LIVE Bottom 6th Jul 4
BOS 9 -108 o8.0
WAS 1 +100 u8.0
CIN +137 o8.0
PHI -149 u8.0
STL +125 o9.5
CHC -136 u9.5
NYY +116 o9.5
NYM -126 u9.5
TB +100 o10.0
MIN -109 u10.0
PIT +171 o7.0
SEA -188 u7.0
TEX -111 o8.5
SD +102 u8.5
LAA +148 o9.5
TOR -161 u9.5
DET -127 o8.0
CLE +117 u8.0
MIL -124 o8.0
MIA +115 u8.0
BAL +157 o8.5
ATL -172 u8.5
CHW -124 o11.0
COL +115 u11.0
HOU +160 o9.5
LAD -175 u9.5
KC +101 o8.5
AZ -109 u8.5
SF -106 o10.5
ATH -102 u10.5

Cleveland @ Chicago props

Wrigley Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Daniel Schneemann Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Daniel Schneemann
D. Schneemann
second base 2B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Bats such as Daniel Schneemann with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Matthew Boyd who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Daniel Schneemann has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 14.9% seasonal rate to 29.2% in the last 14 days. Daniel Schneemann has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.4-mph average to last season's 90.5-mph average. Daniel Schneemann's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, rising from 17.8% on the season to 33.3% over the last 7 days.

Daniel Schneemann

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Bats such as Daniel Schneemann with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Matthew Boyd who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Daniel Schneemann has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 14.9% seasonal rate to 29.2% in the last 14 days. Daniel Schneemann has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.4-mph average to last season's 90.5-mph average. Daniel Schneemann's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, rising from 17.8% on the season to 33.3% over the last 7 days.

Johnathan Rodriguez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Johnathan Rodriguez
J. Rodriguez
left outfield LF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johnathan Rodriguez in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Johnathan Rodriguez will have an advantage in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Johnathan Rodriguez are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Matthew Boyd.

Johnathan Rodriguez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johnathan Rodriguez in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Johnathan Rodriguez will have an advantage in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Johnathan Rodriguez are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Matthew Boyd.

Lane Thomas Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Lane Thomas
L. Thomas
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Lane Thomas is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Lane Thomas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's game. Lane Thomas pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Lane Thomas has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 103.3-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 87.9-mph.

Lane Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Lane Thomas is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Lane Thomas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's game. Lane Thomas pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Lane Thomas has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 103.3-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 87.9-mph.

Steven Kwan Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Steven Kwan
S. Kwan
left outfield LF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Steven Kwan is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Steven Kwan has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Over the past two weeks, Steven Kwan has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 19.5° compared to his seasonal mark of 12.2°.

Steven Kwan

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Steven Kwan is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Steven Kwan has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Over the past two weeks, Steven Kwan has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 19.5° compared to his seasonal mark of 12.2°.

David Fry Total Hits Props • Cleveland

David Fry
D. Fry
first base 1B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

David Fry is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. David Fry will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's matchup. David Fry pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. David Fry has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.3-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph average.

David Fry

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

David Fry is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. David Fry will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's matchup. David Fry pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. David Fry has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.3-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph average.

Ian Happ Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Ian Happ
I. Happ
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Gavin Williams in this game. Ian Happ has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Ian Happ

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Gavin Williams in this game. Ian Happ has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Bo Naylor Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Bo Naylor
B. Naylor
catcher C • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Bo Naylor's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (22.6°) is considerably higher than his 17.5° figure last year. Bo Naylor's quickness has improved this year. His 26.57 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.15 ft/sec now. When it comes to his batting average, Bo Naylor has suffered from bad luck this year. His .168 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .202.

Bo Naylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Bo Naylor's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (22.6°) is considerably higher than his 17.5° figure last year. Bo Naylor's quickness has improved this year. His 26.57 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.15 ft/sec now. When it comes to his batting average, Bo Naylor has suffered from bad luck this year. His .168 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .202.

Carlos Santana Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Carlos Santana
C. Santana
first base 1B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Carlos Santana is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. The switch-hitting Carlos Santana will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Matthew Boyd. Carlos Santana pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Carlos Santana has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 6% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last week.

Carlos Santana

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Carlos Santana is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. The switch-hitting Carlos Santana will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Matthew Boyd. Carlos Santana pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Carlos Santana has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 6% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last week.

Kyle Tucker Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Kyle Tucker
K. Tucker
right outfield RF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kyle Tucker projects as the 7th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Kyle Tucker will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Kyle Tucker usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Gavin Williams.

