Busch Stadium
Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Kyle Isbel will have an edge in today's game. Ranking in the 81st percentile, Kyle Isbel has notched a .279 batting average this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Alec Burleson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Alec Burleson will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. By putting up a .291 batting average this year, Alec Burleson is ranked in the 88th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Salvador Perez is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Salvador Perez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.6-mph to 93-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.317) provides evidence that Salvador Perez has had some very poor luck this year with his .268 actual wOBA.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Victor Scott II will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past week, Victor Scott II's 60% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19%. With a .340 BABIP this year, Victor Scott II grades out in the 85th percentile.
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts the 7th-most suitable pitching conditions of the day. Miles Mikolas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. in today's matchup. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) but may find it hard to clear the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's game. Typically, batters like Bobby Witt Jr. who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Miles Mikolas. Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bobby Witt Jr. in today's matchup.
Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Michael Massey will have the upper hand in today's game. Michael Massey's launch angle this season (22.2°) is quite a bit higher than his 16.7° figure last year. Despite posting a .213 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Michael Massey has had some very poor luck given the .082 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .295.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Lars Nootbaar will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Lars Nootbaar's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.4-mph over the course of the season to 100-mph in recent games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Masyn Winn is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Masyn Winn will hold the platoon advantage over Noah Cameron in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage in today's game. Masyn Winn's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 43.1% to 48.5%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Brendan Donovan is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage in today's game. Brendan Donovan's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 45.8% to 55.5%. Utilizing Statcast data, Brendan Donovan ranks in the 100th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .324.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jonathan India ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Jonathan India's launch angle this year (17°) is significantly better than his 13.3° mark last season. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jonathan India's true offensive talent to be a .336, suggesting that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .044 difference between that figure and his actual .292 wOBA. In terms of plate discipline, Jonathan India's talent is quite good, sporting a 1.36 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 90th percentile.
Batting from the opposite that Noah Cameron throws from, Pedro Pages will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage today.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Willson Contreras ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Noah Cameron throws from, Willson Contreras will have an advantage today. Willson Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Willson Contreras will hold that advantage today.
Ivan Herrera's BABIP ability is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Noah Cameron throws from, Ivan Herrera will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Ivan Herrera will hold that advantage today. Ivan Herrera has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 101.2-mph average to last season's 91.5-mph average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The switch-hitting Drew Waters will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Miles Mikolas. Drew Waters has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 4.8% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the last 7 days. Drew Waters has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.5-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 87.4-mph mark. Drew Waters has compiled a .278 batting average this year, checking in at the 79th percentile.
Ryan Vilade will have the handedness advantage against Noah Cameron in today's matchup. Ryan Vilade will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Ranking in the 83rd percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.55 ft/sec since the start of last season, Ryan Vilade is remarkably fast.
Batting from the opposite that Noah Cameron throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an advantage today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 19°, Nolan Arenado has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 29.3° angle over the past 14 days. Nolan Arenado has shown impressive plate discipline this year, checking in at the 91st percentile with a 1.34 K/BB rate.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Maikel Garcia is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Maikel Garcia hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. With a .367 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Maikel Garcia grades out in the 87th percentile. Maikel Garcia has posted a .312 batting average this year, ranking in the 96th percentile.
Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Vinnie Pasquantino will have the handedness advantage over Miles Mikolas in today's game.
Jac Caglianone has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.
