Toronto @ Tampa Bay props

The #8 field in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field. Chris Bassitt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yandy Diaz today... and it's a particular mismatch considering Bassitt's large platoon split. Extreme flyball bats like Yandy Diaz usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Chris Bassitt. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense profiles as the 5th-best out of all the teams on the slate today. Yandy Diaz has done a bad job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 2.8° figure is among the lowest in the league this year (4th percentile).

When assessing his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather on the slate today at 93°. George Springer has made significant strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 9.3% rate last season to 18.1% this year. George Springer has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.8-mph average to last season's 93.2-mph EV.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather on the slate today at 93°. Anthony Santander pulls many of his flyballs (40.6% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

The #8 field in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field. Batting from the same side that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. In today's matchup, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.5% rate (82nd percentile). Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today's matchup. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 95-mph average last year has fallen off to 92.8-mph.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather on the slate today at 93°. Myles Straw has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (46.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Myles Straw is quite athletic, grading out in the 94th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.16 ft/sec this year.

Ernie Clement's batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather on the slate today at 93°. Ernie Clement's launch angle this year (21°) is quite a bit better than his 16.2° mark last season. Using Statcast data, Ernie Clement ranks in the 77th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .270.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather on the slate today at 93°. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Nathan Lukes will have an edge in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Nathan Lukes tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Pepiot. Nathan Lukes has recorded a .336 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 86th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather on the slate today at 93°. Brandon Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's game... and even more favorably, Bassitt has a large platoon split. Brandon Lowe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.4% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Bo Bichette is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bo Bichette is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather on the slate today at 93°. Bo Bichette has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Bo Bichette has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 4.5% rate last season to 9.6% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather on the slate today at 93°. Alejandro Kirk has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Alejandro Kirk's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 42.3% to 50.9%.

Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather on the slate today at 93°. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an advantage in today's game. Daulton Varsho pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.1% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Daulton Varsho has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 6.4% rate last season to 22.6% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather on the slate today at 93°. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Junior Caminero has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.9-mph average to last season's 89.5-mph average.

Addison Barger is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather on the slate today at 93°. Addison Barger will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Pepiot today. Addison Barger has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 8.8% rate last season to 14.5% this year. Addison Barger has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94.3-mph average to last season's 88.1-mph EV.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather on the slate today at 93°. Because of Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Jonathan Aranda will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Jonathan Aranda will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jonatan Clase's BABIP skill is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather on the slate today at 93°. The switch-hitting Jonatan Clase will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Ryan Pepiot.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chandler Simpson as the 19th-best batter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather on the slate today at 93°. Considering Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Chandler Simpson will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Chandler Simpson will hold that advantage today. Chandler Simpson is very quick, ranking in the 99th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.95 ft/sec this year.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather on the slate today at 93°. Ben Rortvedt will have the handedness advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's game... and even more favorably, Bassitt has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Ben Rortvedt will hold that advantage in today's game.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather on the slate today at 93°. Kameron Misner will have the handedness advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's matchup... and moreover, Bassitt has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Kameron Misner will hold that advantage in today's game. Kameron Misner is very fast, grading out in the 76th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.19 ft/sec this year.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather on the slate today at 93°. Taylor Walls will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.