Kyle Tucker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Kyle Tucker projects as the 7th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Kyle Tucker will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Kyle Tucker usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Gavin Williams.

Nolan Jones Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Nolan Jones
N. Jones
right outfield RF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nolan Jones's BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Nolan Jones has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Nolan Jones has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9.4% seasonal rate to 30% in the last week. Nolan Jones has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph figure.

Nolan Jones

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Nolan Jones's BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Nolan Jones has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Nolan Jones has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9.4% seasonal rate to 30% in the last week. Nolan Jones has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph figure.

Matt Shaw Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Matt Shaw
M. Shaw
third base 3B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Matt Shaw will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Matt Shaw has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .278 mark is considerably lower than his .299 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Matt Shaw

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Matt Shaw will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Matt Shaw has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .278 mark is considerably lower than his .299 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jose Ramirez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Jose Ramirez
J. Ramirez
third base 3B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.6% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jose Ramirez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 92.1-mph over the last 14 days.

Jose Ramirez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.6% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jose Ramirez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 92.1-mph over the last 14 days.

Austin Hedges Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Austin Hedges
A. Hedges
catcher C • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Austin Hedges will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Boyd in today's game. Austin Hedges pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Austin Hedges has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last year's 88.4-mph figure. Austin Hedges's 24.6° launch angle (an advanced stat to assess a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in the majors: 97th percentile.

Austin Hedges

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.5

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Austin Hedges will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Boyd in today's game. Austin Hedges pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Austin Hedges has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last year's 88.4-mph figure. Austin Hedges's 24.6° launch angle (an advanced stat to assess a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in the majors: 97th percentile.

Seiya Suzuki Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Seiya Suzuki
S. Suzuki
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Extreme flyball bats like Seiya Suzuki usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Gavin Williams.

Seiya Suzuki

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Extreme flyball bats like Seiya Suzuki usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Gavin Williams.

Michael Busch Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Michael Busch
M. Busch
first base 1B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Michael Busch ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Michael Busch will have the handedness advantage over Gavin Williams in today's game. Michael Busch will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Michael Busch's launch angle of late (20.7° in the past two weeks) is considerably better than his 16.3° seasonal angle.

Michael Busch

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Michael Busch ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Michael Busch will have the handedness advantage over Gavin Williams in today's game. Michael Busch will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Michael Busch's launch angle of late (20.7° in the past two weeks) is considerably better than his 16.3° seasonal angle.

Carson Kelly Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Carson Kelly
C. Kelly
catcher C • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the past 14 days, Carson Kelly's 58.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44%. Based on Statcast metrics, Carson Kelly ranks in the 87th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .355.

Carson Kelly

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the past 14 days, Carson Kelly's 58.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44%. Based on Statcast metrics, Carson Kelly ranks in the 87th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .355.

Dansby Swanson Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Dansby Swanson
D. Swanson
shortstop SS • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Dansby Swanson is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today's game.

Dansby Swanson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Dansby Swanson is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today's game.

Pete Crow-Armstrong Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Pete Crow-Armstrong
P. Crow-Armstrong
center outfield CF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage against Gavin Williams in today's game. Pete Crow-Armstrong will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Pete Crow-Armstrong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage against Gavin Williams in today's game. Pete Crow-Armstrong will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Nico Hoerner Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Nico Hoerner
N. Hoerner
second base 2B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

As it relates to his batting average talent, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 18th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Nico Hoerner has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 90.4-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 87.2-mph. Over the past 7 days, Nico Hoerner's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15%.

Nico Hoerner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his batting average talent, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 18th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Nico Hoerner has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 90.4-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 87.2-mph. Over the past 7 days, Nico Hoerner's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15%.

Angel Martinez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Angel Martinez
A. Martinez
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. The switch-hitting Angel Martinez will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Matthew Boyd. Angel Martinez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.8% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Angel Martinez's launch angle in recent games (34.2° over the last 14 days) is considerably better than his 17.8° seasonal figure. Angel Martinez has been unlucky this year, putting up a .266 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .292 — a .026 deviation.

Angel Martinez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. The switch-hitting Angel Martinez will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Matthew Boyd. Angel Martinez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.8% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Angel Martinez's launch angle in recent games (34.2° over the last 14 days) is considerably better than his 17.8° seasonal figure. Angel Martinez has been unlucky this year, putting up a .266 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .292 — a .026 deviation.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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