Final Jul 3
MIN 1 -109 o8.0
MIA 4 +101 u8.0
Final Jul 3
HOU 6 -183 o11.5
COL 7 +167 u11.5
Final Jul 3
DET 7 -131 o10.0
WAS 11 +121 u10.0
Final Jul 3
NYY 5 -130 o8.5
TOR 8 +120 u8.5
Final Jul 3
MIL 2 +137 o8.0
NYM 3 -149 u8.0
Final Jul 3
LAA 5 +132 o9.0
ATL 1 -143 u9.0
Final (10) Jul 3
CLE 0 +118 o8.5
CHC 1 -128 u8.5
Final Jul 3
SF 7 -113 o8.5
AZ 2 +104 u8.5
Final Jul 3
KC 3 +115 o7.5
SEA 2 -125 u7.5
Final Jul 3
CHW 2 +231 o9.5
LAD 6 -259 u9.5

Milwaukee @ New York props

Citi Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Rhys Hoskins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Rhys Hoskins
R. Hoskins
first base 1B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Rhys Hoskins is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. Rhys Hoskins will hold the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's game. Rhys Hoskins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.1% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Rhys Hoskins generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like David Peterson.

Rhys Hoskins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Rhys Hoskins is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. Rhys Hoskins will hold the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's game. Rhys Hoskins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.1% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Rhys Hoskins generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like David Peterson.

Caleb Durbin Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Caleb Durbin
C. Durbin
third base 3B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. Caleb Durbin will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's game. Caleb Durbin hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 12th-worst out of every team today. With a 1.36 K/BB rate this year, Caleb Durbin has displayed impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 93rd percentile.

Caleb Durbin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. Caleb Durbin will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's game. Caleb Durbin hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 12th-worst out of every team today. With a 1.36 K/BB rate this year, Caleb Durbin has displayed impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 93rd percentile.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Juan Soto
J. Soto
right outfield RF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Citi Field. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Citi Field. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Christian Yelich Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Christian Yelich
C. Yelich
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 15th-best batter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP ability. Christian Yelich is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. Christian Yelich has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 12th-worst out of every team today.

Christian Yelich

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 15th-best batter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP ability. Christian Yelich is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. Christian Yelich has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 12th-worst out of every team today.

Isaac Collins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Isaac Collins
I. Collins
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Isaac Collins is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Isaac Collins will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against David Peterson today. Isaac Collins pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 12th-worst out of every team today.

Isaac Collins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Isaac Collins is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Isaac Collins will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against David Peterson today. Isaac Collins pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 12th-worst out of every team today.

Brice Turang Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Brice Turang
B. Turang
second base 2B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Brice Turang's BABIP ability is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brice Turang is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 12th-worst out of every team today.

Brice Turang

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Brice Turang's BABIP ability is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brice Turang is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 12th-worst out of every team today.

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Brett Baty
B. Baty
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. Brett Baty has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's game. Brett Baty has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 5.5% rate last year to 13.2% this year. This season, Brett Baty has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.9 mph compared to last year's 91.3 mph mark.

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. Brett Baty has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's game. Brett Baty has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 5.5% rate last year to 13.2% this year. This season, Brett Baty has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.9 mph compared to last year's 91.3 mph mark.

Sal Frelick Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Sal Frelick
S. Frelick
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Sal Frelick is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. Sal Frelick hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 12th-worst out of every team today.

Sal Frelick

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Sal Frelick is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. Sal Frelick hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 12th-worst out of every team today.

Jackson Chourio Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Jackson Chourio
J. Chourio
center outfield CF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Jackson Chourio is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. Jackson Chourio will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's game. Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences today.

Jackson Chourio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Jackson Chourio is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. Jackson Chourio will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's game. Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences today.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Brandon Nimmo
B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage today.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage today.

Eric Haase Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Eric Haase
E. Haase
catcher C • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. Eric Haase will hold the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup. Eric Haase pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 12th-worst out of every team today. Eric Haase is quite quick, grading out in the 75th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.22 ft/sec this year.

Eric Haase

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. Eric Haase will hold the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup. Eric Haase pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 12th-worst out of every team today. Eric Haase is quite quick, grading out in the 75th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.22 ft/sec this year.

Luis Torrens Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Luis Torrens
L. Torrens
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Luis Torrens's BABIP ability is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. Luis Torrens will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today's matchup. Luis Torrens hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Luis Torrens will hold that advantage in today's game.

Luis Torrens

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Luis Torrens's BABIP ability is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. Luis Torrens will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today's matchup. Luis Torrens hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Luis Torrens will hold that advantage in today's game.

Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Starling Marte
S. Marte
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Starling Marte is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Citi Field. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Starling Marte will have an edge in today's matchup.

Starling Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Starling Marte is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Citi Field. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Starling Marte will have an edge in today's matchup.

William Contreras Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

William Contreras
W. Contreras
catcher C • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). William Contreras is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. William Contreras will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson in today's matchup. William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

William Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). William Contreras is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. William Contreras will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson in today's matchup. William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Tyrone Taylor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Tyrone Taylor
T. Taylor
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Tyrone Taylor will have an edge today. Tyrone Taylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Tyrone Taylor tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jose Quintana. Tyrone Taylor will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Tyrone Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Tyrone Taylor will have an edge today. Tyrone Taylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Tyrone Taylor tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jose Quintana. Tyrone Taylor will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Andruw Monasterio Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Andruw Monasterio
A. Monasterio
shortstop SS • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. Andruw Monasterio will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's game. Andruw Monasterio hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 12th-worst out of every team today. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Andruw Monasterio has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .268 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .305.

Andruw Monasterio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. Andruw Monasterio will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's game. Andruw Monasterio hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 12th-worst out of every team today. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Andruw Monasterio has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .268 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .305.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Pete Alonso
P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Pete Alonso projects as the 17th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Citi Field. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Pete Alonso will have an advantage in today's game.

Pete Alonso

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Pete Alonso projects as the 17th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Citi Field. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Pete Alonso will have an advantage in today's game.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Francisco Lindor
F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Francisco Lindor will get to bat from his good side against Jose Quintana today. Francisco Lindor pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Francisco Lindor will get to bat from his good side against Jose Quintana today. Francisco Lindor pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Mark Vientos
M. Vientos
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Mark Vientos will have an advantage today. Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Mark Vientos will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mark Vientos's true offensive talent to be a .312, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .032 difference between that figure and his actual .280 wOBA.

Mark Vientos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Mark Vientos will have an advantage today. Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Mark Vientos will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mark Vientos's true offensive talent to be a .312, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .032 difference between that figure and his actual .280 wOBA.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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