past two weeks. With a 1.49 K/BB rate this year, Nolan Arenado has demonstrated good plate discipline, placing in the 87th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 91°. Despite posting a .261 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jose Iglesias has had bad variance on his side given the .019 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .280.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 91°. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Martin Maldonado ranks in the 81st percentile with a 17.2° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in the majors.