Final Jun 7
CHC 6 -111 o8.5
DET 1 +103 u8.5
Final (10) Jun 7
AZ 3 -111 o9.5
CIN 4 +102 u9.5
Final Jun 7
TOR 5 +104 o8.0
MIN 4 -112 u8.0
Final Jun 7
LAD 1 -179 o8.0
STL 2 +164 u8.0
Final Jun 7
PHI 1 -131 o8.0
PIT 2 +120 u8.0
Final Jun 7
TEX 5 -157 o8.0
WAS 0 +144 u8.0
Final Jun 7
ATL 2 +122 o7.0
SF 3 -132 u7.0
Final (10) Jun 7
MIA 11 +137 o8.5
TB 10 -149 u8.5
Final (10) Jun 7
HOU 5 -108 o7.0
CLE 3 -100 u7.0
Final Jun 7
AZ 1 -108 o9.0
CIN 13 -101 u9.0
Final Jun 7
KC 1 -132 o8.0
CHW 4 +121 u8.0
Final Jun 7
BOS 10 -102 o7.5
NYY 7 -106 u7.5
Final Jun 7
SD 3 +133 o8.0
MIL 4 -144 u8.0
Final Jun 7
SEA 6 -160 o9.0
LAA 8 +147 u9.0
Final Jun 7
NYM 8 -268 o11.0
COL 1 +239 u11.0
Final Jun 7
BAL 7 -118 o10.5
ATH 4 +109 u10.5

Texas @ Washington props

Nationals Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Corey Seager Total Hits Props • Texas

Corey Seager
C. Seager
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the worst park in MLB for left-handed batting average. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Corey Seager will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Corey Seager's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, decreasing from 19% on the season to 7.1% over the last 14 days.

Corey Seager

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the worst park in MLB for left-handed batting average. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Corey Seager will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Corey Seager's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, decreasing from 19% on the season to 7.1% over the last 14 days.

Josh Smith Total Hits Props • Texas

Josh Smith
J. Smith
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Josh Smith is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The 9th-shallowest right field fences in MLB are found in Nationals Park. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Given Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Josh Smith will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Josh Smith's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, rising from 45.6% on the season to 56.7% over the last two weeks.

Josh Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Josh Smith is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The 9th-shallowest right field fences in MLB are found in Nationals Park. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Given Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Josh Smith will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Josh Smith's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, rising from 45.6% on the season to 56.7% over the last two weeks.

James Wood Total Hits Props • Washington

James Wood
J. Wood
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the league when it comes to his BABIP talent. James Wood is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like James Wood usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jake Latz.

James Wood

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the league when it comes to his BABIP talent. James Wood is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like James Wood usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jake Latz.

Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Texas

Jake Burger
J. Burger
first base 1B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jake Burger ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The 8th-shallowest left field fences in the league are found in Nationals Park. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Over the last 7 days, Jake Burger's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.4-mph over the course of the season to 102.8-mph in recent games.

Jake Burger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jake Burger ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The 8th-shallowest left field fences in the league are found in Nationals Park. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Over the last 7 days, Jake Burger's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.4-mph over the course of the season to 102.8-mph in recent games.

Robert Hassell III Total Hits Props • Washington

Robert Hassell III
R. Hassell III
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robert Hassell III in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The 9th-shallowest right field fences in MLB are found in Nationals Park. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Extreme groundball bats like Robert Hassell III usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jake Latz. Robert Hassell III will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Robert Hassell III

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robert Hassell III in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The 9th-shallowest right field fences in MLB are found in Nationals Park. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Extreme groundball bats like Robert Hassell III usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jake Latz. Robert Hassell III will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

CJ Abrams
C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, CJ Abrams ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. CJ Abrams will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, CJ Abrams ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. CJ Abrams will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Nathaniel Lowe Total Hits Props • Washington

Nathaniel Lowe
N. Lowe
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Nathaniel Lowe tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jake Latz.

Nathaniel Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Nathaniel Lowe tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jake Latz.

Jonah Heim Total Hits Props • Texas

Jonah Heim
J. Heim
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The 9th-shallowest right field fences in MLB are found in Nationals Park. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 11.1% to 15.7%. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 15.7% on the season to 26.7% in the last two weeks.

Jonah Heim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The 9th-shallowest right field fences in MLB are found in Nationals Park. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 11.1% to 15.7%. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 15.7% on the season to 26.7% in the last two weeks.

Marcus Semien Total Hits Props • Texas

Marcus Semien
M. Semien
second base 2B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Marcus Semien is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Marcus Semien pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Marcus Semien has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 101.6-mph average in the last week to his seasonal EV of 91.6-mph.

Marcus Semien

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Marcus Semien is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Marcus Semien pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Marcus Semien has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 101.6-mph average in the last week to his seasonal EV of 91.6-mph.

Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington

Jacob Young
J. Young
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jacob Young's BABIP ability is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Jake Latz throws from, Jacob Young will have an advantage in today's game. Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Jacob Young tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jake Latz.

Jacob Young

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jacob Young's BABIP ability is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Jake Latz throws from, Jacob Young will have an advantage in today's game. Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Jacob Young tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jake Latz.

Wyatt Langford Total Hits Props • Texas

Wyatt Langford
W. Langford
left outfield LF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Wyatt Langford is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Wyatt Langford pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Wyatt Langford has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.6-mph to 94.3-mph in the last 14 days.

Wyatt Langford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Wyatt Langford is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Wyatt Langford pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Wyatt Langford has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.6-mph to 94.3-mph in the last 14 days.

Adolis Garcia Total Hits Props • Texas

Adolis Garcia
A. Garcia
right outfield RF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 8th-shallowest left field fences in the league are found in Nationals Park. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Adolis Garcia has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.8-mph to 99-mph in the past two weeks. Despite posting a .271 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Adolis Garcia has experienced some negative variance given the .051 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .322.

Adolis Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 8th-shallowest left field fences in the league are found in Nationals Park. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Adolis Garcia has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.8-mph to 99-mph in the past two weeks. Despite posting a .271 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Adolis Garcia has experienced some negative variance given the .051 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .322.

Alejandro Osuna Total Hits Props • Texas

Alejandro Osuna
A. Osuna
left outfield LF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The 9th-shallowest right field fences in MLB are found in Nationals Park. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Alejandro Osuna will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Williams in today's game... and moreover, Williams has a large platoon split.

Alejandro Osuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The 9th-shallowest right field fences in MLB are found in Nationals Park. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Alejandro Osuna will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Williams in today's game... and moreover, Williams has a large platoon split.

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

Keibert Ruiz
K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage today. In the last 14 days, Keibert Ruiz has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 18.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 4.5°.

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage today. In the last 14 days, Keibert Ruiz has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 18.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 4.5°.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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