San Diego @ St. Louis picks
Busch Stadium
SD vs STL Picks
MLB Picks
Total Home Runs


Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Cards will start Miles Mikolas, who is having a nightmare year. He owns a 5.20 ERA and has surrendered 17 home runs in 19 starts. Machado is 4-for-17 lifetime against him, and although that’s just a .235 average, two of those hits left the ballpark.
Total RBIs

Elias Diaz o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fences among all parks.. This contest is expected to have the 15th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Elias Diaz has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last year's 88.3-mph figure.. Elias Diaz's launch angle this year (18.1°) is considerably higher than his 7.3° angle last season.. Elias Diaz's footspeed has increased this year. His 24.41 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.9 ft/sec now.
Total RBIs

Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Jordan Walker's BABIP talent is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fences among all parks.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 91°.. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 9th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fences among all parks.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 91°.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fences among all parks.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 91°.. Batting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Alec Burleson will have an edge in today's game.
Total RBIs

Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+105)
Projection 0.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fences among all parks.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 91°.. Manny Machado hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Xander Bogaerts o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Xander Bogaerts's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fences among all parks.. This contest is expected to have the 15th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Xander Bogaerts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total RBIs

Willson Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fences among all parks.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 90°.. Willson Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total RBIs

Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Jackson Merrill's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fences among all parks.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 90°.. Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases

Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-125)
Projection 2.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 9th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fences among all parks.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 91°.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Elias Diaz o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+125)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fences among all parks.. This contest is expected to have the 12th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Elias Diaz has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last year's 88.3-mph figure.. Elias Diaz's launch angle this year (18.1°) is considerably higher than his 7.3° angle last season.. Elias Diaz's footspeed has increased this year. His 24.41 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.9 ft/sec now.