Kansas City @ St. Louis picks

When assessing his home run ability, Salvador Perez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.. This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. Salvador Perez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.6-mph to 93-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.. When it comes to his home runs, Salvador Perez has experienced some negative variance this year. His 10.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been considerably lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 25.9.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 4th-best batter in the league when it comes to his batting average talent.. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Bobby Witt Jr. has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 12.5% seasonal rate to 30.8% in the last 7 days.. Bobby Witt Jr. has seen a big increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.1-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 92.5-mph EV.. As it relates to his home runs, Bobby Witt Jr. has experienced some negative variance this year. His 15.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been quite a bit lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 23.0.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. Alec Burleson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Alec Burleson will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.. By putting up a .291 batting average this year, Alec Burleson is ranked in the 88th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Lars Nootbaar will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Michael Massey will have the upper hand in today's game.. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team today.. Michael Massey's launch angle this season (22.2°) is quite a bit higher than his 16.7° figure last year.. Despite posting a .213 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Michael Massey has had some very poor luck given the .082 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .295.

Busch Stadium has the 10th-shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.. This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humidity of all games on the slate (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. Jac Caglianone will hold the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Willson Contreras ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Noah Cameron throws from, Willson Contreras will have an advantage today.. Willson Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Willson Contreras will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Masyn Winn is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Masyn Winn will hold the platoon advantage over Noah Cameron in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage in today's game.. Masyn Winn's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 43.1% to 48.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Alec Burleson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Alec Burleson will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.. By putting up a .291 batting average this year, Alec Burleson is ranked in the 88th percentile.

This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Michael Massey will have the upper hand in today's game.. Michael Massey's launch angle this season (22.2°) is quite a bit higher than his 16.7° figure last year.. Despite posting a .213 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Michael Massey has had some very poor luck given the .082 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .295.