Chicago @ Detroit picks

The Over is 33-25 for Chicago this year, and it’s been a winning ticket in five of the past eight meetings between these teams. That said, I prefer the Over on the F5 line of 4.5, with both bullpens logging an ERA south of 3.50 this season. The Cubs have scored six or more runs in four of their last six games, and the Tigers have cashed the F5 innings team total Over in 40 of their last 66 outings.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 7th-best hitter in MLB.. Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Among all parks, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Kyle Tucker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Michael Busch will hold the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty today.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the weakest among every team today.. In the last 7 days, Michael Busch's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 102.6-mph of late.. Michael Busch's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 18.1% to 22.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Kerry Carpenter is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Kerry Carpenter will have the handedness advantage over Cade Horton in today's game.. Kerry Carpenter will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.. Compared to his seasonal average of 20.2°, Kerry Carpenter has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 27.5° figure over the past week.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the weakest among every team today.. In the past 7 days, Dansby Swanson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.6-mph over the course of the season to 98.9-mph lately.. Dansby Swanson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 15.3% to 18.3%.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Dansby Swanson's true offensive skill to be a .333, suggesting that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .027 gap between that mark and his actual .306 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the handedness advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's game.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the weakest among every team today.. In the past two weeks, Pete Crow-Armstrong's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.1-mph over the course of the season to 100-mph in recent games.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 7th-best hitter in MLB.. Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Kyle Tucker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's matchup.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the weakest among every team today.. Over the past week, Kyle Tucker's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.6% up to 22.2%.

The 3rd-best projected lineup on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability belongs to the Chicago Cubs.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the weakest among every team today.. Jack Flaherty's 92.1-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a big 1.2-mph decline from last year's 93.3-mph mark.. Jack Flaherty's 2204-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 17th percentile among all starting pitchers.. The 10% Barrel% of the Chicago Cubs makes them the #7 squad in the game this year by this metric.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 7th-best hitter in MLB.. Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Kyle Tucker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's matchup.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the weakest among every team today.. Over the past week, Kyle Tucker's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.6% up to 22.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the handedness advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's game.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the weakest among every team today.. In the past two weeks, Pete Crow-Armstrong's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.1-mph over the course of the season to 100-mph in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Ian Happ is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Ian Happ will get to bat from his good side against Jack Flaherty in today's game.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the weakest among every team today.. Ian Happ has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 7.8% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the last week's worth of games.