Arizona @ San Diego props

Petco Park has the shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks. Elias Diaz will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Elias Diaz has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph mark. Elias Diaz's launch angle this season (16.8°) is considerably higher than his 7.3° angle last season. Elias Diaz has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season's 24.41 ft/sec to 24.91 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Petco Park grades out as the #23 field in the league for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which often leads to worse offense. The weather forecast projects the 4th-most suitable pitching weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 87.9-mph average last season has dropped to 85.4-mph.

Petco Park has the shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks. Extreme groundball bats like Jose Herrera tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Nick Pivetta. Over the last two weeks, Jose Herrera's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 85.2-mph over the course of the season to 91.3-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Xander Bogaerts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Xander Bogaerts will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Xander Bogaerts's true offensive skill to be a .329, implying that he has been unlucky this year given the .026 gap between that mark and his actual .303 wOBA. As it relates to plate discipline, Xander Bogaerts's talent is quite strong, putting up a 1.64 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 82nd percentile.

Ketel Marte projects as the 11th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Ketel Marte has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 17.1% seasonal rate to 25% in the last 14 days. Ketel Marte has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 93.6-mph in the past two weeks. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.1°, Ketel Marte has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 19.6° angle over the past two weeks.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Randal Grichuk ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randal Grichuk hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Randal Grichuk has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 13% seasonal rate to 30% in the past 7 days. Randal Grichuk has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.8-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 92.2-mph mark. Randal Grichuk's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, rising from 13.9% on the season to 50% over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Petco Park has the shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Jake McCarthy will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Jake McCarthy are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Nick Pivetta. Jake McCarthy has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last year's 87.1-mph figure.

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Petco Park has the shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks. Geraldo Perdomo has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 90.7-mph average to last year's 88.1-mph mark. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 13% to 20.5%. Over the past 14 days, Geraldo Perdomo's 56.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Jackson Merrill will hold the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly in today's game. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jackson Merrill will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Fernando Tatis Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. In the last week's worth of games, Fernando Tatis Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.5-mph over the course of the season to 99.9-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Petco Park has the shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s launch angle of late (24.3° in the past week) is a significant increase over his 15.7° seasonal angle. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 15.1% to 18.1%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.280) suggests that Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been unlucky this year with his .253 actual batting average.

Petco Park has the shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks. Alek Thomas will have the handedness advantage over Nick Pivetta today. Extreme groundball bats like Alek Thomas are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Nick Pivetta.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Manny Machado hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage today. Manny Machado has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 12.2% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the past 7 days.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Petco Park has the shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks. Corbin Carroll will have the handedness advantage over Nick Pivetta in today's matchup. Corbin Carroll has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 7.3% rate last season to 15.4% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Petco Park has the shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks. This season, Eugenio Suarez has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.4 mph compared to last year's 92.6 mph mark. Last year, Eugenio Suarez had an average launch angle of 18.8° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 22.2°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Petco Park has the shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the last 14 days, Jake Cronenworth has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 7.6% to 21.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Alexander in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Extreme groundball batters like Blaze Alexander are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Nick Pivetta.

Gavin Sheets is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Gavin Sheets will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Gavin Sheets will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Gavin Sheets has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.5-mph average to last year's 87.8-mph average. Based on Statcast metrics, Gavin Sheets is in the 79th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .342.

Petco Park has the shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks. Batting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Trenton Brooks will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Trenton Brooks will hold that advantage today. Over the last week, Trenton Brooks has displayed impressive power, recording a a 14.3% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power). Over the last week, Trenton Brooks's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 62.5% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

Jose Iglesias has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.