Houston @ Cleveland props

Victor Caratini is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Progressive Field ranks as the #3 ballpark in the league for left-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Extreme flyball bats like Victor Caratini are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Tanner Bibee. Victor Caratini has compiled a .272 batting average since the start of last season, ranking in the 84th percentile.

In the past 7 days, Jose Ramirez's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 91 mph to 83.7 mph. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.275) suggests that Jose Ramirez has been lucky this year with his .329 actual batting average.

Daniel Schneemann has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (79% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Progressive Field ranks as the #3 ballpark in the league for left-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Daniel Schneemann will hold that advantage today. Daniel Schneemann has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.5-mph average to last season's 90.5-mph EV.

Yainer Diaz's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #3 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Yainer Diaz has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph to 97.3-mph in the last 14 days. Yainer Diaz has been unlucky this year, compiling a .274 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .327 — a .053 deviation.

Tanner Bibee will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jeremy Pena today. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of all the teams today. Jeremy Pena will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Jeremy Pena's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 12.3% to 9%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jeremy Pena's true offensive talent to be a .326, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .052 deviation between that mark and his actual .378 wOBA.

Jake Meyers's batting average talent is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #3 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Jake Meyers's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 44.4% to 51.6%. Based on Statcast data, Jake Meyers ranks in the 88th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .282.

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. The #3 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (46.8% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In the last week, Isaac Paredes's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.2% up to 23.1%.

David Fry is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The #3 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. David Fry will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Walter in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Walter has a large platoon split. David Fry pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Christian Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. The #3 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Christian Walker pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Despite posting a .278 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Christian Walker has suffered from bad luck given the .050 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .328.

Carlos Santana is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. The #3 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Carlos Santana will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Brandon Walter) today. Carlos Santana pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Jose Altuve's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Altuve is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The #3 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.2% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Angel Martinez is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The #3 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Angel Martinez will get to bat from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Brandon Walter) in today's game. Angel Martinez pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Progressive Field ranks as the #3 ballpark in the league for left-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitters such as Bo Naylor with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brandon Walter who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Bo Naylor will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. There has been a significant improvement in Bo Naylor's launch angle from last season's 19.5° to 25.4° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The #3 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Gabriel Arias will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Walter in today's game... and even more favorably, Walter has a large platoon split. Gabriel Arias has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

Jhonkensy Noel has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Steven Kwan has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Jacob Melton has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 6 games.