MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets, Picks, Parlay & Odds for Tuesday, September 9

Rafael Devers has found a groove in San Francisco and draws a favorable matchup against Diamondbacks SP Zac Gallen. See why he, Aaron Judge, and Bryce Harper are our favorite home run prop picks tonight.

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen • Betting Analyst
Sep 9, 2025 • 15:09 ET • 4 min read
Rafael Devers San Francisco Giants MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Giants slugger Rafael Devers is getting hot to close the season.

It’s a full 15-game docket across the Majors, and today’s MLB player props analysis will be highlighted by Aaron Judge, Bryce Harper, and Rafael Devers. 

See why these big boppers are positioned to go yard in our favorite home run props for Tuesday, September 9.

Best MLB home run props today

  • Yankees Judge (+220)
  • Phillies Harper (+400)
  • Giants Devers (+425)
  • 💲 +8300 parlay💲

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HR Prop #1: Aaron Judge

+220 at DraftKings

While Aaron Judge hasn’t gone deep yet in September, there’s reason to believe that could change tonight.

The New York Yankees begin a series with the Detroit Tigers, and they will face Casey Mize. Judge has done no wrong against him in the past, going 5-for-7 with a pair of doubles. Plus, of Judge's 43 round-trippers, 31 have come off right-handed pitchers.

Mize has given up 17 bombs in 24 starts, and Judge has left the yard 19 times at home.

HR Prop #2: Bryce Harper

+400 at DraftKings

Despite missing time with injury, Bryce Harper has smacked 24 bombs while hitting .261. Tonight, the Philadelphia Phillies face New York Mets left-hander Sean Manaea, and that plays in Harper’s favor. 

The Las Vegas native is 6-for-16 lifetime versus the southpaw with a pair of doubles and a homer. He’s gone deep twice this month already, and also cracked seven round-trippers in August. Harper has nine bombs off left-handed hurlers as well, and Manaea owns an ERA over 5.00. 

HR Prop #3: Rafael Devers

+425 at DraftKings

We’ll finish today’s MLB picks with Rafael Devers, who is starting to show exactly why the San Francisco Giants pulled off a blockbuster trade for him. The Dominican has smacked 31 home runs, including three already in just seven September contests. 

Devers faces Zac Gallen of the Arizona Diamondbacks this evening. Gallen is having a forgettable year, allowing 26 bombs in 29 starts. He’s surrendered 11 to left-handed hitters and 13 on the road. 

Devers, meanwhile, has done the majority of his damage off righties, slugging 22 home runs.

Today’s HR parlay

Aaron Judge

Bryce Harper

Rafael Devers

Today’s most popular HR bets

  1. Kyle Schwarber, Phillies
  2. Aaron Judge, Yankees
  3. Shohei Ohtani, Dodgers

Betting info courtesy of DraftKings

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications including ClutchPoints, Gino Hard, and RG, where he plies his trade as a writer and editor.

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

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